Prediction Competition - January 2018

[Robert Waller]

Isle of Wight: Con 56 Green 20 Lab 4 LD 18 UKIP 2

[yellowperil]

Isle of Wight, Central Wight: Con 55, Green 24, LD 13, Lab 6, UKIP 2

[robbienicoll]

25th January Predictions:

Central Wight, Isle of Wight

Con 59
Green 19
LD 11
Lab 8
UKIP 3

[k9]

Central Wight

Conservative 54
Liberal Democrat 17
Green 16
Labour 9
UKIP 4

[Right Leaning]

Central Wight

Con 55
Green 22
Lab 12
LD 9
UKIP 2

[Davıd Boothroyd]

ISLE OF WIGHT Central Wight: C 55, GP 19, Lab 11, UKIP 8, L Dem 7

[hempie]

Isle of Wight, Central Wight: Con 48, Green 27, LD 15, Lab 8, UKIP 2

[andrewp]

Isle of Wight Con 47, Green 28, Lib Dem 14, Lab 8, UKIP 3.

[Ruggerman]

Isle of Wight UA, Central Wight: Con; 43, Green; 19, LD; 17, Lab; 15, UKIP; 6

[olympian95]

Isle of Wight

Con 51

Green 26

Lab 15

LD 6

UKIP 2

[Andrew_S]

Forgot to enter yesterday:

Central Wight:

Con 51
Green 20
Lab 17
UKIP 8
LD 4

[middleenglander]

16 entries again this wee, but with AJS getting 5 additional faults for being a few minutes late.

Isle of Wight, Central Wight: 100% Conservative hold with all but WilliamHone and K9 predicting Greens as runners-up.
- majority from 19% (andrewp) to 40% (Carlton43 & Robbienichol)

The UKIP announcement about "pulling out" was made after the vast majority of postal votes would have been returned or in the post. These days postal votes can account for a large proportion of all votes, so it is possible the UKIP share may not be depleted too much by their decision.

[yellowperil]

Jan 25, 2018 14:28:15 GMT middleenglander said:

16 entries again this wee, but with AJS getting 5 additional faults for being a few minutes late.

Isle of Wight, Central Wight: 100% Conservative hold with all but WilliamHone and K9 predicting Greens as runners-up.
- majority from 19% (andrewp) to 40% (Carlton43 & Robbienichol)

The UKIP announcement about "pulling out" was made after the vast majority of postal votes would have been returned or in the post. These days postal votes can account for a large proportion of all votes, so it is possible the UKIP share may not be depleted too much by their decision.

Indeed, I had wondered if the announcement had been triggered by an awareness of what the postal votes looked like?

[middleenglander]

I am waiting the for the actually voting figures for Central Wight but it looks like k9 having the lowest faults for this single contest with Robert Waller coming through to take the month, greenrobinhood second and andrewp third.

[middleenglander]

For week 4 and the month of January:

Authority	Isle of Wight	Week 4	Weeks 1 to 3	Month total	Month total
Ward	Central Wight	position	faults	faults	position
greenrobinhood	38.3	14th	170.8	209.1	2nd
Robert Waller	26.7	3rd	179.9	206.6	1st
andrewp	31.7	8th	196.8	228.5	3rd
hempie	28.0	4th	202.4	230.5	4th
David Boothroyd	38.0	13th	210.1	248.1	6th
Lancastrian	31.3	6th=	213.1	244.4	5th
Yellow Peril	32.7	11th	226.1	258.7	7th
olympian95	40.3	15th	229.5	269.8	10th
rickmk	32.3	9th=	230.8	263.1	8th
Right Leaning	34.3	12th	232.1	266.4	9th
Carlton43	28.3	5th	247.6	275.9	11th
AJS	44.0+5	16th	249.4	298.3	12th
robbienicholl	32.3	9th=	282.9	315.2	13th
Ruggerman	31.3	6th=	307.3	338.6	14th
WilliamHone	22.3	2nd	420.7	443.0	15th
Pete Whitehead	100		503.4	603.4	16th
CasualObserver	100		529.2	629.2	17th
k9	18.3	1st	678.4	696.7	18th
SirBenjamin	100		844.3	944.3	19th
Total	810.0+5		6,154.7	6,969.7

Objection please by 5 pm Saturday.

New thread for February.

[k9]

Rather suprised/pleased to have come first this week having only just joined this esteemed forum officially although I have lurked on and off for a while.

I have no particular knowledge of the Island beyond holidays to the Needles, Blackgang Chine and Shanklin as a kid/brat in the 80s.

[yellowperil]

Congratulations to K9- brilliant performance for a robot dog.

Blackgang Chine was the bit of your past experience most relevant to this ward in more senses than one-definitely one for the political dinosaurs.