French Legislative Elections 2022

[Tony Otim]

May 29, 2022 5:17:49 GMT neilm said:

May 28, 2022 17:40:46 GMT Tony Otim said:

My wife got her bundle of leaflets for the north europe 3rd circonscription this week.

Until I saw the leaflets I'd completely missed the fact that Marion Marechal is supporting Zemmour rather than her dear aunt.

There's also an independent standing for a new presidential majority with Macron, but against the official Macronist incumbent...

Is there an official bundle sent to expat voters by the Interior Ministry, with all the leaflets? Like a mayoral election booklet?

Yes - I had assumed this was actually what happened throughout France, not just for expats, but maybe not? relique could probably advise...

Not all candidates had leaflets in the pack this time, but I'd guess this was because some missed a deadline or didn't bother or something.

[relique]

May 29, 2022 11:05:46 GMT Tony Otim said:

May 29, 2022 5:17:49 GMT neilm said:

Is there an official bundle sent to expat voters by the Interior Ministry, with all the leaflets? Like a mayoral election booklet?

Yes - I had assumed this was actually what happened throughout France, not just for expats, but maybe not? relique could probably advise...

Not all candidates had leaflets in the pack this time, but I'd guess this was because some missed a deadline or didn't bother or something.

Indeed. All leaflets are distributed by the State if the candidates give them. As they need to print it themselves (and manage to do it within the electoral rules), they sometimes don't have the money to do it.

[Devil Wincarnate]

I've seen a number of oblique references to the French health system being "in crisis" - relique, any thoughts?

[relique]

May 31, 2022 19:17:08 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

I've seen a number of oblique references to the French health system being "in crisis" - relique, any thoughts?

It's been that way for quite some time. Before COVID there has been a huge social movement in the hospitals and COVID really didn't change that. The biggest problem is the difficulties to hire as the working conditions are deemed too difficult (with not enough staff or finances to do a proper job)

I'm currently trying to predict the 577 constituencies (not with scores for each candidate, though, only the winner). I already did a third.

[relique]

May 31, 2022 21:18:02 GMT relique said:

I'm currently trying to predict the 577 constituencies (not with scores for each candidate, though, only the winner). I already did a third.

I guess I won't compete in the prediction competition, but still:

Ain +1 ENS-Ren; -1 LR
1. Xavier Breton (LR) sortant
2. Romain Daubié (ENS-Modem)
3. Olga Givernet (ENS-Ren)
4. Isabelle Seguin (ENS-Ren)
5. Damien Abad (ENS-Ren) sortant

Aisne =
1. Aude Bono (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Julien Dive (LR) sortant
3. Jean-Louis Bricout (NUPES-PS) sortant
4. Marc Delatte (ENS-Ren) sortant
5. Jeanne Doyez-Roussel (ENS-Ren)

Allier =
1. Yannick Monnet (NUPES-PCF)
2. Laurence Vanceunebrock (ENS-Ren) sortante
3. Bénédicte Peyrol (ENS-Ren) sortante

Alpes-de-Haute-Provence +1 LND; -1 ENS-Ren
1. Delphine Bagarry (NUPES-LND) sortante ex-LREM
2. Christophe Castaner (ENS-Ren) sortant

Hautes-Alpes =
1. Pascale Boyer (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Joël Giraud (ENS-PRV) sortant

Alpes-Maritimes +3 ENS, -3 LR
1. Eric Ciotti (LR) sortant
2. Loïc Dombreval (ENS-Hor) sortant
3. Philippe Pradal (ENS-Hor)
4. Alexandra Valetta-Ardisson (ENS-Ren) sortante
5. Marine Brenier (ENS-Hor) sortante (ex-LR)
6. Jean-Bernard Mion (ENS-Hor)
7. Eric Pauget (LR) sortant
8. Jean-Valéry Desens (ENS-Hor)
9. Michèle Tabarot (LR) sortante

Ardèche -1 PS; +1 DVG; +1 ENS; -1 LR
1. Hervé Salignac (NUPES-PS) sortant
2. Olivier Dussopt (ENS-TdP) sortant ex-PS
3. Laurent Ughetto (DVG)

Ardennes +2 ENS, -2 LR
1. Lionel Vuibert (ENS-Agir)
2. Polina Beddelem (ENS-Ren)
3. Jean-Luc Warsmann (UDI) sortant

Ariège -1 LFI, +1 PS
1. Bénédicte Taurine (NUPES-LFI) sortante
2. Laurent Panifous (DVG-PS)

Aube +2 ENS, -2 LR
1. Grégory Besson-Moreau (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Salomé Fontaine (ENS-Modem)
3. Loëtitia Beury (ENS-Ren)

Aude +1 LFI, +1 PS, -2 ENS
1. Sophie Courrière-Calmon (NUPES-PS)
2. Alain Péréa (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Johanna Adda-Netter (NUPES-LFI)

Aveyron +1 ENS, -1 LR
1. Stéphane Mazars (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Samuel Deguara (ENS-PRV)
3. Jean-François Rousset (ENS-Ren)

Bouches-du-Rhône +3 LFI; +1 PS; -1 ENS; -3 LR
1. Sabrina Agresti-Roubache (ENS-Ren)
2. Claire Pitollat (ENS-Ren) sortante
3. Mohamed Bensaada (NUPES-LFI)
4. Manuel Bompard (NUPES-LFI)
5. Hendric Davi (NUPES-LFI)
6. Lionel Royer-Perreaut (ENS-DVD)
7. Sébastien Delogu (NUPES-LFI)
8. Jean-Marc Zulesi (ENS-Ren) sortant
9. Bertrand Mas-Fraissinet (ENS-Ren)
10. Véronique Bourcet (ENS-Ren)
11. Mohamed Laqhila (ENS-Modem) sortant
12. Eric Diard (LR) sortant
13. Pierre Dharréville (NUPES-PCF) sortant
14. Anne-Laurence Petel (ENS-Ren) sortante
15. Bernard Reynès (LR) sortant
16. Christophe Caillault (NUPES-PS)

Calvados =
1. Fabrice Le Vigoureux (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Arthur Delaporte (NUPES-PS) suppléante sortante
3. Nathalie Porte (LR) sortante
4. Christophe Blanchet (ENS-Ren) sortant
5. Bertrand Bouyx (ENS-Ren) sortant
6. Elisabeth Borne (ENS-TdP)

Cantal =
1. Vincent Descoeur (LR) sortant
2. Jean-Yves Bony (LR) sortant

Charente =
1. Thomas Mesnier (ENS-Hor) sortant
2. Sandra Marsaud (ENS-Ren) sortante
3. Jérôme Lambert (MDC) sortant

Charente-Maritimes +1 ENS; -1 LR
1. Olivier Falorni (PRG) sortant
2. Anne-Laure Babault (ENS-Ren)
3. Jean-Philippe Ardouin (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Raphaël Gérard (ENS-Ren)
5. Christophe Plassard (ENS-Hor)

Cher +1 PCF; -1 ENS
1. François Cormier-Bouligeon (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Nicolas Sansu (NUPES-PCF)
3. Loïc Kervran (ENS-Hor) sortant

Corrèze =
1. Christophe Jerretie (ENS-Modem) sortant
2. Frédérique Meunier (LR) sortante

Corse-du-Sud +1 ENS; -1 LR
1. Laurent Marcangeli (ENS-Hor)
2. Paul-André Colombani (PNC) sortant

Haute-Corse =
1. Michel Castellani (FaC) sortant
2. Jean-Félix Acquaviva (FaC) sortant

Côte d'Or =
1. Didier Martin (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Benoît Bordat (ENS-FP)
3. Fadila Khattabi (ENS-Ren) sortante
4. Hubert Brigand (LR)
5. Didier Paris (ENS-Ren) sortant

Côtes-d'Armor +1 DVG; -1 ENS
1. Mickaël Cosson (ENS-Modem)
2. Hervé Berville (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Marc Le Fur (LR) sortant
4. Alain Guéguen (DVG)
5. Eric Bothorel (ENS-Ren) sortant

Creuse =
1. Jean-Baptiste Moreau (ENS-Ren) sortant

Dordogne +1 DVG; -1 ENS
1. Philippe Chassaing (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Michel Delpon (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Jean-Pierre Cubertafon (ENS-Modem) sortant
4. Christian Teillac (DVG-PS)

Doubs =
1. Laurent Croizier (ENS-Modem)
2. Eric Alauzet (ENS-TdP) sortant
3. Nicolas Pacquot (ENS-Hor)
4. Frédéric Barbier (ENS-TdP) sortant
5. Annie Genevard (LR) sortante

Drôme +1 PS; -1 ENS
1. Mireille Clapot (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Benoit Maclin (ENS-Ren)
3. Célia de Lavergne (ENS-Ren)
4. Pierre Jouvet (NUPES-PS)

Eure =
1. Séverine Gipson (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Fabien Gouttefarde (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Marie Tamarelle-Verhaeghe (ENS-Ren) sortante
4. Bruno Questel (ENS-Ren) sortant
5. François Ouzilleau (ENS-Ren)

Eure-et-Loir +2 ENS; -1 UDI, -1 LR
1. Guillaume Kasbarian (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Olivier Marleix (LR) sortant
3. Luc Lamirault (ENS-Hor) sortant
4. Philippe Vigier (ENS-Modem) sortant

Finistère +1 LFI; +1 PS; -2 ENS
1. Annaïg Le Meur (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Pierre-Yves Cadalen (NUPES-LFI)
3. Didier Le Gac (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Sandrine Le Feur (ENS-Ren) sortante
5. Nathalie Sarrabezolles (NUPES-PS)
6. Richard Ferrand (ENS-Ren) sortant
7. Liliane Tanguy (ENS-Ren) sortante
8. Erwan Balanant (ENS-Modem) sortant

Gard +1 LFI, +1 PS, -1 ENS, -1 RN
1. Françoise Dumas (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Yvan Lachaud (ENS-Hor)
3. Anthony Cellier (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Arnaud Bord (NUPES-PS)
5. Michel Sala (NUPES-LFI)
6. Philippe Berta (ENS-Modem) sortant

Haute-Garonne +3 LFI; +1 EELV; -4 ENS
1. Hadrien Clouet (NUPES-LFI)
2. Anne Stambach-Terrenoir (NUPES-LFI)
3. Corinne Vignon (ENS-Ren) sortante
4. François Piquemal (NUPES-LFI)
5. Jean-François Portarrieu (ENS-Ren) sortant
6. Monique Iborra (ENS-Ren) sortante
7. Elisabeth Toutut-Picard (ENS-Ren) sortante
8. Joël Arivagnet (NUPES-PS) sortant
9. Christine Arrighi (NUPES-EELV)
10. Dominique Faure (ENS-PRV)

Gers -1 PS; +1 DVG-PS
1. Jean-René Cazeneuve (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. David Taupiac (DVG-PS)

Gironde +1 LFI; +1 EELV; -2 ENS
1. Thomas Cazenave (ENS-Ren)
2. Nicolas Thierry (NUPES-EELV)
3. Loïc Prud'homme (NUPES-LFI) sortant
4. Alain David (NUPES-PS) sortant
5. Olivier Maneiro (NUPES-LFI)
6. Eric Poulliat (ENS-Ren) sortant
7. Berangère Couillard (ENS-Ren) sortante
8. Sophie Panonacle (ENS-Ren) sortante
9. Sophie Mette (ENS-Modem) sortante
10. Florent Boudié (ENS-Ren) sortant
11. Véronique Hammerer (ENS-Ren) sortante
12. Pascal Lavergne (ENS-Ren)

Hérault +1 PCF; +2 PS; -3 ENS
1. Julien Colet (NUPES-LFI)
2. Fatima Bellaredj (DVG-PS)
3. Jean-Luc Bergeon (DVG-PS)
4. Jean-François Eliaou (ENS-Ren) sortant
5. Philippe Huppé (ENS-PRV) sortant
6. Emmanuelle Ménard (RN) sortante
7. Gabriel Blasco (NUPES-PCF)
8. Jean-François Audrin (ENS-Hor)
9. Patrick Vignal (ENS-Ren) sortant

Ille-et-Vilaine +1 LFI; +1 PS; -2 ENS
1. Frédéric Mathieu (NUPES-LFI)
2. Laurence Maillart Méhaignerie (ENS-Ren) sortante
3. Claudia Rouaux (NUPES-PS) sortante
4. Anne Patault (ENS-Ren)
5. Christine Cloarec-Le Nabour (ENS-Ren) sortante
6. Thierry Benoit (ENS-Ren) sortant
7. Jean-Luc Bourgeaux (LR) sortant
8. Mickaël Bouloux (NUPES-PS)

Indre =
1. François Jolivet (ENS-Hor) sortant
2. Nicolas Forissier (LR) sortant

Indre-et-Loire +1 EELV; -1 ENS
1. Charles Fournier (NUPES-EELV)
2. Daniel Labaronne (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Sophie Métadier (UDI) sortante
4. Fabienne Colboc (ENS-Ren) sortante
5. Sabine Thillaye (ENS-Modem) sortante

Isère +1 LFI; -2 ENS; +1 LR
1. Olivier Véran (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Jean-Charles Colas-Roy (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Elisa Martin (NUPES-LFI)
4. Marie-Noëlle Battistel (NUPES-PS)
5. Florence Jay (ENS-Ren)
6. Cendra Motin (ENS-Hor) sortante
7. Yannick Neuder (LR)
8. Caroline Abadie (ENS-Ren) sortante
9. Elodie Jacquier Laforge (ENS-Modem) sortante
10. Marjolaine Meynier-Millefert (ENS-Ren) sortante

Jura +1 ENS; -1 LR
1. Danielle Brulebois (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Marie-Christine Dalloz (LR) sortante
3. Anne-Colette Prost (ENS-Modem)

Landes +1 PCF; -1 ENS
1. Geneviève Darrieussecq (ENS-Modem) sortante
2. Jean-Marc Lespade (NUPES-PCF)
3. Boris Vallaud (NUPES-PS) sortant

Loir-et-Cher = (-1 LR; +1 Rec)
1. Marc Fesneau (ENS-Modem) sortant
2. Guillaume Peltier (Rec) sortant
3. Pascal Brindeau (UDI) sortant

Loire +1 LFI; -1 ENS
1. Pierrick Courbon (DVG-PS) suppléant sortant
2. Andrée Taurinya (NUPES-LFI)
3. Emmanuel Mandon (ENS-Ren)
4. Dino Cinieri (LR) sortant
5. Nathalie Sarles (ENS-EC) sortante
6. Julien Borowczyk (ENS-Hor) sortant

Haute-Loire =
1. Isballe Valentin (LR) sortante
2. Jean-Pierre Vigier (LR) sortant

Loire-Atlantique +2 LFI; +1 PS; +1 EELV; +1 DVG; -5 ENS
1. Karim Benbrahim (NUPES-PS)
2. Andy Kerbrat (NUPES-LFI)
3. Ségolène Amiot (NUPES-LFI)
4. Julie Laernoes (NUPES-EELV)
5. Sarah El Hairy (ENS-Modem) sortante
6. Jordan Esnault (ENS-Ren)
7. Sandrine Josso (ENS-Modem) sortante
8. Xavier Perrin (DVG)
9. Yannick Haury (ENS-Ren) sortant
10. Sophie Errante (ENS-Ren) sortante

Loiret +2 ENS; -2 LR
1. Stéphanie Rist (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Caroline Janvier (ENS-Ren) sortante
3. Claude de Ganay (LR) sortant
4. Jean-Michel Blanquer (ENS-Ren)
5. Anthony Brosse (ENS-Ren)
6. Richard Ramos (ENS-Modem) sortant

Lot +1 DVG; - 1 ENS
1. Aurélien Pradié (LR) sortant
2. Christophe Proença (DVG-PS)

Lot-et-Garonne +1 PS; -2 ENS; +1 LR
1. Michel Lauzzana (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Christophe Courrègelongue (NUPES-PS)
3. Jean-Louis Costes (LR)

Lozère +1 ENS; -1 LR
1. Laurent Suau (ENS-Ren) ex-PS

Maine-et-Loire = (-1 P. Eco; +1 ENS)
1. François Gernigon (ENS-Hor)
2. Stella Duppont (ENS-Ren) sortante
3. Anne-Laure Blin (LR) sortante
4. Laëtitia Saint-Paul (ENS-Ren) sortante
5. Denis Masseglia (ENS-Ren) sortant
6. Nicole Dubre Chirat (ENS-Ren) sortante
7. Philippe Bolo (ENS-Modem) sortant

Manche +1 PS; -1 ENS
1. Philippe Gosselin (LR) sortant
2. Betrand Sorre (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Stéphane Travert (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Anna Pic (NUPES-PS)

Marne = (+1 ENS, -1 LR)
1. Valérie Beauvais (LR) sortante
2. Aina Kuric (ENS-Hor) sortante
3. Eric Girardin (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Lise Magnier (ENS-Hor) sortante
5. Charles de Courson (LC-UDI) sortant

Haute-Marne =
1. Bérangère Abba (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. François Cornut-Gentille (LR) sortant

Mayenne = (+1 ENS; -1 UDI)
1. Guillaume Garot (NUPES-PS) sortant
2. Géraldine Bannier (ENS-Modem) sortante
3. Yannick Favennec (ENS-Hor) sortant

Meurthe-et-Moselle +1 PS, -1 ENS
1. Carole Grandjean (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Stéphane Hablot (NUPES-PS)
3. Xavier Paluszkiewicz (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Thibault Bazin (LR) sortant
5. Dominique Potier (NUPES-PS) sortant
6. Caroline Fiat (NUPES-LFI) sortante

Meuse = (-1 P eco; +1 ENS)
1. Bertrand Pancher (DVD) sortant
2. Anne Bois (ENS-Ren)

Morbihan +1 Reg -1 ENS (=)
1. Anne Le Henanff (ENS-Hor)
2. Jimmy Pahun (ENS-Modem) sortant
3. Nicole Le Peih (ENS-Ren) sortante
4. Paul Molac (Reg) sortant
5. Lysiane Metayer (ENS-Ren)
6. Jean-Michel Jacques (ENS-Ren) sortant

Moselle +1 LFI; -1 ENS
1. Belkhir Belhaddad (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Ludovic Mendes (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Richard Lioger (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Fabien Di Filippo (LR) sortant
5. Nicole Trisse (ENS-Ren) sortante
6. Christophe Arend (Ens-TdP) sortant
7. Hélène Zannier (ENS-Ren) sortante
8. Céline Léger (NUPES-LFI)
9. Isabelle Rauch (ENS-Ren) sortante

Nièvre =
1. Perrine Goulet (ENS-Modem) sortante
2. Patrice Perrot (ENS-Ren) sortant

Nord +1 LFI; +1 PCF; +1 PS; -1 DVG; = ENS; -1 UDI; -1 RN
1. Adrien Quattenens (NUPES-LFI) sortant
2. Ugo Bernalicis (NUPES-LFI) sortant
3. Christophe Di Pompeo (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Brigitte Liso (ENS-Rem) sortante
5. Sébastien Huyghe (LR) sortant
6. Charlotte Parmentier-Lecocq (ENS-Ren) sortante
7. Félicie Gérard (ENS-Hor)
8. David Guiraud (NUPES-LFI)
9. Violette Spillebout (ENS-Ren)
10. Gérald Darmanin (ENS) (suppléant sortant)
11. Roger Vicot (NUPES-PS)
12. Anne-Laure Cattelot (ENS-Ren) sortante
13. Christine Decodts (ENS-Ren)
14. Paul Christophe (ENS-Agir) sortant
15. Claude Nicolet (ENS-RR)
16. Alain Bruneel (NUPES-PCF) sortant
17. Dimitri Houbron (ENS-Agir) sortant
18. Guy Bricout (UDI) sortant
19. Patrick Soloch (NUPES-PCF)
20. Fabien Roussel (NUPES-PCF) sortant
21. Béatrice Descamps (UDI) sortante

Oise +1 LFI, +1 PCF, -2 LR
1. Victor Habert-Dassault (LR) sortant
2. Chanez Herbanne (ENS-Hor)
3. Valérie Labatut (NUPES-LFI)
4. Eric Woerth (ENS-Ren) sortant
5. Pierre Vatin (LR) sortant
6. Carole Bureau-Bonnard (ENS-Ren) sortante
7. Loic Pen (NUPES-PCF)

Orne -1 PS; +1 ENS
1. Marie-Annick Duhard (ENS-Ren)
2. Véronique Louwagie (LR) sortante
3. Jérôme Nury (LR) sortant

Pas-de-Calais +1 ENS; -1 LR
1. Bruno Duvergé (ENS-Modem) sortant
2. Jacqueline Maquet (ENS-Ren) sortante
3. Bruno Clavet (RN)
4. Philippe Fait (ENS-Ren)
5. Jean-Pierre Pont (ENS-Ren) sortant
6. Brigitte Bourguignon (ENS-Ren) sortante
7. Pierre-Henri Dumont (LR) sortant
8. Benoît Potterie (ENS-Ren) sortant
9. Marguerite Deprez-Audebert (ENS-Modem) sortante
10. Thierry Frappé (RN)
11. Marine Le Pen (RN) sortante
12. Bruno Bilde (RN) sortant

Puy-de-Dôme +1 LFI; -1 ENS
1. Marianne Maximi (NUPES-LFI)
2. Christine Pirès-Beaune (NUPES-PS) sortante
3. Laurence Vichnievsky (ENS-Modem) sortante
4. Delphine Lingemann (ENS-Modem)
5. André Chassaigne (NUPES-PCF) sortant

Pyrénées-Atlantiques +1 PS; -1 Résistons
1. Josie Pueyto (ENS-Modem) sortante
2. Jean-Paul Matteï (ENS-Modem) sortant
3. David Habib (DVG-PS) sortant
4. Inaki Echaniz (NUPES-PS)
5. Florence Lasserre (ENS-Modem) sortante
6. Vincent Bru (ENS-Modem) sortant

Hautes-Pyrénées +1 DVG-PS, -1 ENS
1. Maryse Beyrié (DVG-PS)
2. Jérôme Crampe (PRG)

Pyrénées-Orientales +1 LFI, +1 DVG-PS; -2 ENS
1. Romain Grau (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Anaïs Sabatini (RN)
3. Natalie Cullell (NUPES-LFI)
4. Alexandre Reynal (DVG-PS)

Bas-Rhin +1 LFI, +1 EELV, -2 ENS
1. Sandra Regol (NUPES-EELV)
2. Emmanuel Fernandes (NUPES-LFI)
3. Bruno Studer (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Françoise Bugget (ENS-Ren)
5. Olivier Sohler (UDI)
6. Philippe Meyer (LR) sortant
7. Patrick Hetzel (LR) sortant
8. Anne Sander (LR)
9. Vincent Thiébaut (ENS-Ren) sortant

Haut-Rhin +2 ENS, -2 LR
1. Brigitte Klinkert (ENS-Ren)
2. Jacques Cattin (LR) sortant
3. Thomas Zeller (LR)
4. Raphaël Schellenberger (LR) sortant
5. Olivier Becht (ENS-Agir) sortant ex LR
6. Bruno Fuchs (ENS-Modem) sortant

Rhône +4 LFI, +2 P Eco; -5 ENS, -1 LR
1. Aurélie Gries (NUPES-LFI)
2. Hubert Julien Lafferrière (NUPES-P Eco) sortant
3. Marie-Charlotte Garin (NUPES-EELV)
4. Anne Brugnera (ENS-Ren) sortante
5. Blandine Brocard (ENS-Ren) sortante
6. Gabriel Amard (NUPES-LFI)
7. Abdelkader Lahmar (NUPES-LFI)
8. Dominique Despras (ENS-Ren)
9. Ambroise Méjean (ENS-Ren)
10. Thomas Gassilloud (ENS-Agir) sortant
11. Jean-Luc Fugit (ENS-Ren) sortant
12. Cyrille Isaac-Sibille (ENS-Modem) sortant
13. Gilles Gascon (LR)
14. Idir Boumertit (NUPES-LFI)

Haute-Saône =
1. Barbara Bessot Ballot (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Christophe Lejeune (ENS-Ren) sortant

Saône-et-Loire -1 ENS; +1 LR
1. Benjamin Dirx (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Josiane Corneloup (LR) sortante
3. Rémy Rebeyrotte (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Cécile Untermaier (NUPES-PS) sortante
5. Gilles Platret (LR)

Sarthe -2 PS; +1 NUPES divers +1 DVG-PS
1. Fabienne Labrette-Ménager (LR)
2. Marietta Karamanli (NUPES-DVG) sortante
3. Eric Martineau (ENS-Modem)
4. Sylvie Tolmont (DVG-PS) sortante
5. Jean-Carles Grelier (ENS-DVD) sortant

Savoie +1 LFI; -2 ENS; +1 LR
1. Karine Dubouchet (LR)
2. Vincent Rolland (LR) sortant
3. Emilie Bonnivard (LR) sortante
4. Jean-François Coulomme (NUPES-LFI)

Haute-Savoie -1 ENS; +1 LR
1. Véronique Riotton (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Antoine Armand (ENS-Ren)
3. Christelle Petex-Levet (LR) sortante
4. Virginie Duby-Muller (LR) sortante
5. Sophie Dion (LR)
6. Xavier Roseren (ENS-Ren) sortant

Paris +3 LFI; +1 EELV; -4 ENS-Ren
1. Sylvain Maillard (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Gilles Le Gendre (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Stanislas Guérini (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Brigitte Kuster (LR) sortante
5. Julien Bayou (NUPES-EELV)
6. Sophia Chikirou (NUPES-LFI)
7. Clément Beaune (ENS-Ren)
8. Laetitia Avia (ENS-Ren) sortante
9. Buon Tan (ENS-Ren) sortant
10. Rodrigo Arenas (NUPES-LFI)
11. Maud Gatel (ENS-Modem) sortante
12. Olivia Gregoire (ENS-Ren) sortante
13. David Amiel (ENS-Ren)
14. Francis Szpiner (LR)
15. Lamia El Aaraje (PS) sortante
16. Sarah Legrain (NUPES-LFI)
17. Danièle Obono (NUPES-LFI)
18. Pierre-Yves Bournazel (ENS-Hor) sortant

Seine-Maritime +2 LFI; -1 ENS; -1 LR
1. Maxime Da Silva (NUPES-LFI)
2. Annie Vidal (ENS-Ren) sortante
3. Hubert Wulfranc (NUPES-PCF) sortant
4. Alma Dufour (NUPES-LFI)
5. Gérard Leseul (NUPES-PS) sortant
6. Sébatien Jumel (NUPES-PCF) sortant
7. Agnès Firmin-Le Bodo (ENS-Hor) sortante
8. Jean-Paul Lecoq (NUPES-PCF) sortant
9. Marie-Agnès Poussier-Winsback (ENS-Hor)
10. Xavier Batut (ENS-Ren) sortant

Seine-et-Marne +1 ENS-Ren; +1 ENS-Hor; +1 ENS-Agir; -3 LR
1. Aude Luquet (ENS-Modem) sortante
2. Frédéric Valletoux (ENS-Hor)
3. Jean-Louis Thiériot (LR) sortant
4. Jean-Philippe Delvaux (ENS-Agir)
5. Franck Riester (ENS-Agir) sortant
6. Fatna Mekidiche (ENS-Ren)
7. Rodrigue Kokouendo (ENS-Ren) sortant
8. Jean-Michel Fauvergue (ENS-Ren) sortant
9. Michèle Peyron (ENS-Ren) sortante
10. Stéphanie Do (ENS-Ren) sortante
11. Olivier Faure (NUPES-PS) sortant

Yvelines -1 ENS-Modem; +2 ENS-Ren; -1 LR
1. Charles Rodwell (ENS-Ren)
2. Jean-Noël Barrot (ENS-Modem) sortant
3. Béatrice Piron (ENS-Ren) sortante
4. Marie Lebec (ENS-Ren) sortante
5. Yaël Braun-Pivet (ENS-Ren) sortante
6. Natalia Pouzyreff (ENS-Ren) sortante
7. Nadia Hai (ENS-Ren)
8. Edwige Hervieux (ENS-Ren)
9. Bruno Millienne (ENS-Modem) sortant
10. Aurore Bergé (ENS-Ren) sortante
11. Philippe Benassaya (LR) sortant
12. Karl Olive (ENS-Ren)

Deux-Sèvres (=) -1 PS; +1 P Eco
1. Bastien Marchive (ENS-PRV)
2. Delphine Batho (NUPES-P Eco) sortante
3. Jean-Marie Fievet (ENS-Ren) sortant

Somme =
1. François Ruffin (NUPES-LFI) sortant
2. Barbara Pompili (ENS-EC) sortante
3. Emmanuel Maquet (LR) sortant
4. Jean-Claude Leclabart (ENS-Ren) sortant
5. Grégory Labille (LR) sortant

Tarn =
1. Muriel Roques-Etienne (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Marie-Christine Verdier-Jouclas (ENS-Ren) sortante
3. Jean Terlier (ENS-Ren) sortant

Tarn-et-Garonne =
1. Valérie Rabault (NUPES-PS) sortante
2. Sylvia Pinel (PRG) sortante

Var +1 ENS; -2 LR; +1 Rec
1. Yannick Chenevard (ENS-Hor)
2. Ange Musso (ENS-Hor)
3. Isabelle Montfort (ENS-Hor)
4. Eric Zemmour (Rec)
5. Philippe Michel-Kleisbauer (ENS-Modem) sortant
6. Valérie Gomez-Bassac (ENS-Ren) sortante
7. Cécile Muschotti (ENS-EC) (sortante 2ème circo)
8. Fabien Matras (ENS-Ren) sortant

Vaucluse +1 LFI; -1 LR; -1 LdS; +1 RN
1. Farid Faryssy (NUPES-LFI)
2. Sylvie Viala (ENS-Ren)
3. Hervé de Lepinau (RN)
4. Violaine Richard (ENS-Ren)
5. Julien Aubert (LR) sortant

Vendée -1 ENS; +1 LR
1. Philippe Latombe (ENS-Modem) sortant
2. Maxence de Rugy (LR)
3. Stéphane Buchou (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Martine Leguille-Balloy (ENS-Ren) sortante
5. Pierre Henriet (ENS-Ren) sortant

Vienne +1 DVG; -1 ENS (=)
1. Françoise Ballet-Blu (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Sacha Houlie (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Jean-Michel Clément (DVG) sortant ex ENS
4. Nicolas Turquois (ENS-Modem) sortant

Haute-Vienne +1 PS; -1 ENS
1. Sophie Beaudouin-Hubière (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Stéphane Delautrette (NUPES-PS)
3. Geoffroy Sardin (ENS-Ren)

Vosges +1 ENS; -1 LR
1. Stéphane Viry (LR) sortant
2. David Valence (ENS-PRV)
3. Christophe Naegelen (UDI) sortant
4. Jean-Jacques Gaultier (LR) sortant

Yonne -1 UDI; +1 RN
1. Guillaume Larrivé (LR) sortant
2. André Villiers (ENS-Hor) sortant (ex UDI)
3. Julien Odoul (RN)

Territoire de Belfort +1 ENS-RR; -1 UDI
1. Ian Boucard (LR) sortant
2. Baptiste Petitjean (ENS-RR)

Essonne +2 LFI; +1 PS; -1 P.Eco; = ENS-Ren; -1 LR; -1 DLF
1. Farida Amrani (NUPES-LFI)
2. Naïma Sifer (ENS-Ren)
3. Alexis Izard (ENS-Ren)
4. Marie-Pierre Rixain (ENS-Ren) sortante
5. Paul Midy (ENS-Ren)
6. Jérôme Guedj (NUPES-PS)
7. Robin Reda (ENS-Ren) ex-LR sortant
8. Mohamed Bida (ENS-Ren)
9. Marie Guvenoux (ENS-Ren) sortante
10. Antoine Léaument (NUPES-LFI)

Hauts-de-Seine +1 LFI; -1 P.Eco;
1. Elsa Faucillon (NUPES-PCF) sortante
2. Baï-Audrey Achidi (ENS-Ren)
3. Aurélie Taquillain (ENS-Ren)
4. Isabelle Florennes (ENS-Modem) sortante
5. Céline Calvez (ENS-Ren) sortante
6. Constance Le Grip (ENS) ex-LR sortante
7. Pierre Cazeneuve (ENS-Ren)
8. Prisca Thevenot (ENS-Ren)
9. Emmanuel Pellerin (ENS-Ren)
10. Gabriel Attal (ENS-Ren) sortant
11. Aurélien Saintoul (NUPES-LFI)
12. Jean-Louis Bourlanges (ENS-Modem) sortant
13. Maud Brégeon (ENS-Ren)

Seine-Saint-Denis +1 LFI; -1 LR
1. Eric Coquerel (NUPES-LFI) sortant
2. Stéphane Peu (NUPES-PCF) sortant
3. Patrice Anato (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Soumya Bourouaha (NUPES-PCF)
5. Jean-Christophe Lagarde (UDI) sortant
6. Bastien Lachaud (NUPES-LFI) sortant
7. Alexis Corbière (NUPES-LFI) sortant
8. Sylvie Charrière (ENS-Ren) sortante
9. Aurélie Trouvé (NUPES-LFI)
10. Nadège Abomangoli (NUPES-LFI)
11. Clémentine Autain (NUPES-LFI) sortante
12. Stéphane Testé (ENS-Ren) sortant

Val-de-Marne +1 LFI; +1 G.s; = ENS-Ren; -2 LR
1. Frédéric Descrozaille (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Clémence Guetté (NUPES-LFI)
3. Laurent Saint-Martin (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Maud Petit (ENS-Modem) sortante
5. Mathieu Lefevre (ENS-Ren)
6. Guillaume Gouffier-Cha (ENS-Ren) sortant
7. Roxana Maracineanu (ENS-Ren)
8. Emmanuelle Wargon (ENS-Ren)
9. Isabelle Santiago (NUPES-PS) sortante
10. Mathilde Panot (NUPES-LFI) sortante
11. Sophie Taillé-Polian (NUPES-G.s)

Val-d'Oise +1 LFI; -1 EELV; -1 ENS-Modem; +1 ENS-RR; +1 ENS-Ren; -1 LR
1. Emilie Chandler (ENS-Ren)
2. Guillaume Vuilletet (ENS-Ren) sortant
3. Cécile Rilhac (ENS-Ren) sortante
4. Naïma Moutchou (ENS-Hor) sortante
5. Paul Vannier (NUPES-LFI)
6. Estelle Folest (ENS-RR)
7. Dominique Da Silva (ENS-Ren) sortant
8. François Pupponi (Ens-TdP) sortant
9. Zivka Park (ENS-Ren) sortante
10. Victorien Lachas (ENS-Ren)

Guadeloupe +1 DVG; +2 PS; -3 ENS
1. Dominique Biras (DVG)
2. Christian Baptiste (PS)
3. Sylvie Chammougon-Anno (PS)
4. Elie Califer (PS)

Martinique -1 DVG +1 PPM
1. Fred Samot (BPM)
2. Jean-Baptiste Rotsen (PPM)
3. Johnny Hajjar (PPM)
4. Alfred Marie-Jeanne (MIM)

Guyane +1 LFI; -1 ENS
1. Thibault Lechat Vega (Péyi G)
2. Davy Rimane (LFI)

La Réunion +1 NUPES-PLR; -1 DVD
1. Philippe Nailet (NUPES-PS) sortant
2. Karine Lebon (NUPES-PLR-app.PCF) sortante
3. Nathalie Bassire (DVD) sortante
4. David Lorion (LR) sortant
5. Jean-Hugues Ratenon (NUPES-LFI) sortant
6. Frédéric Maillot (NUPES-PLR)
7. Thierry Robert (PACT)

Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon -1 ENS; +1 DVD
1. Stéphane Lenormand (AD-UDC)

Mayotte =
1. Ramlati Ali (ENS-Ren) sortante
2. Mansour Kamardine (LR) sortant

Saint-Barthélémy - Saint-Martin =
1. Daniel Gibbs (LR diss)

Wallis-et-Futuna =
1. Mikaele Seo (DVD)

Polynésie française: -1 NUPES-appPCF, +1 DVD-UDI
1. Nicole Bouteau (ENS-Tapura)
2. Nicole Sanquer (DVD-UDI) sortante
3. Nuihau Laurey (DVD-UDI)

Nouvelle-Calédonie -1 CE; +1 LR
1. Philippe Dunoyer (ENS-CE) sortant
2. Thierry Santa (R-LR)

Français hors de France =
1. Roland Lescure (ENS-Ren) sortant
2. Eléonore Caroit (ENS-Ren)
3. Alexander Holroyd (ENS-Ren) sortant
4. Pieyre-Alexandre Anglade (ENS-Ren) sortant
5. Manuel Valls (ENS-Ren)
6. Marc Ferracci (ENS-Ren)
7. Frédéric Petit (ENS-Modem) sortant
8. Meyer Habib (UDI) sortant
9. Elisabeth Moreno (ENS-Ren)
10. Amal Amélia Lakrafi (ENS-Ren) sortante
11. Anne Genetet (ENS-Ren) sortante 

So that's:

Ensemble (presidential majority): 333 (-39)

Left-wing (NUPES + left-wing outside of NUPES): 145 (+78)

Right-wing (LR + UDI + a few right-wing): 85 (-39)

Far-right (RN + Reconquête): 10 (+1)

Regionalist/autonomist (corsica and britanny: they might sit with the greens): 4 (+1)

Inside the left, there are:

56 Insoumis

35 socialists + 22 left-wing including some socialists and some over-seas left that might sit with Insoumis or PCF or Greens

18 communists + a few over-seas left that currently sit with communists

11 Greens + allies

3 PRG

Greens might need 4 to get a grouping, and as they are long time allies to corsican autonomists and britton regionalist, they might do a group together. Socialists could theoretically, in this prediction, have the larger opposition group if they convince the PRG MPs a almost all left-wing elected outside NUPES to get with them.

Mostly, the right-wing LR and UDI would lose out to Ensemble (most constituencies with the right-wing incumbent retiring and some others)  some right-wing constituencies, but Ensemble would lose its most left-wing constituencies to the left.

[Georg Ebner]

So You have the Macronists & LR far higher and NUPES & RN far lower than the others (generally).
But finally You could be right in that assumption.

[relique]

Jun 3, 2022 12:34:26 GMT Georg Ebner said:

So You have the Macronists & LR far higher and NUPES & RN far lower than the others (generally).
But finally You could be right in that assumption.

Than the pollsters yes. But honestly, the pollsters are really bad at predicting the seats based on the scores in the first round (they are clearly using very standard transfers variable with no adjustments based on local popularity of the candidates).

I would trust them with the global scores (even though, as the candidates are not always the same they need adaptation to be realistic in each constituency ) but not with global seat prediction

I think that NUPES and RN candidates will have trouble expanding their base in the second round BUT socialists and communists inside NUPES usually have candidates that are locally well known and appreciated well beyond their political base. So they will have less trouble in the second round.

For LR it's quite difficult to predict as, basically, we need to predict how popular an MP or a local candidate is popular to completely overrun Pécresse's score.

[mattbewilson]

Tbf based on what Ive seen these predictions are within the range of most pollsters

[Devil Wincarnate]

In a bizarre turn, JLM appears to be bogged down in a dispute with the crooner Michel Sardou, and is trying to arrange a meeting to clear the air.

[Devil Wincarnate]

A surprise appearance on the campaign trail.
www.lefigaro.fr/elections/legislatives/legislatives-les-candidates-lfi-daniele-obono-et-danielle-simonnet-s-affichent-avec-le-britannique-jeremy-corbyn-20220604

[mattbewilson]

Jun 4, 2022 23:11:59 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

A surprise appearance on the campaign trail.
www.lefigaro.fr/elections/legislatives/legislatives-les-candidates-lfi-daniele-obono-et-danielle-simonnet-s-affichent-avec-le-britannique-jeremy-corbyn-20220604

interesting article but I think the translation must be not 100% some of the wording looks wrong and I think that's probably less to do with the publication

[jamie]

Jun 4, 2022 23:11:59 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

A surprise appearance on the campaign trail.
www.lefigaro.fr/elections/legislatives/legislatives-les-candidates-lfi-daniele-obono-et-danielle-simonnet-s-affichent-avec-le-britannique-jeremy-corbyn-20220604

Not to defend Jeremy Corbyn, but if you’re comfortable with Melenchon’s views on anti-semitism nevermind his political views as a whole, then Corbyn should not put you off voting for his party. 

[mattbewilson]

Jun 5, 2022 10:50:51 GMT jamie said:

Jun 4, 2022 23:11:59 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

A surprise appearance on the campaign trail.
www.lefigaro.fr/elections/legislatives/legislatives-les-candidates-lfi-daniele-obono-et-danielle-simonnet-s-affichent-avec-le-britannique-jeremy-corbyn-20220604

Not to defend Jeremy Corbyn, but if you’re comfortable with Melenchon’s views on anti-semitism nevermind his political views as a whole, then Corbyn should not put you off voting for his party. 

it does appear that criticism of the appearance Jeremy Corbyn comes from the socialist that is standing against the NUPES candidate

[Devil Wincarnate]

Jun 5, 2022 11:15:20 GMT mattbewilson said:

Jun 5, 2022 10:50:51 GMT jamie said:

Not to defend Jeremy Corbyn, but if you’re comfortable with Melenchon’s views on anti-semitism nevermind his political views as a whole, then Corbyn should not put you off voting for his party. 

it does appear that criticism of the appearance Jeremy Corbyn comes from the socialist that is standing against the NUPES candidate

From a personal perspective - I really don't like foreign politicians turning up on the campaign trail in other countries. Whilst getting that Corbyn etc have that "internationalist" view.

[The Bishop]

And there are only a handful of places where PS/NUPES clashes are happening tbf.

[relique]

First results in Polynésie française. All three presidential majority-allies are qualified against NUPES-allies. The regular right-wing candidates are eliminated (including an incumbent MP).

It's gonna be tough for the left-wing independantist incumbent (nupes-supported, he sits with PCF) in the third constituency but not impossible (he's doing slightly better than last time). In the first two constituencies, Tapura-backed candidates (presidential majority) will be easily elected.

[Devil Wincarnate]

Le Figaro have set up a handy page for the results when they arrive. An easy search function but also a list of the most populous settlements for easy access.
www.lefigaro.fr/elections/resultats/

[mattbewilson]

Jun 5, 2022 11:26:50 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

Jun 5, 2022 11:15:20 GMT mattbewilson said:

it does appear that criticism of the appearance Jeremy Corbyn comes from the socialist that is standing against the NUPES candidate

From a personal perspective - I really don't like foreign politicians turning up on the campaign trail in other countries. Whilst getting that Corbyn etc have that "internationalist" view.

I've a few comrades who've campaigned abroad. I've thought about it but it was put to me that people might not appreciate someone with my accent calling them

[mattbewilson]

Jun 5, 2022 11:26:55 GMT The Bishop said:

And there are only a handful of places where PS/NUPES clashes are happening tbf.

I have huge admiration for the French left who've demonstrated better unity than the British left have in probably 30 years

[Merseymike]

Jun 5, 2022 12:20:21 GMT mattbewilson said:

Jun 5, 2022 11:26:55 GMT The Bishop said:

And there are only a handful of places where PS/NUPES clashes are happening tbf.

I have huge admiration for the French left who've demonstrated better unity than the British left have in probably 30 years

Let's hope they remember this for the next presidential elections.