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Post by batman on Sept 15, 2024 18:50:48 GMT
GEDLING, Bestwood St Albans : Lab 55 C 34 LD 11
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Post by sanders on Sept 16, 2024 5:13:59 GMT
Gedling, Bestwood St Albans: Lab 51, Con 38, LD 11
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Post by robbienicoll on Sept 16, 2024 21:50:19 GMT
Next Thursday in Stockton we have a double vacancy. Are we predicting individuals, or ‘slates’ if you count the Ind and ND as a slate? . I think previous arrangements would indicate that we predict slates and treat the Ind and ND not as a slate? Top vote for the slates, Independents and No Descriptions are treated separately. This also counts for the Reform UK slate in the Highlands next week. |
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Post by robbienicoll on Sept 16, 2024 21:51:52 GMT
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Post by kevinf on Sept 17, 2024 15:12:34 GMT
Bromsgrove
Lab 49, LD 26, Con 17, Green 8
Cornwall
Lab 50, LD 35, Green 15
Hartlepool
Lab 50, Reform 39, LD 6, Green 5
Huntingdonshire
LD 29, Con 21, Ind Chapman 20, Ind Simonis 12, Green 10, Lab 8
Stockton
Lab 31, Reform 29, Con 28, LD 8, Ind Gibben 7, No Description Bell-Berry 1
Westminster Harrow Rd
Lab 46, Green 17, Ind 12, LD 11.5, Con 10.5, WP 3
Westminster West End
Lab 45, Con 30, LD 15, Green 10
Worthing
Lab 51, Con 14, Green 12, Reform 12, LD 11
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 17, 2024 15:46:04 GMT
Bromsgrove Lab 49, LD 26, Con 17, Green 8 Cornwall Lab 50, LD 35, Green 15 Hartlepool Lab 50, Reform 39, LD 6, Green 5 Huntingdonshire LD 29, Con 21, Ind Chapman 20, Ind Simonis 12, Green 10, Lab 8 Stockton Lab 31, Reform 29, Con 28, LD 8, Ind Gibben 7, No Description Bell-Berry 1 Westminster Harrow Rd Lab 46, Green 17, Ind 12, LD 11.5, Con 10.5, WP 3 Westminster West End Lab 45, Con 30, LD 15, Green 10 Worthing Lab 51, Con 14, Green 12, Reform 12, LD 11 Just for clarity with regard to Stockton - are you predicting Labour taking both seats (which is what will be assumed from the prediction)? Your prediction is close enough that it could easily be a split result, but you'd need to specify this to avoid wrong winner faults... |
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Post by batman on Sept 18, 2024 8:21:26 GMT
BROMSGROVE, Sidemoor : Lab 35 LD 32 C 27 Green 6
CORNWALL, Falmouth Penwerris : Lab 49 Green 29 LD 22
HARTLEPOOL, Burn Valley : Lab 48 RefUK 29 Green 16 LD 7
HUNTINGDONSHIRE, St Neots Eatons : C 35 LD 24 Ind Seal 16 Lab 13 Green 7 Ind Simonis 5
STOCKTON-ON-TEES, Fairfield (top candidate where applicable) : C 44 Lab 26 RefUK 13 Green 6 LD 5 Ind Gibben 4 Ball-Berry 2. C win both seats
WESTMINSTER, Harrow Road : Lab 44 C 22 Ind 13 Green 11 LD 7 WP 3
WESTMINSTER, West End : C 46 Lab 39 Green 8 LD 7
WORTHING, Marine : Lab 44 C 35 RefUK 9 Green 7 LD 5
Re Stockton, a Mohammed Waqas occasionally turns out to play for my pub cricket team but pretty sure it's not the same person!
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Post by batman on Sept 18, 2024 8:22:48 GMT
Bromsgrove Lab 49, LD 26, Con 17, Green 8 Cornwall Lab 50, LD 35, Green 15 Hartlepool Lab 50, Reform 39, LD 6, Green 5 Huntingdonshire LD 29, Con 21, Ind Chapman 20, Ind Simonis 12, Green 10, Lab 8 Stockton Lab 31, Reform 29, Con 28, LD 8, Ind Gibben 7, No Description Bell-Berry 1 Westminster Harrow Rd Lab 46, Green 17, Ind 12, LD 11.5, Con 10.5, WP 3 Westminster West End Lab 45, Con 30, LD 15, Green 10 Worthing Lab 51, Con 14, Green 12, Reform 12, LD 11 you haven't given a Green percentage in Stockton Kevin |
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andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,580 
Member is Online
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Post by andrewp on Sept 18, 2024 8:29:45 GMT
BROMSGROVE, Sidemoor : Lab 35 LD 32 C 27 Green 6 CORNWALL, Falmouth Penwerris : Lab 49 Green 29 LD 22 HARTLEPOOL, Burn Valley : Lab 44 C 29 RefUK 23 LD 4 HUNTINGDONSHIRE, St Neots Eatons : C 35 LD 24 Ind Seal 16 Lab 13 Green 7 Ind Simonis 5 STOCKTON-ON-TEES, Fairfield (top candidate where applicable) : C 44 Lab 26 RefUK 13 Green 6 LD 5 Ind Gibben 4 Ball-Berry 2. C win both seats WESTMINSTER, Harrow Road : Lab 44 C 22 Ind 13 Green 11 LD 7 WP 3 WESTMINSTER, West End : C 46 Lab 39 Green 8 LD 7 WORTHING, Marine : Lab 44 C 35 RefUK 9 Green 7 LD 5 Re Stockton, a Mohammed Waqas occasionally turns out to play for my pub cricket team but pretty sure it's not the same person! You’ve got a Con instead of a Green in Hartlepool. |
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Post by batman on Sept 18, 2024 8:56:43 GMT
thanks. Must get my eyes tested. Dohh.
Duly edited.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 18, 2024 11:17:39 GMT
I think that is rather harsh and uncalled for. Slip ups like this are actually astonishingly easy, especially if you are in a bit of a rush to post.
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 18, 2024 11:58:14 GMT
I think that is rather harsh and uncalled for. Slip ups like this are actually astonishingly easy, especially if you are in a bit of a rush to post. I had already deleted it. It is not harsh. It is just accurate. Modern generations are much more slipshod and careless in everything. This is just one exemplar of it. Poor English structure and spelling. No proof reading. Very bad punctuation. Tendency to being innumerate and verging on illiterate. Heavy reliance on being tidied up by auto-systems. Obsession with concision and quantity and speed of response way over quality of content and considered judgement. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 18, 2024 12:00:05 GMT
Bromsgrove: Con 31.7; Lab 29.1; LD 26.3; Grn 12.9
Cornwall: Lab 60.1; LD 23.3; Grn 16.6
Hartlepool: Lab 50.7; RefUK 33.2; LD 12.4; Grn 3.7
Huntingdonshire: Con 28.7; Simonis 23.6; LD 21.4; Chapman 14.1; Grn 6.6; Lab 5.6
Stockton: Con 40.0; Lab 24.8; RefUK 21.7; LD 5.4; Gibben 4.5; Grn 2.1; Ball-Berry 1.5 (2xCon)
Harrow Rd: Lab 57.7; Con 19.7; LD 9.9; Grn 5.6; Dharamsey 4.3; WP 2.8
West End: Lab 43.6; Con 42.2; LD 8.7; Grn 5.5
Worthing: Lab 51.6; Con 29.3; Grn 9.0; LD 5.2; RefUK 4.9
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Post by johnloony on Sept 18, 2024 12:49:53 GMT
I think that is rather harsh and uncalled for. Slip ups like this are actually astonishingly easy, especially if you are in a bit of a rush to post. I had already deleted it. It is not harsh. It is just accurate. Modern generations are much more slipshod and careless in everything. This is just one exemplar of it. Poor English structure and spelling. No proof reading. Very bad punctuation. Tendency to being innumerate and verging on illiterate. Heavy reliance on being tidied up by auto-systems. Obsession with concision and quantity and speed of response way over quality of content and considered judgement. Just within the last week or so I have spotted a couple of typographical errors in my Yellow Book of Poems - page 101 has a space missing between the hyphen and “1943”, and page 103 line 2 has an S missing after the apostrophe after “Atlantic”. |
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Post by ClevelandYorks on Sept 18, 2024 13:37:24 GMT
BROMSGROVE, Sidemoor: LibDem 41, Lab 33, Con 19, Green 7
CORNWALL, Falmouth Penwerris: Lab 64, LibDem 20, Green 16
HARTLEPOOL, Burn Valley: Lab 48, Reform 43, Green 6, LibDem 3
HUNTINGDONSHIRE, St Neots Eatons: LibDem 29, Con 22, Ind (Chapman) 21, Ind (Simonis) 11, Lab 9, Green 8
STOCKTON, Fairfield: Con 34, Lab 32, Reform 19, LibDem 7, Green 4, Ind 3, No Desc 1 – Miller [CON] and Jennings [LAB] elected
WESTMINSTER, Harrow Road: Lab 62, Con 12, Ind 9, LibDem 8, Green 5, Workers' 4
WESTMINSTER, West End: Con 45, Lab 43, LibDem 7, Green 5
WORTHING, Marine: Lab 52, Con 19, Ref 14, Green 10, LibDem 5
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 18, 2024 13:46:29 GMT
I had already deleted it. It is not harsh. It is just accurate. Modern generations are much more slipshod and careless in everything. This is just one exemplar of it. Poor English structure and spelling. No proof reading. Very bad punctuation. Tendency to being innumerate and verging on illiterate. Heavy reliance on being tidied up by auto-systems. Obsession with concision and quantity and speed of response way over quality of content and considered judgement. Just within the last week or so I have spotted a couple of typographical errors in my Yellow Book of Poems - page 101 has a space missing between the hyphen and “1943”, and page 103 line 2 has an S missing after the apostrophe after “Atlantic”. I empathize John in that never-ending task. It needs to be proof read at least three times, preferably by efficient careful third parties. It you had been published by a quality real publisher that would have been attended to. |
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Post by johnloony on Sept 18, 2024 14:09:36 GMT
Just within the last week or so I have spotted a couple of typographical errors in my Yellow Book of Poems - page 101 has a space missing between the hyphen and “1943”, and page 103 line 2 has an S missing after the apostrophe after “Atlantic”. I empathize John in that never-ending task. It needs to be proof read at least three times, preferably by efficient careful third parties. It you had been published by by a quality real publisher that would have been attended to.  |
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 18, 2024 14:14:39 GMT
I empathize John in that never-ending task. It needs to be proof read at least three times, preferably by efficient careful third parties. It you had been published by by a quality real publisher that would have been attended to. And is goodbye from you. |
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,447
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Sept 18, 2024 14:18:00 GMT
Welcome Mr Corbett or Barker |
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cathyc
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,094
Member is Online
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Post by cathyc on Sept 18, 2024 14:23:24 GMT
I've never entered the competition and so not read the rules and may have misunderstood how it is calculated.
If it is based on the difference between a predicted percentage share for each candidate and the share they actually achieve then wouldn't it be simpler for the the volunteers running it to accept all entries, mistakes and all? It's more likely to make the prediction less accurate anyway.
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