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Post by andrewp on Sept 22, 2018 13:55:56 GMT
The largest village in Ottery St Mary Rural is West Hill I believe, which is a slightly unusual Devon village, largely post war big houses in big plots. Its interesting that the Independents/ EDA haven’t yet got going in the East Devon wards that are in the Tiverton and Honiton constituency. I have heard that Neil Parish is a much more diligent local MP than Hugo Swire and I wonder if that is a slight factor- Parish is a farmer and has a local accent. Swire is an old Etonian. The largest village in the ward but very atypical. I guessed upthread that that was where the Tory vote would remain solid, and its where their candidate came from. Claire is obviously interested in her own parliamentary constituency and I imagine any attempt to break out into T&H would need someone else with similar vision and drive to take them on, and I suspect there isn't anybody who fits that description. Yes, the East Devon local elections would be a good opportunity to try and break out, as taking it into NOC and possible coalition with the Lib Dem’s seems within reach if they can break out, |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 23, 2018 14:04:01 GMT
The largest village in the ward but very atypical. I guessed upthread that that was where the Tory vote would remain solid, and its where their candidate came from. Claire is obviously interested in her own parliamentary constituency and I imagine any attempt to break out into T&H would need someone else with similar vision and drive to take them on, and I suspect there isn't anybody who fits that description. Yes, the East Devon local elections would be a good opportunity to try and break out, as taking it into NOC and possible coalition with the Lib Dem’s seems within reach if they can break out, I have been looking at all the rural wards in the north-west corner of East Devon and they look highly vulnerable to a two-pronged EDA/LD attack, from Exe Valley (already close), right round to Dunkeswell. I know this patch fairly well, having family in Feniton and my son also had a house in Broadclyst until relatively recently. I wonder about local issues including the impact of the development of Cranbrook. Looks a better target area than Honiton itself, oddly enough. |
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Post by andrewp on Sept 23, 2018 14:21:49 GMT
Yes, the East Devon local elections would be a good opportunity to try and break out, as taking it into NOC and possible coalition with the Lib Dem’s seems within reach if they can break out, I have been looking at all the rural wards in the north-west corner of East Devon and they look highly vulnerable to a two-pronged EDA/LD attack, from Exe Valley (already close), right round to Dunkeswell. I know this patch fairly well, having family in Feniton and my son also had a house in Broadclyst until relatively recently. I wonder about local issues including the impact of the development of Cranbrook. Looks a better target area than Honiton itself, oddly enough. I was just looking at the County election results from last year and there were only three EDA candidates amongst 9 divisions in East Devon. They came a closeish second in Axminster and Sidmouth, and narrowly won in Seaton, so 3 divisions in the Eastern end of the district. |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 23, 2018 15:45:06 GMT
I have been looking at all the rural wards in the north-west corner of East Devon and they look highly vulnerable to a two-pronged EDA/LD attack, from Exe Valley (already close), right round to Dunkeswell. I know this patch fairly well, having family in Feniton and my son also had a house in Broadclyst until relatively recently. I wonder about local issues including the impact of the development of Cranbrook. Looks a better target area than Honiton itself, oddly enough. I was just looking at the County election results from last year and there were only three EDA candidates amongst 9 divisions in East Devon. They came a closeish second in Axminster and Sidmouth, and narrowly won in Seaton, so 3 divisions in the Eastern end of the district. Two issues there I think - larger county divisions are more difficult for independent or localist candidates to make a showing-unless you are Claire Wright of course. And at county level it is both easier and more necessary for the Lib Dems to field a candidate. Might like to see one EDA and one LD in the 2 member Broadclyst division though. Though given how badly I read that Ottery rural result who am I to pontificate? ( especially as we are still on that thread).  |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 24, 2018 19:38:50 GMT
Lichfield Con 50.7; Lab 27.9; LD 21.4
Nottingham: Lab 43.2; Con 36.3; NI 12.4; LD 4.0; Grn 2.4; Elvis 1.7
Salford: Lab 58.9; Con 23.1; LD 7.4; UKIP 4.8; Grn 4.6; WEQ 1.2
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Post by Right Leaning on Sept 26, 2018 11:59:15 GMT
Lichfield C 46, Lab 28, LD 26
Nottingham Lab 49, C 31, LD 11, Gn 5, Clifton Ind 3, Elvis 1
Salford Lab 65, C 16, LD 11, Gn 4, UKIP 2, WE 2
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Post by thirdchill on Sept 26, 2018 17:58:49 GMT
Lichfield Con 46; Lab 30; LD 24
Nottingham: Lab 41; Con 29; NI 24; LD 3; Grn 2; Elvis 1
Salford: Lab 55; Con 26; Grn 8; LD 6; UKIP 3; WEQ 2
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Post by robbienicoll on Sept 26, 2018 22:36:50 GMT
Stowe, Lichfield: Con 39, Lab 35, LD 26
Clifton North, Nottingham: Con 41, Lab 44, LD 3, Green 6, Nottingham Ind 5, Bus Pass Elvis 1
Eccles, Salford: Con 24, Lab 58, LD 5, Green 7, UKIP 3, WEP 3
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Post by greenhert on Sept 26, 2018 22:55:19 GMT
Lichfield DC, Stowe: Conservative 43, Labour 34, Liberal Democrats 23.
Nottingham UA, Clifton North: Labour 44, Conservative 41, Nottingham Independents 9, Liberal Democrats 3, Green 2, Bus Pass Elvis 1.
Salford MBC, Eccles: Labour 57, Conservative 27, Green 6, Liberal Democrats 5, UKIP 3, WEP 2.
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 26, 2018 23:13:18 GMT
Lichfield C 47, Lab 27, LD 26
Nottingham Lab 43, C 35, LD 7, Gn 3, Clifton Ind 10, Elvis 2
Salford Lab 62, C 21, LD 5, Gn 5, UKIP 4, WE 3
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 26, 2018 23:37:12 GMT
LICHFIELD Stowe: C 47, Lab 34, L Dem 19
NOTTINGHAM Clifton North: Lab 44, C 41, L Dem 6, Ind 4, GP 3, Elvis 2
SALFORD Eccles: Lab 62, C 21, GP 8, L Dem 6, UKIP 3, WEP 3
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Post by lukedickinson on Sept 27, 2018 0:07:12 GMT
Lichfield: Con 48, Lab 34, LD 18.
Nottingham: Lab 38, Con 36, Ind 12, LD 7, Grn 5, Elvis 2.
Salford: Lab 55, Con 18, Grn 12, LD 8, UKIP 4, WEP 3.
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 27, 2018 1:17:54 GMT
Lichfield, Stowe: Con 40, Lab 35, LD 25
Nottingham, Clifton North: Con 35, Lab 45, LD 4, Green 4, Nott Ind 10, Elvis 2
Salford, Eccles: Con 25, Lab 60, LD 5, Green 5, UKIP 3, WE 2
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Post by andrewp on Sept 27, 2018 6:44:16 GMT
Lichfield, Stowe Con 42, Lab 35, Lib Dem 23
Nottingham, Clifton North Lab 42, Con 39, NottInd 8, Lib Dem 6, Green 3, Elvis 2
Salford, Eccles. Lab 57, Con 24, Lib Dem 10, Green 4, Ukip 3, WEP 2
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Post by olympian95 on Sept 27, 2018 6:48:59 GMT
Lichfield: Con 46, Lab 39, LD 15
Nottingham: Lab 39, Con 36, Ind 14, LD 6, Bus Pass Elvis 3, Green 2
Salford: Lab 56, Con 21, Green 9, UKIP 7, LD 5, Women’s equality 2
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Post by hempie on Sept 27, 2018 7:21:51 GMT
Lichfield, Stowe: Con 46, Lab 36, LD 18
Nottingham, Clifton North: Con 41, Lab 39,Nottingham Ind 8, LD 7, Green 3, Bus Pass Elvis 2
Salford, Eccles; Lab 54, Con 25, LD 10, Green 4, WEP 4, UKIP 3
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2018 16:35:13 GMT
Lichfield, Stowe: Con 45, Lab 40, LD 15
Nottingham, Clifton North: Con 45, Lab 40,Nottingham Ind 5, LD 6, Green 2, Bus Pass Elvis 2
Salford, Eccles; Lab 50, Con 30, LD 9, Green 3, WEP 1, UKIP 7
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 27, 2018 19:59:16 GMT
13 entries again this week although priceofdawn gets 3 x 70 additional faults for not posting until around 5.30 pm. David Boothroyd gets 3 additional faults for adding to 103% in Salford.
Lichfield, Stowe: 100% Conservative hold, majority over Labour from 4% (robbienicoll) to 22.8% (Tony Otim)
Nottingham, Clifton North: 11 Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 2% (Luke Dickinson) to 12% (thirdchill), hempie & priceofdawn Conservative gain
Salford, Eccles: 100% Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 20% (priceofdawn) to 49% (Right Leaning)
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 28, 2018 8:21:05 GMT
I reckon congratulations are due to Hempie for the week, and Andrew P for his first monthly win - very well done, and how nice to have a new winner!
Hempie second for the month and Olympian third. Looks close for the next three places between Greenrobinhood, Thirdchill and Tonyotim; looking forward to the official and accurate results.
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 28, 2018 9:13:15 GMT
For Week 4 and Month| Authority | Lichfield | Nottingham | Salford | Week 4 | Week 4 | Weeks 1 - 3 | Month | Month | | Ward | Stowe | Clifton North | Eccles | faults | position | faults | faults | position | andrewp | 11.9 | 23.8+10 | 9.0 | 54.7 | 4th | 383.4 | 438.1 | 1st | Olympian 95 | 4.1 | 24.1+10 | 12.2 | 50.4 | 2nd | 412.8 | 463.1 | 3rd | hempie | 5.7 | 19.8 | 9.8 | 35.3 | 1st | 415.6 | 450.9 | 2nd | Third Chill | 17.7 | 40.1+10 | 8.1 | 75.9 | 10th | 417.2 | 493.1 | 4th | Tony Otim | 21.9 | 22.8+10 | 8.7 | 63.4 | 6th | 436.4 | 499.9 | 6th | greenrobinhood | 11.9 | 20.5+10 | 10.6 | 53.0 | 3rd | 443.9 | 496.9 | 5th | Yellow Peril | 15.9 | 27.8+10 | 12.6 | 66.3 | 8th | 456.6 | 522.9 | 7th | Right Leaning | 21.7 | 51.1+10 | 27.0 | 109.9 | 12th | 466.9 | 576.7 | 12th | David Boothroyd | 9.7 | 27.8+10 | 17.4+3 | 67.9 | 9th | 469.5 | 537.3 | 8th | Robert Waller | 23.7 | 27.8+10 | 16.9 | 78.4 | 11th | 471.2 | 549.6 | 9th | robbienicoll | 17.9 | 27.8+10 | 10.4 | 66.1 | 7th | 490.8 | 557.0 | 11th | Luke Dickinson | 9.7 | 23.4+10 | 14.5 | 57.6 | 5th | 492.8 | 550.4 | 10th | priceofdawn | 4.1+70 | 18.4+70 | 17.6+70 | 250.1 | 13th | 494.9 | 745.0 | 13th | Total | 176.2+70 | 355.0+110+70 | 174.8+3+70 | 1,029.0 |
| 5,852.0 | 6,881.0 |
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Objections please by noon Sunday. New thread for October
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