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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 13, 2017 9:45:27 GMT
With the exception of 1931, a seat which has been held by Labour since 1922.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 13, 2017 9:50:42 GMT
Sorry what is this? a by-election here?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 13, 2017 9:51:34 GMT
Right now if we can't do the business here we may as well shut up shop
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mondialito
Labour
Everything is horribly, brutally possible.
Posts: 4,961 
Member is Online
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Post by mondialito on Jan 13, 2017 9:52:19 GMT
I fear this could be a more likely loss for Labour than Copeland. The Tory-UKIP vote was equally split in 2015, so a shift in votes from one to the other plus peeling off some who voted Labour in 2015 could result in a gain for one of them.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 13, 2017 9:53:50 GMT
2015 result
Tristram Hunt † Labour 12,220 39.31%
Mick Harold UKIP 7,041 22.65%
Liam Ascough Conservative 7,008 22.55%
Mark Breeze Independent 2,120 6.82%
Zulfiqar Ali Liberal Democrat 1,296 4.17%
Jan Zablocki Green 1,123 3.61%
Ali Majid Cannabis 244 0.78%
Paul Toussaint Ubuntu Party 32 0.10%
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middyman
Conservative
"The problem with socialism is that, sooner or later, you run out of other people's money."
Posts: 8,050
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Post by middyman on Jan 13, 2017 9:54:34 GMT
How many more will decide not to succumb to the foaming brine?
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Post by markgoodair on Jan 13, 2017 9:55:05 GMT
Any rat jumps a sinking ship as Tristram Hunt resigns to become Director of the Victoria & Albert Museum.
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Post by markgoodair on Jan 13, 2017 9:56:02 GMT
2015 result Tristram Hunt † Labour 12,220 39.31% Mick Harold UKIP 7,041 22.65% Liam Ascough Conservative 7,008 22.55% Mark Breeze Independent 2,120 6.82% Zulfiqar Ali Liberal Democrat 1,296 4.17% Jan Zablocki Green 1,123 3.61% Ali Majid Cannabis 244 0.78% Paul Toussaint Ubuntu Party 32 0.10% Quite an impressive vote for Mr Breeze. Any reason why? |
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 1,944
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Post by johnr on Jan 13, 2017 9:58:31 GMT
Voted 65% Leave in 2016.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 13, 2017 10:04:02 GMT
2015 result Tristram Hunt † Labour 12,220 39.31% Mick Harold UKIP 7,041 22.65% Liam Ascough Conservative 7,008 22.55% Mark Breeze Independent 2,120 6.82% Zulfiqar Ali Liberal Democrat 1,296 4.17% Jan Zablocki Green 1,123 3.61% Ali Majid Cannabis 244 0.78% Paul Toussaint Ubuntu Party 32 0.10% Quite an impressive vote for Mr Breeze. Any reason why? Lots of support for Independent candidates in local elections in Stoke - could be a straw in the wind |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 13, 2017 10:06:36 GMT
With the exception of 1931, a seat which has been held by Labour since 1922. Even in 1931 it was only won by the Conservative because the Socialist vote was split between the Labour candidate and Sir Oswald Mosley |
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neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
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Post by neilm on Jan 13, 2017 10:09:53 GMT
Isn't this seat due to be abolished?
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Post by Ben Walker on Jan 13, 2017 10:17:30 GMT
Renamed to Stoke South, rather.
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Post by greenhert on Jan 13, 2017 10:17:49 GMT
According to the initial boundary proposals, neilm, yes. However, when the final proposals come through for boundary changes, Stone is more likely to be abolished in the context of Staffordshire, just as it was in the aborted 2013 review. |
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Jan 13, 2017 10:19:29 GMT
I feel so sorry for the people of Stoke on Trent. They are about to be snowed under with pointless leaflets and get door knocked relentlessly by people they wouldn't ordinarily want to talk to. It could be worse for them. The Lib Dems could be competitive there, which would quintuple the pointless tat through their letterboxes! |
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neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
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Post by neilm on Jan 13, 2017 10:20:18 GMT
Labour may be better off without an MP who believes it is OK to cross an authorised picket. I hold him in contempt for that.
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Post by liverpoolliberal on Jan 13, 2017 10:24:46 GMT
I feel so sorry for the people of Stoke on Trent. They are about to be snowed under with pointless leaflets and get door knocked relentlessly by people they wouldn't ordinarily want to talk to. It could be worse for them. The Lib Dems could be competitive there, which would quintuple the pointless tat through their letterboxes! You say that... Lib Dems did come second here in 2005 and 2010, so i'm not sure how hard they'll go for this one. I'm sure there will be plenty of (mis)information for the electorate to read regardless! |
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Post by justin124 on Jan 13, 2017 10:26:34 GMT
I would expect Labour to hold this. Possible this by election will take place before Copeland depending on when Hunt resigns.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 13, 2017 10:27:20 GMT
I feel so sorry for the people of Stoke on Trent. They are about to be snowed under with pointless leaflets and get door knocked relentlessly by people they wouldn't ordinarily want to talk to. It could be worse for them. The Lib Dems could be competitive there, which would quintuple the pointless tat through their letterboxes! After the result in Sunderland yesterday I wouldn't be too sanguine |
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Post by justin124 on Jan 13, 2017 10:28:06 GMT
Renamed to Stoke South, rather. That only arises if the Boundary Changes are approved in October 2018. |
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