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Post by Deleted on Mar 24, 2017 14:26:54 GMT
Norway elects a new parliament on 11 September (easy date to remember...). There are 169 seats in the Storting. They use party list PR in 19 multi-member constituencies, one for each county, with between 3 and 18 constituency seats. The allocation of the 150 constituency seats is determined by a formula where each inhabitant counts one point, while each square kilometer counts 1.8 points giving a significant rural overrepresentation, but this is somewhat reduced by the use of levelling seats. Each county also has a levelling seat and these 19 seats are given to parties that win fewer seats than their share of the national popular vote entitles them to, provided they have passed a 4% threshold. A party can get constituency seats regardless of whether it passes the threshold and as most established smaller parties will either be above 1/18 in Oslo (left wing parties, Greens and Liberals) or have regional strongholds, such as the Bible Belt in the SW for the Christian Democrats, they will usually get some seats anyway. In 2013 the allocation of constituency seats was: Capital regionOslo 18 Akershus 16 EastØstfold 8 Vestfold 6 Hedmark 6 Oppland 6 Buskerud 8 SouthTelemark 5 Aust-Agder 3 Vest-Agder 5 WestRogaland 13 (incl. Stavanger) Hordaland 15 (incl. Bergen) Sogn og Fjordane 3 Møre og Romsdal 8 TrøndelagenSør-Trøndelag 9 (incl. Trondheim) Nord-Trøndelag 4 NorthNordland 8 Troms 5 Finnmark 4 (only 75,000 inhabitants, but nearly twice the size of the Highland council area) This distribution will be adjusted a bit.  |
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Mar 24, 2017 15:31:21 GMT
Norway elects a new parliament on 11 September (easy date to remember...). Indeed. It's both the anniversary of the Pinochet coup in Chile that ousted Salvador Allende * and* the 'national' day of Catalonia. |
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Post by mrpastelito on Mar 24, 2017 19:42:35 GMT
Norway elects a new parliament on 11 September (easy date to remember...). Indeed. It's both the anniversary of the Pinochet coup in Chile that ousted Salvador Allende * and* the 'national' day of Catalonia. And our wedding day. |
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Post by finsobruce on Mar 24, 2017 20:12:38 GMT
Indeed. It's both the anniversary of the Pinochet coup in Chile that ousted Salvador Allende * and* the 'national' day of Catalonia. And our wedding day. What all of us?  or just you and foggy?  More seriously - congrats . |
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Post by Deleted on Mar 24, 2017 20:15:01 GMT
 R = Red SV = Socialist Left Ap = Labour Sp = Centre Party MDP = Greens V = Liberals KrF = Christian Democrats H = Conservatives FrP = Progress Party |
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Mar 24, 2017 21:28:14 GMT
Indeed. It's both the anniversary of the Pinochet coup in Chile that ousted Salvador Allende * and* the 'national' day of Catalonia. And our wedding day. Can't say I remember consenting to that, but I'll go along with it!  |
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Post by Antiochian on Mar 25, 2017 9:04:27 GMT
Thanks for this.. maybe the administrators could add the Norwegian abbreviations into the poll at start of thread for clarity.. |
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Post by greatkingrat on Mar 25, 2017 9:17:38 GMT
Can't say I remember consenting to that, but I'll go along with it! That's why you should always read the terms and conditions when signing up to forums! |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 25, 2017 10:06:29 GMT
Thanks for this.. maybe the administrators could add the Norwegian abbreviations into the poll at start of thread for clarity.. Afaik you can't edit polls, but I have added the abbreviations to my post. |
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Post by mrpastelito on Mar 29, 2017 17:46:30 GMT
What all of us? or just you and foggy? More seriously - congrats . Dear me - major brain fade there!! It's our anniversary of course - and 'our' doesn't include Foggy - apologies, mate, I hope I haven't gone and broken your heart  |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Aug 20, 2017 20:16:03 GMT
I was this evening canvassed by the Norwegian Labour Party, outside a football match, and handed a fake Panini sticker of the local candidate (in Rogaland).
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Post by greenhert on Aug 20, 2017 20:29:33 GMT
Current state of opinion polls in Norway leading up to this year's election:
Labour is staying at around the same vote share they achieved in 2013.
Both the Conservatives and Progress Party are experiencing a sharp dip in support. The Centre Party appears to be the main beneficiary of their lost support.
The Liberals, Socialist Left, and Christian Democrats are all struggling and always polling less than 6%. It is anyone's guess to see if one of them dips below the 4% threshold.
The Greens and the Red Party, by comparison, are polling better than ever; however, the Greens will be very lucky if they win extra seats (only two polls have put them at over 4%). The Red Party might win their first seat in the Storting.
Keep watching-this election finishes next month.
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Post by Merseymike on Aug 20, 2017 20:40:54 GMT
Does this suggest another Labour-Centre coalition?
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Aug 20, 2017 21:06:43 GMT
Here in Stavanger I've seen a lot of the Frp, Labour and Venstre. Especially Venstre which seems unlikely. My tastes definitely run closer to the Centre Party.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Aug 20, 2017 21:26:52 GMT
Does this suggest another Labour-Centre coalition? Probably. I would expect substantial concessions to the Centre though. To follow on from Alan's excellent summary above, the Greens and Venstre are polling below 4% now. If this does happen, Labour are distinctly limited in their choice of partner. They might work with Socialist Left, but can't see them working with the actual Commies in Rødt. |
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Post by finsobruce on Aug 20, 2017 23:17:51 GMT
I was this evening canvassed by the Norwegian Labour Party, outside a football match, and handed a fake Panini sticker of the local candidate (in Rogaland). look forward to you scanning that in for us on your return...  |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 20, 2017 23:43:07 GMT
Does this suggest another Labour-Centre coalition? Probably. I would expect substantial concessions to the Centre though. To follow on from Alan's excellent summary above, the Greens and Venstre are polling below 4% now. If this does happen, Labour are distinctly limited in their choice of partner. They might work with Socialist Left, but can't see them working with the actual Commies in Rødt. The Labour leadership doesn't like being fully dependent on Centre because it rules out centralization and municipal reform, but it was always the most likely coalition. It has long been clear that the Labour leadership doesn't want a coalition involving the left wing (and SV do not want to enter a coalition). Venstre is a fairly right wing party on economics and not a realistic partner for Labour. Getting the Christian Democrats on board will be more attractive for Gahr Støre, and there has been some talks between the two parties. Gahr Støre has said that he is willing to let Labour govern alone, but prefer a coalition with a few others. Labour, Centre, Christian Democrats would be ideal if they get a majority. The Greens might be more problematic. Labour wants to open up for drilling in the Barents Sea and around Lofoten, which all the small parties are against. But they can likely find a compromise with Centre and the Christian Democrats (at least about the High North, Lofoten will be more difficult). |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 21, 2017 0:16:36 GMT
Current state of opinion polls in Norway leading up to this year's election: Labour is staying at around the same vote share they achieved in 2013. Both the Conservatives and Progress Party are experiencing a sharp dip in support. The Centre Party appears to be the main beneficiary of their lost support. The Liberals, Socialist Left, and Christian Democrats are all struggling and always polling less than 6%. It is anyone's guess to see if one of them dips below the 4% threshold.The Greens and the Red Party, by comparison, are polling better than ever; however, the Greens will be very lucky if they win extra seats (only two polls have put them at over 4%). The Red Party might win their first seat in the Storting. Keep watching-this election finishes next month. Regardless of the polls the Christian Democrats have too big a core vote to be in real danger of falling below the threshold. Tactical voting by Labour left wingers should save Socialist Left. So Venstre is the party to watch (and the Greens, they are "transfer friendly" and could easily pick up support during the campaign). ... Is "the Red Party" really the official English version of Rødt? There is no "party" in its Norwegian name. I think I will stick to Red regardless. |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Aug 21, 2017 3:27:30 GMT
Current state of opinion polls in Norway leading up to this year's election: Labour is staying at around the same vote share they achieved in 2013. Both the Conservatives and Progress Party are experiencing a sharp dip in support. The Centre Party appears to be the main beneficiary of their lost support. The Liberals, Socialist Left, and Christian Democrats are all struggling and always polling less than 6%. It is anyone's guess to see if one of them dips below the 4% threshold.The Greens and the Red Party, by comparison, are polling better than ever; however, the Greens will be very lucky if they win extra seats (only two polls have put them at over 4%). The Red Party might win their first seat in the Storting. Keep watching-this election finishes next month. Regardless of the polls the Christian Democrats have too big a core vote to be in real danger of falling below the threshold. Tactical voting by Labour left wingers should save Socialist Left. So Venstre is the party to watch (and the Greens, they are "transfer friendly" and could easily pick up support during the campaign). ... Is "the Red Party" really the official English version of Rødt? There is no "party" in its Norwegian name. I think I will stick to Red regardless. Their website is being inconsistant on that, using all of "Red", "Red Party" and "Party Red" in English press releasesé |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Aug 21, 2017 4:34:58 GMT
"Party Red" sounds like knock-off lager or a cheap deodorant for teenagers.
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or just you and foggy? 
