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Post by yellowperil on Sept 21, 2023 21:21:55 GMT
At the risk of looking daft in a few hours The ward had a three way marginal result in 2007 before Alec Clarke did put everyone behind on roughly equal preference shares. Labour ran an organised campaign and their candidate is the daughter of the Labour councillor from Troon. www.andrewteale.me.uk/leap/ward/10700/My prediction pitch at first had the three close enough for the transfers becoming enough of a headache to pick the lazy and risk-averse conservative option. The reason for putting Labour third was their third spot in South Ayrshire in 2022 and likely not running campaigns in the last elections in this ward. I read somewhere that the SNP candidate lives in Girvan and the only one in the ward, and the rest of what i could glean also gave a wee bit the impression of last week's Swale Indy campa.  Back in the days when FPTP could shut the SNP out in South Ayrshire, Labour clearly carried what's now this ward in the 2003 local elections. Of the three predecessor wards, Labour won Girvan Glendoune and South Carrick while the Conservatives won Girvan Ailsa.   I do like the idea of Ailsa Craig as a Tory stronghold, maybe soon one of the last few bits of blue on the map (or maybe not). Typical Tory place too- they leave their shit all over the place. |
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Post by batman on Sept 21, 2023 21:50:17 GMT
I seem to remember that there's a hole on one of the championship golf courses called Ailsa Craig, but I can't remember which one. Maybe Troon.
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Post by manchesterman on Sept 21, 2023 21:52:42 GMT
I seem to remember that there's a hole on one of the championship golf courses called Ailsa Craig, but I can't remember which one. Maybe Troon. i thought it was St Andrews, but Troon makes more sense I guess... |
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Post by manchesterman on Sept 21, 2023 21:59:26 GMT
I seem to remember that there's a hole on one of the championship golf courses called Ailsa Craig, but I can't remember which one. Maybe Troon. i thought it was St Andrews, but Troon makes more sense I guess... It turns out to the the 1st hole at Turnberry!
Hole 1 - Ailsa Craig - PAR 4
The Ailsa Craig, named after the Ailsa rock in the Firth of Clyde, is visible from almost every hole on the course. This opening hole must not be underestimated, clubbing and accuracy are key to avoiding the strategically placed greenside bunkers.
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Post by olympian95 on Sept 21, 2023 22:11:27 GMT
Hearing Tories have won in Girvan
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Post by phil156 on Sept 21, 2023 22:14:38 GMT
Hearing Tories have won in Girvan That was fast they have 9 ballot boxes dotted around the ward |
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Post by manchesterman on Sept 21, 2023 22:19:45 GMT
Hearing Tories have won in Girvan More interestingly, your post is the first reference to the band Gene I've seen in ages! |
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Post by batman on Sept 21, 2023 22:22:25 GMT
it does seem surprising we have a positive result this soon
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 21, 2023 22:23:53 GMT
Hull, Bricknell ward turnout 35%.
High for a council byelection, reflective of some intense campaigning.
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Post by olympian95 on Sept 21, 2023 22:40:06 GMT
Hearing Tories have won in Girvan More interestingly, your post is the first reference to the band Gene I've seen in ages! Glad someone approves 😉 |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 21, 2023 22:42:32 GMT
South Ayrshire, Girvan and South Carrick turnout was 32.4%.
2802 ballots verified so the quota is 1,402 (at maximum).
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,426 
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Post by iain on Sept 21, 2023 23:10:27 GMT
Labour hold in Hull
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 21, 2023 23:20:31 GMT
I guess Girvan must have at least first prefs as we have this news that Alba polled 2.5%.
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Post by threecrowns on Sept 21, 2023 23:23:21 GMT
John Fareham (Conservative) – 418 votes Sharon Hofman (Labour) – 919 votes Lucy Lennon (Liberal Democrats) – 647 votes Kevin Paulson (Green) – 98 votes James Steele (Yorkshire Party) – 19 |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 21, 2023 23:23:38 GMT
SOUTH AYRSHIRE Girvan and South Carrick - First prefs
Valid votes 2,770; Quota 1,386
LAMONT, Alan (Conservative) 1,315
McLAUGHLIN, Joseph (SNP) 778
SAXTON, Nicola (Labour) 499
ROSS, Jamie (Liberal Democrat) 108
SOMMERVILLE, Denise (Alba) 70
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 21, 2023 23:35:14 GMT
Stage 2 - Sommerville's votes:
Lamont (C) 8
McLaughlin (SNP) 24
Ross (L Dem) 5
Saxton (Lab) 8
Non-transferrable 25.
Lamont hasn't made quota so Ross has now been eliminated.
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Post by manchesterman on Sept 21, 2023 23:38:46 GMT
John Fareham (Conservative) – 418 votes Sharon Hofman (Labour) – 919 votes Lucy Lennon (Liberal Democrats) – 647 votes Kevin Paulson (Green) – 98 votes James Steele (Yorkshire Party) – 19 I make that
Lab 43.7% LD 30.8% Con 19.9% Green 4.7% Yorks 0.9%
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Post by manchesterman on Sept 21, 2023 23:40:09 GMT
SOUTH AYRSHIRE Girvan and South Carrick - First prefs Valid votes 2,770; Quota 1,386 LAMONT, Alan (Conservative) 1,315 McLAUGHLIN, Joseph (SNP) 778 SAXTON, Nicola (Labour) 499 ROSS, Jamie (Liberal Democrat) 108 SOMMERVILLE, Denise (Alba) 70
Con 47.5% SNP 28.1% Lab 18% LD 3.9% Alba 2.5%
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Post by jimboo2017 on Sept 21, 2023 23:42:51 GMT
i thought it was St Andrews, but Troon makes more sense I guess... It turns out to the the 1st hole at Turnberry!
Hole 1 - Ailsa Craig - PAR 4
The Ailsa Craig, named after the Ailsa rock in the Firth of Clyde, is visible from almost every hole on the course. This opening hole must not be underestimated, clubbing and accuracy are key to avoiding the strategically placed greenside bunkers.
"Trump Turnberry" |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 21, 2023 23:45:00 GMT
Stage 3 - Ross's votes:
Lamont (C) + 23 = 1,346
McLaughlin (SNP) + 22 = 824
Saxton (Lab) +44 = 551
Non-transferrable +24 = 49
Saxton eliminated.
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