Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2024 3:28:53 GMT
The Independent is going to win here, apparently. No great surprise given results elsewhere. I put £20 on him doing so at 10/1 so I'll actually make a profit this year it seems. |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on Jul 5, 2024 3:59:17 GMT
Not even close.
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Post by mrsir on Jul 6, 2024 8:12:52 GMT
The winning candidate here seems relatively sensible personally even if his views will probably be absolutely batshit.
Akhmed Yakoob he is not.
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Post by markgoodair on Jul 6, 2024 17:32:46 GMT
Alllah Akba praise be to Allah the Almighty. Thanks to Mr Mohamed’s win Marky Mark won £220 on betting on his win.
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Post by rcronald on Jul 7, 2024 9:40:05 GMT
Alllah Akba praise be to Allah the Almighty. Thanks to Mr Mohamed’s win Marky Mark won £220 on betting on his win. Probably one of the only seats where I would have placed a bet if I was a betting man. |
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
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Post by Foggy on Jul 8, 2024 2:56:35 GMT
Alllah Akba praise be to Allah the Almighty. Thanks to Mr Mohamed’s win Marky Mark won £220 on betting on his win. Probably one of the only seats where I would have placed a bet if I was a batting man. Now then, 'tis just not cricket, I tell thee. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 8, 2024 17:54:46 GMT
Notable perhaps that the winners both here and in Leicester *didn't* just campaign on Israel/Palestine.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 9, 2024 1:31:55 GMT
Notable perhaps that the winners both here and in Leicester *didn't* just campaign on Israel/Palestine. This MP is an Engineer with a degree from Durham who is fairly soft-spoken. Not every independent is a crackpot. Let's give the man a chance and see how he does. |
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bsjmcr
Non-Aligned
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Post by bsjmcr on Jul 10, 2024 10:24:41 GMT
Notable perhaps that the winners both here and in Leicester *didn't* just campaign on Israel/Palestine. This MP is an Engineer with a degree from Durham who is fairly soft-spoken. Not every independent is a crackpot. Let's give the man a chance and see how he does. I do wonder how well he would have done in the more WWC Thornhill/Chickenley areas. Would he have campaigned there and would they have liked to see an independent to show discontent with Labour (the council) or would Reform have hoovered up the votes there? |
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edgbaston
Labour
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Post by edgbaston on Jul 10, 2024 10:33:12 GMT
This MP is an Engineer with a degree from Durham who is fairly soft-spoken. Not every independent is a crackpot. Let's give the man a chance and see how he does. I do wonder how well he would have done in the more WWC Thornhill/Chickenley areas. Would he have campaigned there and would they have liked to see an independent to show discontent with Labour (the council) or would Reform have hoovered up the votes there? For Reform to have polled 6k+ across the seat they must have won in East or been 50/50, the Tories probably got a silly amount of their vote from the two villages Grange Moor and Flockton. Though the turnout was just so low I suppose anything could have happened. While Labour probably won the white vote and Mohamed the Asian it wasn't as simple as plain sectarianism. There were plenty of white volunteers supporting the independent, as well as some Muslim community leaders and Cllrs who stayed true to Labour. |
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Post by markgoodair on Jul 10, 2024 11:36:05 GMT
This MP is an Engineer with a degree from Durham who is fairly soft-spoken. Not every independent is a crackpot. Let's give the man a chance and see how he does. I do wonder how well he would have done in the more WWC Thornhill/Chickenley areas. Would he have campaigned there and would they have liked to see an independent to show discontent with Labour (the council) or would Reform have hoovered up the votes there? Certainly looking at his twitter feed he did campaign in Chickenley. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 10, 2024 11:37:23 GMT
As in the other Indy gains, quite a lot of the white vote backed Reform - it certainly didn't swing behind Labour in the way some party indiders hoped.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on Jul 10, 2024 15:36:07 GMT
As in the other Indy gains, quite a lot of the white vote backed Reform - it certainly didn't swing behind Labour in the way some party indiders hoped. I don't think that can really be true of Leicester South or Perry Barr, where Reform only just saved their deposits. I did think it might be true here, and that was partly why I thought this was the most likely Independent (or Workers Party) gain from Labour. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 10, 2024 15:37:08 GMT
Blackburn had a higher Reform vote as well, though.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 10, 2024 15:41:14 GMT
As in the other Indy gains, quite a lot of the white vote backed Reform - it certainly didn't swing behind Labour in the way some party indiders hoped. Why are we focusing on the white vote so much when 1) Labour weren't likely to win bucketloads of white votes in such seats' 2) these seats are majority minority? |
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 11, 2024 13:15:14 GMT
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Post by markgoodair on Jul 24, 2024 11:48:07 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 27, 2024 21:24:49 GMT
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Merseymike
Independent
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Post by Merseymike on Jul 27, 2024 21:34:34 GMT
Pogrund is obsessed with Muslims.
The MP won - because of 1. Palestine, 2. The dreadful Labour candidate 3. The problems of Dewsbury and Batley including poverty and housing.
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Post by Johncrane on Jul 27, 2024 21:38:58 GMT
It seems vague enough that nothing will happen IMO, since he says that they have a duty to vote for a just representative and he will try to be that just representative, so it could be understood as an appeal to vote. |
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