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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:36:41 GMT
Chelsea and Fulham
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Post by markgoodair on Apr 26, 2024 12:16:44 GMT
Reform have selected Rob Ellis as their PPC.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 26, 2024 16:50:44 GMT
Notional results since 1945. The 2019 result is the 'official' (Thrasher & Rallings) notional - the others are my own work. | Con | Lab | Lib | Ind | | | | | | 1945 | 44.2% | 51.3% | 3.4% | | 1950 | 49.3% | 43.9% | 6.4% | | 1951 | 36.1% | 46.4% | 1.2% | 16.3% | 1955 | 54.1% | 45.9% | | | 1959 | 52.8% | 42.3% | 4.9% | | 1964 | 48.6% | 45.1% | 6.2% | | 1966 | 45.4% | 47.3% | 5.7% | |
| Con | Lab | Lib/LD | NF/BNP | | | | | | 1970 | 51.1% | 44.5% | 3.1% | | 1974 | 44.6% | 38.1% | 15.5% | 1.2% | 1974 | 43.4% | 42.1% | 12.7% | 1.2% | 1979 | 52.0% | 36.3% | 10.4% | 1.1% | 1983 | 50.4% | 28.5% | 19.9% | | 1987 | 54.3% | 32.0% | 12.3% | | 1992 | 55.7% | 32.9% | 9.9% | |
| Con | Lab | LD | Green | Ref/UKIP/ BXP | | | | | | | 1997 | 44.4% | 41.6% | 9.6% | | 1.8% | 2001 | 45.6% | 37.5% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 2005 | 51.0% | 30.1% | 13.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 2010 | 57.5% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2015 | 59.7% | 26.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2017 | 49.0% | 38.1% | 9.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2019 | 45.5% | 29.1% | 23.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
1951 - there was no Conservative candidate in Fulham West but the Independent candidate (W.J. Brown, former Rugby MP) was endorsed by the Conservatives. There was a case therefore for including his totals in the Conservative column, but I wasn't persuaded by it. Obviously if the votes were combined Labour would not have been ahead that year.
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Post by redtony on May 31, 2024 21:14:21 GMT
this is proving to be a very active contest be and the tory Greg Hands Who has been the MP for 20 years Labour are throwing everything in to it and Greg is defending it like hell
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 7, 2024 16:58:58 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Jun 22, 2024 8:54:47 GMT
LAB 40% CON 40% LD 14% GRN 4% OTH 2%
VAT on private school fees make the a bit harder for Labour, but the Lib Dems doing well in the Chelsea 'blue wall' will help Labour get over the top.
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Post by redtony on Jun 22, 2024 20:44:32 GMT
Is this a poll where does this come from
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 22, 2024 20:53:38 GMT
Is this a poll where does this come from You're not familiar with @weld then?
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Post by rcronald on Jun 22, 2024 20:54:28 GMT
Is this a poll where does this come from his arse 😊
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Post by batman on Jun 22, 2024 21:03:20 GMT
Actually this is probably one of his less bad efforts. I don't expect an easy Labour win here. But I do expect a Labour win of some kind. He is right that some of the Tory vote is very obstinate, but not all of it is. And probably an outright majority of those who voted for Nicola Horlick last time will go Labour this time.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 23, 2024 2:04:46 GMT
"Dear minister, I am afraid there are no votes left"
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Post by redtony on Jun 23, 2024 21:27:22 GMT
This is my constituency have not received anything from Greg Hands for two weeks two leaflets from Ben Coleman in the last few days nothing from the Lib Dems All year
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Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2024 7:10:24 GMT
This is my constituency have not received anything from Greg Hands for two weeks two leaflets from Ben Coleman in the last few days nothing from the Lib Dems All year So not all Hands on deck then?
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Post by Dalek Prime on Jun 24, 2024 7:55:31 GMT
This is my constituency have not received anything from Greg Hands for two weeks two leaflets from Ben Coleman in the last few days nothing from the Lib Dems All year Certainly stories like this give credence to the rumours of lack of cash and people on the ground as well of course the 20000 majority defence strategy of Rishie.
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Post by redtony on Jun 24, 2024 20:55:25 GMT
Sky news said Rishi was in Chelsea all day today He has a home in Kensington
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Ports
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Post by Ports on Jun 24, 2024 21:10:24 GMT
Sky news said Rishi was in Chelsea all day today He has a home in Kensington Apart from when he was in Edinburgh this morning...
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Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2024 5:37:14 GMT
LAB 40% CON 40% LD 14% GRN 4% OTH 2% VAT on private school fees make the a bit harder for Labour, but the Lib Dems doing well in the Chelsea 'blue wall' will help Labour get over the top. I was pretty much bang on - Labour by under 200 votes. Well done to posters who worked this seat.
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Post by greenhert on Jul 20, 2024 10:36:17 GMT
That said, the swing was lower than average and lower than expected which reflects the inelasticity of voters in wealthy seats like this one. On previous boundaries Greg Hands would have held it- the super-rich Chelsea part of this constituency is unaffected and unmoved by events like the cost of living crisis, the long term effects of the pandemic etc.
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Post by redtony on Jul 20, 2024 20:05:32 GMT
but there is a working class in Fulham and in Chelsea Riverside
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Post by batman on Jul 20, 2024 20:10:02 GMT
yes there is, in fact there are some council flats even in the poshest wards (not sure if Redcliffe has any, but certainly all the others do), but greenhert's basic point is correct; elements of the Tory vote here are very obstinate especially amongst the superwealthiest residents.
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