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Post by mrhell on Dec 4, 2016 17:26:10 GMT
I checked the betting yesterday and Hofer was 1/3 so a bit of an upset. What. A. Tremendous. Shame. I really should have birthdays more often. Early hours of the day before we win Richmond Park, on the day Rovers go top of National League, today the far right lose unexpectedly in Austria. Lovely! You should have two like the Queen. |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
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Post by maxque on Dec 4, 2016 17:28:24 GMT
Is turnout up? Could be higher turnout among the young to stop Hofer? Up around 1.5%, it seems. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Dec 4, 2016 18:00:05 GMT
Anyone have a link to the official results page? Thanks.
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nitory
Conservative
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Post by nitory on Dec 4, 2016 18:23:48 GMT
Van der Bellen won the day vote 52-48, while Hofer won it 52-48 in the original run. Seems almost all counting areas saw a 1 to 5% swing to Van der Bellen. It's very uniform. Perhaps the same phenomenon we see in France, usually, when an election is rerun due to technicalities, the original winner wins by a bigger margin. I'd guess a mix of both people 'punishing' Hofer for calling an unnecessary election and those who didn't vote the first time but are on the left being alarmed when the original result was so close. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 4, 2016 18:23:59 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 4, 2016 18:34:03 GMT
Makes me laugh even if not remotely correct...also same feed pointed out that Farage has failed in 22 years for UKIP and predecessors what Olney achieved in 18 months as a "new" Liberal Democrat member, that is to be elected to the House of Commons.
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Toylyyev
Mebyon Kernow
CJ Fox avatar
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Post by Toylyyev on Dec 4, 2016 18:36:56 GMT
If the EU has any sense (which I increasingly doubt) Hi. 2curious, what would that sense be? And while i'm at it, whatever it is the UK gubby may be after, wouldn't they have made more progress to date if they had tried to get it my making proposals to amend the existing EU framework? :-) |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 4, 2016 19:01:02 GMT
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andrea
Non-Aligned
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Post by andrea on Dec 4, 2016 19:02:26 GMT
Final tally before the postals
Van Der Bellen 2.062.920; 51.7%
Hofer 1.928.530; 48.3%
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
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Post by Georg Ebner on Dec 4, 2016 19:12:06 GMT
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Dec 4, 2016 19:39:37 GMT
Though interestingly, not rural areas in Tyrol and Vorarlberg, which seems counter-intuitive, you'd have thought they might have been amongst the more conservative areas. Possibly less exposed to migration, being furthest away from the border with Hungary? |
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Post by AdminSTB on Dec 4, 2016 19:39:41 GMT
If we don't accept this result, should we start a petition demanding Van Der Bellen can't be confirmed as winner unless he secures 60% of the vote? And take it to an Austrian court so that Van Der Bellen's assumption of power is conditional on approval of the Nationalrat and Bundesrat, and possibly MEPs?  |
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
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Post by peterl on Dec 4, 2016 19:41:08 GMT
I wonder how much you have to pay for a recount.
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Post by curiousliberal on Dec 4, 2016 19:45:53 GMT
I checked the betting yesterday and Hofer was 1/3 so a bit of an upset. What. A. Tremendous. Shame. I really should have birthdays more often. Early hours of the day before we win Richmond Park, on the day Rovers go top of National League, today the far right lose unexpectedly in Austria. Lovely! After all that's happened, I suppose this and Richmond park are the consolation prizes of politics in 2016. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 4, 2016 19:46:34 GMT
Though interestingly, not rural areas in Tyrol and Vorarlberg, which seems counter-intuitive, you'd have thought they might have been amongst the more conservative areas. Possibly less exposed to migration, being furthest away from the border with Hungary? Van der Bellens connection to Tyrol acts as a counterweight. |
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Post by Antiochian on Dec 4, 2016 19:51:11 GMT
What. A. Tremendous. Shame. I really should have birthdays more often. Early hours of the day before we win Richmond Park, on the day Rovers go top of National League, today the far right lose unexpectedly in Austria. Lovely! After all that's happened, I suppose this and Richmond park are the consolation prizes of politics in 2016. Gosh, that is thin gruel... |
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Post by AdminSTB on Dec 4, 2016 20:00:19 GMT
After all that's happened, I suppose this and Richmond park are the consolation prizes of politics in 2016. Gosh, that is thin gruel... You're not getting MORE!  |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 4, 2016 20:08:36 GMT
Big gender gap.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 4, 2016 20:11:54 GMT
UKIP's backer speaks..
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Post by A Brown on Dec 4, 2016 20:14:12 GMT
far right defeated in contest for figurehead position. And how do you think that will affect their vote for more meaningful contests to come? Still expect Haider to become Chancellor in 2018 with the FPOE on 35% but that is only 8% above their 1999 high watermark so some perspective is required. |
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