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Post by manchesterman on Feb 16, 2024 4:07:21 GMT
Lab 45.8% Con 24.5% Ref 13% LD 4.7% Turner-Hawes 3.7% Grn 3.4% Watts 1.8% BF 1.6% OMRLP 0.7% PyneBailey 0.6% Love 0.1%
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 16, 2024 3:56:11 GMT
candidates going on stage now
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 16, 2024 3:48:05 GMT
It's been on BBC online since about 11pm
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 16, 2024 2:09:48 GMT
I know I did well in 4 of the 5 seats. NPT Rhos Ward was a wipeout..but probably not just for me
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 16, 2024 1:54:15 GMT
Lab 11176 (44.9%) Con 8675 (34.9%) Reform 2578 (10.4%) Green 1450 (5.8%) LD 861 (3.5%) UKIP 129 (0.5%)
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 16, 2024 1:28:18 GMT
LD 45.7% Lab 39.7% Green 7.6% Ind 5.4% Con 1.7%
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 16, 2024 0:40:50 GMT
IND GAIN FROM PLAID CYMRU NEATH PORT TALBOT, Rhos Ward 🔴 Lab, 137, 14.5%, -30.9% 🔶 JAY, Susan Helen, LibDem, 60, +6.3%, +6.3% 🟢 Green, 15, 1.6%, +1.6% 🟩 Plaid, 242, 25.5%, -29.1% 🔘 Ind, 494, 52.1%, +52.1% i think this is the coupon buster for the prediction game!
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 16, 2024 0:24:53 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 22:26:17 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 22:14:11 GMT
I wouldnt have a clue where to even start but there must be some on the forum who have a working knowledge of recording for YouTube/ podcasting etc? We could have special "guests" too who've been on "proper" tv like johnhemming Robert Waller et al
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 22:02:32 GMT
It's such a crazy situation that byelections have become something you only see covered in detail on the internet by amateurs, when the BBC used to think nothing of having an overnight programme even for ultra safe seats. Related to this. When the NY special election happened earlier this week, I used my VPN and watched US programming and YouTube channels which otherwise I couldn't access. I flicked between three channels - admittedly two MAGA and one exceptionally amateur so didn't stick around - and wondered why the UK doesn't have something similar. Maybe we could do a go-fund-me for our very own VoteUK News channel
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 17:59:36 GMT
Here is said video...
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 17:13:04 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 0:34:25 GMT
Lab 44.9% Con 31.1% Reform 9.9% Green 7.7% Lib Dem 5.5% UKIP 0.9%
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 0:30:24 GMT
Lab 40% Con 31% Reform 17% Lib Dem 4.4% Green 4.2% BF 1.7% OMRLP 0.6% Watts 0.4% Turner-Hawes 0.3 Pyne-Bailey 0.3 Love 0.1
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 14, 2024 23:46:37 GMT
DACORUM DC; Tring West & Rural: Lib Dem 52, Con 25, Green 14, Lab 9
EAST HAMPSHIRE DC; Four Marks & Medstead: Lib Dem 59, Con 41
KINGSTON-UPON-HULL UA; Avenue: Lib Dem 44, Lab 40, Green 9, Con 5, Ind 2
NEATH PORT TALBOT UA; Briton Ferry East: Lab 48, Ind 47, Green 5
NEATH PORT TALBOT, Rhos: PC 39, Lab 35, Ind 14, Lib Dem 7, Green 5
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 14, 2024 23:21:33 GMT
I'll be very surprised if the LDs win Sheffield Hallam. Labour won this in 2019 despite a ) their lamentable standing in the country as a whole and b ) the obvious complete unfitness to serve of the previous briefly-Labour MP. Olivia Blake should enjoy a modest first-time incumbency boost, although perhaps not much of one, plus Labour is much stronger nationally. They have had a decent & functional Labour MP for the first time & it would be surprising if she were now ousted. In Ashfield I suspect Lee Anderson will be third.Electoral Calculus, as you probably know, ranks all parties in each seat with a percentage chance of victory.
It had Labour at 44% chance Reform UK 30% Ind 13% with Lee Anderson in 4th on a 11% shot!
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 14, 2024 14:59:16 GMT
I'm not really sure I want to "see her on the job" tyvm
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 14, 2024 14:49:06 GMT
Wasnt sure where to post this, as I dont think it merits a thread of its own. However, interesting reading - albeit the sample size is only 800
A tangible Brexit "benefit" at last
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 13, 2024 22:50:41 GMT
excellent point about 9/11(regardless of whether you approved of the actions taken or not post 9/11, the point stands)
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