stb12
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:51:23 GMT
Ilford North
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Post by John Chanin on Mar 18, 2024 3:52:41 GMT
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Post by london(ex)tory on Mar 22, 2024 6:52:10 GMT
After having been the Agent for the Tory candidate here last time, it feels rather appropriate that this is where I’ll be standing this time. Boundary changes not particularly helpful - losing Bridge ward is a shame - but can’t do much about that.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 29, 2024 19:11:05 GMT
Notional results since 1945. The 2019 result is the 'official' (Thrasher & Rallings) notional - the others are my own work | | Con | Lab | Lib |
| | | | | | | | 1945 | 39.6% | 39.0% | 21.4% | | | 1950 | 53.4% | 36.2% | 10.2% | | | 1951 | 57.1% | 37.9% | 5.0% | | | 1955 | 57.7% | 35.2% | 7.2% | | | 1959 | 55.7% | 29.3% | 15.1% | | | 1964 | 46.7% | 32.0% | 21.2% | | | 1966 | 46.5% | 40.3% | 13.1% | |
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD | NF/BNP |
| | | | | | | | | | | 1970 | 52.4% | 36.4% | 10.7% | | | | | 1974 | 41.7% | 34.2% | 24.1% | | | | | 1974 | 44.0% | 38.4% | 17.5% | | | | | 1979 | 53.8% | 34.0% | 10.0% | 1.7% | | | | 1983 | 53.3% | 23.9% | 22.3% | | | | | 1987 | 57.1% | 26.6% | 16.3% | | | | | 1992 | 55.9% | 32.9% | 10.9% | | | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP/
BXP | NF/BNP | Grn | | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 39.3% | 50.2% | 8.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | | | 2001 | 38.5% | 49.8% | 9.4% | 2.3% | | | | 2005 | 41.7% | 42.5% | 12.9% | 1.9% | | | | 2010 | 43.0% | 38.2% | 12.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | | 2015 | 40.4% | 48.0% | 1.9% | 7.4% | | 2.2% | | 2017 | 36.4% | 61.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | | 0.3% | | 2019 | 36.7% | 54.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | | 1.4% |
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Post by batman on Apr 29, 2024 20:21:52 GMT
some Churchill votes making this Conservative in 1945? (Labour did not stand against Churchill in Woodford in 1945.)
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 29, 2024 20:29:31 GMT
some Churchill votes making this Conservative in 1945? (Labour did not stand against Churchill in Woodford in 1945.) No on the new boundaries this seat is entirely east of the Roding. I was surprised by this result - it seems counterintuitive, but its bascially explained by the swapping of Chadwell and Seven Kings (Labour in 1945) with Cranbrook (strongly Conservative then). Of course relative to the 1945 boundaries the seat has gained most of Hainault, but there wasn't much there in 1945.. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 29, 2024 20:32:13 GMT
Actually thinking about it, there would be a small area in this seat which would have been part of Churchill's seat, not in Woodford itself but in the part of Hainault which was then part of Chigwell. So perhaps there should be a handful of Independent votes as well as a few more Conservatives, but again - there wasn't really anything there in 1945
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Post by batman on Apr 29, 2024 21:48:12 GMT
I have never actually been to Hainault, so I wasn't aware it was postwar. I thought it was older like Harold Hill.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Apr 29, 2024 22:55:51 GMT
It was part of three local authorities for a time (along with Essex CC), namely Chigwell UD, Dagenham MB, and Ilford MB.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 30, 2024 4:42:21 GMT
I have never actually been to Hainault, so I wasn't aware it was postwar. I thought it was older like Harold Hill. Harold Hill is post-war too |
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Post by batman on Apr 30, 2024 6:22:33 GMT
I have never actually been to Hainault, so I wasn't aware it was postwar. I thought it was older like Harold Hill. Harold Hill is post-war too so long since I have been there too….memory appears to be going |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 30, 2024 11:15:21 GMT
I have never actually been to Hainault, so I wasn't aware it was postwar. I thought it was older like Harold Hill. Hainault is suddenly and sadly in the news this morning. |
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rcronald
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Post by rcronald on Apr 30, 2024 13:51:59 GMT
I have never actually been to Hainault, so I wasn't aware it was postwar. I thought it was older like Harold Hill. Hainault is suddenly and sadly in the news this morning. Relevant to the Capital punishment thread… |
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Post by swingometer on Apr 30, 2024 16:32:18 GMT
Why are police not armed, if they shot him that young lad would still be here
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Apr 30, 2024 21:33:55 GMT
Why are police not armed, if they shot him that young lad would still be here And, as we see in USA, tens of young lads would be dead, killed by trigger-happy policemen. |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by john07 on Apr 30, 2024 22:28:33 GMT
Why are police not armed, if they shot him that young lad would still be here And, as we see in USA, tens of young lads would be dead, killed by trigger-happy policemen. And of course there are never any mass shootings in the USA! |
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on May 1, 2024 6:53:08 GMT
Why are police not armed, if they shot him that young lad would still be here And, as we see in USA, tens of young lads would be dead, killed by trigger-happy policemen. I see that as a bonus and not as a detriment. |
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rcronald
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Post by rcronald on May 1, 2024 7:06:21 GMT
And, as we see in USA, tens of young lads would be dead, killed by trigger-happy policemen. And of course there are never any mass shootings in the USA! TBF, allowing police officers to carry small caliber firearms doesn’t equal allowing civilians to carry them. |
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on May 1, 2024 7:08:23 GMT
And of course there are never any mass shootings in the USA! TBF, allowing police to carry a firearm doesn’t equal allowing civilians to carry them. Except a large minority of middle aged, middle class white males of course. |
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Post by norflondon on Jun 2, 2024 6:01:52 GMT
Is Wesley in danger here? Independent candidate Leanne Mohammed is building up a good following, it's being reported.
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