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Post by yellowperil on Sept 7, 2018 5:16:21 GMT
middleenglander - not a big issue, but I did add up to 100 in Carlisle. Originally I did add up to 101 but that was corrected well inside the deadline after being alerted to the error by another competitor who kindly sent me a PM, so I wouldn't like his kind gesture to have been in vain! As he chose to do it by PM I have preserved his anonymity! Of course I have not at this moment seen the full figures for that election, so the correction may well have a knock on effect on other fault numbers- I took the surplus 1% off UKIP and am yet to know whether that was the right decision.
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 7, 2018 16:52:37 GMT
middleenglander - not a big issue, but I did add up to 100 in Carlisle. Originally I did add up to 101 but that was corrected well inside the deadline after being alerted to the error by another competitor who kindly sent me a PM, so I wouldn't like his kind gesture to have been in vain! As he chose to do it by PM I have preserved his anonymity! Of course I have not at this moment seen the full figures for that election, so the correction may well have a knock on effect on other fault numbers- I took the surplus 1% off UKIP and am yet to know whether that was the right decision. Appeal upheld. |
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 7, 2018 17:16:02 GMT
For Week 1| Authority | Carlisle | Cumbria | Fife | Tameside | Week 1 | Week 1 | | Ward | Denton Holme | Denton Holme | Inverkeithing
& Dalgety Bay | Ashton Waterloo | faults | position | andrewp | 2.9 | 4.0 | 22.3 | 32.9 | 62.1 | 3rd | David Boothroyd | 14.0 | 12.0 | 34.0+10 | 24.9 | 94.9 | 12th | Europeanlefty | 7.0 | 15.0 | 39.7 | 42.9 | 104.6 | 14th | greenrobinhood | 4.1 | 7.0 | 16.3 | 30.9 | 58.3 | 1st | hempie | 3.0 | 5.0 | 26.0 | 28.9 | 62.9 | 4th | Luke Dickinson | 13.9 | 9.5 | 32.1 | 27.0 | 82.6 | 10th | Olympian95 | 22.9 | 30.0 | 28.0 | 22.9 | 103.8 | 13th | priceofdawn | 15.9 | 18.3 | 35.7 | 22.9 | 92.7 | 11th | Right Leaning | 14.0 | 10.0 | 17.7 | 36.9 | 78.6 | 8th | robbienicoll | 4.1 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 32.9 | 78.0 | 7th | Robert Waller | 5.0 | 5.8 | 18.0 | 32.9 | 61.6 | 2nd | Third Chill | 15.9 | 10.3 | 26.0 | 28.9 | 81.1 | 9th | Tony Otim | 6.8 | 6.0 | 20.9 | 32.7 | 66.3 | 5th | Yellow Peril | 5.0 | 6.5 | 26.0 | 32.9 | 70.4 | 6th | Total | 134.3 | 152.6 | 370.4+10 | 430.4 | 1,097.8 |
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Objections please by noon Sunday There are 6 by-elections next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 11, 2018 9:56:24 GMT
Predictions 13/9:
Cambridge: Lab 56.1; LD 23.3; Con 10.4; Grn 10.2
Charnwood: Con 38.0; Lab 28.8; LD 25.6; UKIP 4.2; Grn 3.4
Lambeth: Lab 62.6; Grn 18.8; LD 8.2; Con 5.9; WEP 2.4; UKIP 2.1
Maidstone: Con 72.7; Lab 13.2; LD 9.9; Grn 4.2
New Forest: LD 40.4; Con 40.2; Lab 14.9; Ind 4.5
Pembrokeshire: Harvey 28.8; Con 27.5; Lab 13.8; Bush 12.7; Nutting 9.4; Williams 2.9; Boucher 2.7; Edwards 2.2
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Post by lukedickinson on Sept 12, 2018 0:40:46 GMT
Cambridge: Lab 50, LD 38, Grn 7, Con 5.
Charnwood: LD 42, Con 32, Lab 15, Grn 6, UKIP 3.
Lambeth: Lab 55, Grn 20, Con 8, LD 6, WEP 7, UKIP 4.
Maidstone: Con 65, LD 25, Lab 6, Grn 4.
New Forest: Con 42, LD 34, Lab 14, Ind 10.
Pembrokeshire: Con 28, Harvey 20, Lab 14, Bush 10, Nutting 10, Williams 8, Boucher 6, Edwards 4.
Harvey to win after transfers.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 12, 2018 7:31:29 GMT
Pembrokeshire: Con 28, Harvey 20, Lab 14, Bush 10, Nutting 10, Williams 8, Boucher 6, Edwards 4. Harvey to win after transfers. Does anyone else want to tell him, or should I? |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 12, 2018 7:39:01 GMT
Pembrokeshire: Con 28, Harvey 20, Lab 14, Bush 10, Nutting 10, Williams 8, Boucher 6, Edwards 4. Harvey to win after transfers. Does anyone else want to tell him, or should I? go on,you do it! |
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Post by thirdchill on Sept 12, 2018 18:16:36 GMT
Cambridge: Lab 50; LD 29; Grn 13; Con 8
Charnwood: LD 35; Con 34; Lab 24; UKIP 4; Grn 3
Lambeth: Lab 51; Grn 25; LD 10; Con 7; WEP 5; UKIP 2
Maidstone: Con 60; LD 19; Lab 15; Grn 6
New Forest: LD 44; Con 38; Lab 12; Ind 6
Pembrokeshire: Harvey 32; Con 23; Lab 15; Nutting 10; Bush 8; Williams 4; Boucher 4; Edwards 4 (aaargh!)
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Post by robbienicoll on Sept 12, 2018 19:42:44 GMT
Petersfield, Cambridge: Con 10, Lab 55, LD 20, Green 15
Birstall Wanlip, Charnwood: Con 38, Lab 18, LD 39, Green 3, UKIP 2
Coldharbour, Lambeth: Con 9, Lab 65, LD 5, Green 15, UKIP 2, WEP 4
Headcorn, Maidstone: Con 52, Lab 12, LD 30, Green 6
Pennington, New Forest: Con 40, Lab 15, LD 42, Ind 2
St Mary North, Pembrokeshire: Con 24, Lab 13, Ind (Boucher) 6, Ind (Bush) 7, Ind (Edwards) 10, Ind (Harvey) 25, Ind (Nutting) 6, Ind (Williams) 9
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 12, 2018 20:27:41 GMT
Cambridge: Lab 56, LD 27, Grn 10, Con 7.
Charnwood: LD 39, Con 37, Lab 19, Grn 2, UKIP 3.
Lambeth: Lab 72, Grn 12, Con 5, LD 5, WEP 5, UKIP 1.
Maidstone: Con 71, LD 15, Lab 10, Grn 4.
New Forest: Con 42, LD 43, Lab 10, Ind 5.
Pembrokeshire: Con 25, Harvey 26, Lab 18, Bush 7, Nutting 10, Williams 4, Boucher 4, Edwards 6.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Sept 12, 2018 21:32:02 GMT
Cambridge: Lab 55; LD 25; Grn 15; Con 5
Charnwood: LD 20; Con 40; Lab 25; UKIP 10; Grn 5
Lambeth: Lab 45; Grn 25; LD 20; Con 10; WEP 5; UKIP 5
Maidstone: Con 65; LD 20; Lab 10; Grn 5
New Forest: LD 40; Con 35; Lab 20; Ind 5
Pembrokeshire: Harvey 30; Con 25; Lab 10; Nutting 5; Bush 15; Williams 5; Boucher 5; Edwards 5
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Post by andrewp on Sept 12, 2018 21:46:32 GMT
Cambridge Petersfield Lab 56, LD 28, Green 9, Con 7
Charnwood, Bristol Wanlip Con 38, LD 33, Lab 22, UKIP 4, Green 3
Lambeth Coldharbour. Lab 69, Green 12, LD 9, Con 7, WEP 2 UKIP 1
Maidstone Headcorn Con 63, Lib Dem 22, Lab 10, Green 5
New Forest Pennington Lib Dem 42, Con 41, Lab 10, Ind 7
Pembrokeshire, Pembroke St Mary North Harvey 27, Con 19, Lab 17, Nutting 15, Bush 10, Edwards 6, Williams 3,Boucher 3
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Post by greenhert on Sept 12, 2018 21:56:18 GMT
Cambridge BC, Petersfield: Labour 55, Liberal Democrats 28, Green 11, Conservative 6.
Charnwood DC, Birstill Wanlip: Liberal Democrats 40, Conservative 35, Labour 18, Green 4, UKIP 3.
Lambeth LBC, Coldharbour: Labour 48, Green 35, Liberal Democrats 6, Women's Equality Party 5, Conservative 5, UKIP 1.
Maidstone BC, Headcorn: Conservative 70, Liberal Democrats 15, Labour 10, Green 5.
New Forest DC, Pennington: Liberal Democrats 45, Conservative 42, Labour 9, Independent (Jearrad) 4.
Pembrokeshire UA, St Mary North: Independent (Harvey) 32, Conservative 27, Labour 15, Independent (Nutting) 8, Independent (Bush) 7, Independent (Edwards) 5, Independent (Williams) 3, Independent (Boucher) 3.
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 13, 2018 1:39:33 GMT
Cambridge, Petersfield: Con 8, Lab 50, LD 30, Green 12
Charnwood, Birstall Wanlip: Con37, Lab 18, LD 40, Green 4, UKIP 1
Lambeth, Coldharbour: Con 8, Lab 60, LD 10, Green 16, UKIP 1,WEP 5
Maidstone, Headcorn: Con 50, Lab 12, LD 30, Green 8
New Forest, Pennington: Con 40, Lab 10, LD 42, Green 8
Pembrokeshire,St Mary North :Con 30, Lab 12, Ind Harvey 33, Ind Williams 7, Ind Bush 5, Ind Nutting 5, Ind Boucher 4, Ind Edwards 4
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,887 
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 13, 2018 6:49:12 GMT
Cambridge, Petersfield: Con 8, Lab 50, LD 30, Green 12 Charnwood, Birstall Wanlip: Con37, Lab 18, LD 40, Green 4, UKIP 1 Lambeth, Coldharbour: Con 8, Lab 60, LD 10, Green 16, UKIP 1,WEP 5 Maidstone, Headcorn: Con 50, Lab 12, LD 30, Green 8 New Forest, Pennington: Con 40, Lab 10 , LD 42, Green 8 Pembrokeshire,St Mary North :Con 30, Lab 12, Ind Harvey 33, Ind Williams 7, Ind Bush 5, Ind Nutting 5, Ind Boucher 4, Ind Edwards 4 I thought that many contestants with very heavy Conservative figures for Headcorn might be proved to be wrong in a by-election? You look to be much closer. I have in mind the adjacent Staplehurst which has been a Conservative loss at by-elections and only one stop up the commuter line for London. Headcorn is large and rural and 'natural' conservative but could see a drop with 4-choices? A good Independent would have been interesting. |
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Post by Right Leaning on Sept 13, 2018 6:54:49 GMT
Cambridge, Petersfield: Lab 47, LD 32, Gn 11, Con 10,
Charnwood, Birstall Wanlip: LD 39, Con 38, Lab 17, Green 4, UKIP 2
Lambeth, Coldharbour: Lab 70, LD 12, Con 8, Gn 6, WEP 3, UKIP 1
Maidstone, Headcorn: Con 62, LD 29, Lab 6, Gn 3
New Forest, Pennington: Con 42, LD 41, Lab 11, Gn 6
Pembrokeshire,St Mary North : Ind Harvey 34, Con 30, Lab 16, Ind Williams 6, Ind Bush 4, Ind Nutting 4, Ind Boucher 4, Ind Edwards 2
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 13, 2018 7:06:06 GMT
Cambridge, Petersfield: Con 8, Lab 50, LD 30, Green 12 Charnwood, Birstall Wanlip: Con37, Lab 18, LD 40, Green 4, UKIP 1 Lambeth, Coldharbour: Con 8, Lab 60, LD 10, Green 16, UKIP 1,WEP 5 Maidstone, Headcorn: Con 50, Lab 12, LD 30, Green 8 New Forest, Pennington: Con 40, Lab 10 , LD 42, Green 8 Pembrokeshire,St Mary North :Con 30, Lab 12, Ind Harvey 33, Ind Williams 7, Ind Bush 5, Ind Nutting 5, Ind Boucher 4, Ind Edwards 4 I thought that many contestants with very heavy Conservative figures for Headcorn might be proved to be wrong in a by-election? You look to be much closer. I have in mind the adjacent Staplehurst which has been a Conservative loss at by-elections and only one stop up the commuter line for London. Headcorn is large and rural and 'natural' conservative but could see a drop with 4-choices? A good Independent would have been interesting. My view is that the very good Lib Dem candidate may well be ahead or at least very close in Headcorn itself, but there will be a huge Conservative lead in the large rural hinterland, and especially Sutton Valence which is where the Conservative candidate comes from. We'll soon find out but as I am posting this about an hour before ME's deadline, I wonder whether it will affect the final postings?  |
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,887
Member is Online
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 13, 2018 7:36:04 GMT
I thought that many contestants with very heavy Conservative figures for Headcorn might be proved to be wrong in a by-election? You look to be much closer. I have in mind the adjacent Staplehurst which has been a Conservative loss at by-elections and only one stop up the commuter line for London. Headcorn is large and rural and 'natural' conservative but could see a drop with 4-choices? A good Independent would have been interesting. My view is that the very good Lib Dem candidate may well be ahead or at least very close in Headcorn itself, but there will be a huge Conservative lead in the large rural hinterland, and especially Sutton Valence which is where the Conservative candidate comes from. We'll soon find out but as I am posting this about an hour before ME's deadline, I wonder whether it will affect the final postings? Yes. Some of the Boughtons along with Sutton Valance and the public school are very much Maidstone commuter top end and should be in a Maidstone ward. I used to live on the fringe of this area in my youth. |
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Post by hempie on Sept 13, 2018 7:39:39 GMT
Cambridge, Petersfield: Lab 53, LD 29, Green 10, Con 8
Charnwood, Birstall Wanlip: LD 40, Con 37, Lab 16, Green 4, UKIP 3
Lambeth, Coldharbour: Lab 55, Green 25, LD 10, Con 5, WEP 4, UKIP 1
Maidstone, Headcorn: Con 60, LD 25, Lab 11, Green 4
New Forest, Pennington: LD 42, Con 41, Lab 11, Ind 6
Pembrokeshire, St Mary North: Harvey 27, Con 24, Lab 17, Bush 7, Nutting 7, Williams 6, Boucher 6, Edwards 6
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 13, 2018 7:40:40 GMT
CAMBRIDGE Petersfield: Lab 44, L Dem 35, C 15, GP 6
CHARNWOOD Birstall Wanlip: L Dem 41, C 32, Lab 18, GP 5, UKIP 4
LAMBETH Coldharbour: Lab 51, GP 34, C 7, L Dem 4, WEP 3, UKIP 1
MAIDSTONE Headcorn: C 67, L Dem 21, Lab 8, GP 4
NEW FOREST Pennington: C 55, L Dem 25, Lab 13, Ind 7
PEMBROKESHIRE Pembroke St Mary North: Ind Harvey 37, Lab 22, C 14, Ind Edwards 10, Ind Bush 7, Ind Boucher 4, Ind Nutting 4, Ind Williams 2
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