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Post by uthacalthing on Jun 26, 2024 8:02:42 GMT
It's really very easy. Just don't like racist & crank posts. Then you won't get disciplined. I really don't have sympathy for people who are either incapable of identifying unacceptable crank stuff or deliberately choose to condone it. Up to a point. There has been an issue in the past with the far right creating new names then putting up fairly reasonable posts such as "Britain is full up. Its time to end mass migration", which the alogorithm correctly directs to gullible others who then "like" them, and only afterwards realise that the post originated from a far right source. Gary Raikies of the BUM appears to have been the most successful at this. Ex of this parish BTW. Sees himself as the next Fuhrer. Reminded me of Benny from Crossroads |
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Post by uthacalthing on Jun 26, 2024 8:06:09 GMT
I was playing some Facebook pool and noted that I had missed a challenge from an old acquaintance from my Conservative days and noted that her avatar now reads Reform UK. Given that her husband was the biggest local Tory donor and that he was close to David Duguid, I suspect the coffers may now be depleted.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2024 8:09:46 GMT
A race to the bottom here and not much oil vote to help bolster the blues - I think Labour will do respectably in Fraserburgh and Peterhead. Still, I think the UK leaving the Common Fisheries Policy is a 'Brexit dividend' (**guffaws**) that helps the Tories here. There's reason that Banff & Buchan gave the Tories a majority in a Scottish seat for only the second time since Tayside North did so in the 80's, and there's a reason the Tories almost flipped Banffshire & Buchan Coast in 2021.
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Post by uthacalthing on Jun 26, 2024 8:14:11 GMT
Conrad Ritchie, MD of Score Europe is a signatory to Reform. I would not be amazed to see a saved deposit from the hard core Anti Common Fisheries Policy vote and they will get enough social media and paper to make them aware of their presence. Ross's signatories include ex Cllrs Peter and Edie Chapman who are blasts from a very distant past of the Common Agricultural Policy Labour will recover from Corbyn deposit losing territory to 10% mostly at the expense of the Conservatives No ALBA candidate. I anticipate an SNP gain |
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Post by ntyuk1707 on Jun 26, 2024 21:22:02 GMT
Calling this for the SNP.
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bsjmcr
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Post by bsjmcr on Jun 30, 2024 19:41:02 GMT
Calling this for the SNP. Well Ross seems to have disappeared into hiding... |
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Post by irish observer on Jul 1, 2024 11:16:49 GMT
Would welcome a SNP gain here.
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Post by uthacalthing on Jul 1, 2024 22:35:36 GMT
This is the only SNP gain I would welcome, and ideally by less than Reform poll.
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Post by ntyuk1707 on Jul 2, 2024 21:32:52 GMT
This is the only SNP gain I would welcome, and ideally by less than Reform poll. He may be saved by anti-monarchy remarks made by the local Reform candidate. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2024 22:47:41 GMT
Tories should be OK here based on the exit poll even with Duguid's defenestration.
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Post by ntyuk1707 on Jul 4, 2024 22:48:19 GMT
Tories should be OK here based on the exit poll even with Duguid's defenestration. The same exit poll that predicted 55 SNP MPs last time and the Lib Dems winning Gordon in 2017? Let's wait and see what happens. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2024 22:49:43 GMT
Tories should be OK here based on the exit poll even with Duguid's defenestration. The same exit poll that predicted 55 SNP MPs last time and the Lib Dems winning Gordon in 2017? Let's wait and see what happens. Oh yeah. I shat my pants when it showed LDs winning Gordon because I thought I'd lost my bet against Salmond, but you are right. |
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Post by MacShimidh on Jul 5, 2024 13:05:42 GMT
Seems pretty obvious the Tories would have held on here (and thus retained all 6 Scottish seats) if not for Douglas Ross's antics. Fitting that his final act as party leader was to once again damage his own party.
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Post by adlai52 on Jul 5, 2024 18:24:43 GMT
Seems pretty obvious the Tories would have held on here (and thus retained all 6 Scottish seats) if not for Douglas Ross's antics. Fitting that his final act as party leader was to once again damage his own party. Reckon it might have had an impact next door in Moray West? Had Ross stood there could he have won? |
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Post by MacShimidh on Jul 6, 2024 18:47:18 GMT
Seems pretty obvious the Tories would have held on here (and thus retained all 6 Scottish seats) if not for Douglas Ross's antics. Fitting that his final act as party leader was to once again damage his own party. Reckon it might have had an impact next door in Moray West? Had Ross stood there could he have won? Very possibly - although I have such a low opinion of the man that even if he had stood there I think he may have found a way to foul it up. Anyway, both seats should be top Tory targets at the next election. |
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 6, 2024 19:07:18 GMT
Reckon it might have had an impact next door in Moray West? Had Ross stood there could he have won? Very possibly - although I have such a low opinion of the man that even if he had stood there I think he may have found a way to foul it up. Anyway, both seats should be top Tory targets at the next election. First, they're seriously going to have to target some constituencies for the next Scottish elections - 2 of the 5 they have could be threatened by Labour and the way things are looking Reform could take a chunk of their list vote, which is where most of their seats come from... |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 7, 2024 4:38:20 GMT
All that said, I still think the Tories are credible challengers in Banffshire & Buchan Coast in 2026, depending on who leads them into the next Holyrood elections. Aberdeenshire East will be interesting too. I don't think Angus North & Mearns is totally off the table for the blue team, and nor is Moray. Those are the targets.
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Clark
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Post by Clark on Aug 27, 2024 14:05:36 GMT
Latest Scottish poll has Reform up 5% to 12% - I wonder if that would project them winning this seat based on those figures...
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Aug 27, 2024 14:19:56 GMT
Latest Scottish poll has Reform up 5% to 12% - I wonder if that would project them winning this seat based on those figures... It will be interesting to see if they run constituency candidates in 2026, obviously the list is where they can win seats and will be the focus but if it’s affordable running in constituencies will help maximise their vote and they saved a good amount of Scottish deposits in July so it may seem worthwhile |
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nyx
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Post by nyx on Aug 27, 2024 19:03:40 GMT
Latest Scottish poll has Reform up 5% to 12% - I wonder if that would project them winning this seat based on those figures... Doubt it, overtaking the SNP would be the challenge. |
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