relique
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Post by relique on Jun 5, 2022 12:22:35 GMT
I have huge admiration for the French left who've demonstrated better unity than the British left have in probably 30 years Let's hope they remember this for the next presidential elections. They won't |
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Post by mattbewilson on Jun 5, 2022 12:23:25 GMT
I have huge admiration for the French left who've demonstrated better unity than the British left have in probably 30 years Let's hope they remember this for the next presidential elections. I suppose it depends on how successful this is deemed to be |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 5, 2022 12:36:13 GMT
Let's hope they remember this for the next presidential elections. I suppose it depends on how successful this is deemed to be It probably depends on who it's deemed to be a success for. And also how long JLM is around for. Love him or loathe him, NUPES and LFI are both creatures of his force of personality. Once he's off the scene, you could well imagine both concepts unravelling. Plus, the more sectarian likes of the PCF won't be pleased to play second fiddle in the long term. And who knows if the PS will get their act together? |
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Post by mattbewilson on Jun 5, 2022 13:27:13 GMT
I suppose it depends on how successful this is deemed to be It probably depends on who it's deemed to be a success for. And also how long JLM is around for. Love him or loathe him, NUPES and LFI are both creatures of his force of personality. Once he's off the scene, you could well imagine both concepts unravelling. Plus, the more sectarian likes of the PCF won't be pleased to play second fiddle in the long term. And who knows if the PS will get their act together? it's likely that without this alliance the socialists and the like probably would lost many of their remaining seats. JLMs decision not to stand in these elections must be with a successor in mind. I've read Bombard being touted as potentially one, he did lead the negotiations and drive quite a hard bargain with PS. |
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 5, 2022 14:29:56 GMT
It probably depends on who it's deemed to be a success for. And also how long JLM is around for. Love him or loathe him, NUPES and LFI are both creatures of his force of personality. Once he's off the scene, you could well imagine both concepts unravelling. Plus, the more sectarian likes of the PCF won't be pleased to play second fiddle in the long term. And who knows if the PS will get their act together? it's likely that without this alliance the socialists and the like probably would lost many of their remaining seats. JLMs decision not to stand in these elections must be with a successor in mind. I've read Bombard being touted as potentially one, he did lead the negotiations and drive quite a hard bargain with PS. Bompard rather than Bombard, although there was a French politician of that name, who sailed across the Atlantic in a dinghy.... |
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relique
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Post by relique on Jun 5, 2022 19:53:50 GMT
Manuel Valls eliminated in the constituency of the french from abroad Portugal Spain Andorra.
He lost despite the support from the presidential majority. The incumbent LREM came second just behind the left wing candidate.
The incumbent is the favourite for the second round
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ilerda
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Post by ilerda on Jun 5, 2022 19:58:58 GMT
Manuel Valls eliminated in the constituency of the french from abroad Portugal Spain Andorra. He lost despite the support from the presidential majority. Absolutely. Bloody. Hilarious. Worth watching this send up from Catalan tv when he announced he was abandoning Barcelona: |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 5, 2022 20:53:31 GMT
Polynésie française 1
Nicole Bouteau Tapura (ENS) 41,90 % RUNOFF
Tematai Le Gayic Tavini (NUPES) 20,11 RUNOFF
Pascale Haiti Amuitahiraa (UDC) 14,39
Félix Tokoragi A here ia DVD 9,62
Tauhiti Nena HMT REG 6,33
Jacky Bryant Heiura ECO 3,24
Jean-Paul Theron SE 747 2,41
Laurence Piercy PA 533 1,72
Willy Cadousteau Here ai'a 85 0,27
Polynésie française 2
Tepuaraurii Teriitahi Tapura (ENS) 33,24 RUNOFF
Steve Chailloux Tavini (NUPES) 28,84 RUNOFF
Nicole Sanquer A here ia DVD 17,31
Jonathan Tarihaa Amuitahiraa (UDC) 3 330 12,74
Sandra Lévy Agami Porineria a tu16 566 2,17
Charles Atger Te Natii RN 2,14
Pamela Otcenasek HMT 1,44
Tati Salmon Heiura 1,34
Éric Zanni DLF (UPF) 122 0,47
Paul Bontour LFI diss.17 84 0,32
Sanquer was the incumbent. He was elected with Tapura last time
Polynésie française 3
Moetai Brotherson Tavini (NUPES) 34,26 RUNOFF
Tuterai Tuhamai Tapura (ENS) 32,04 RUNOFF
Nuihau Laurey A here iaj,21 14,53
Sylviane Terooatea Amuitahiraa (UDC) 13,99
Jules Hauata Heiura ECO 2,06
Gilles Tautu SE REG 1,17
John Tefan HMT REG 1,12
Bernard Heifara Teriitahi SE REG 0,84
Brotherson is the incumbent
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relique
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Post by relique on Jun 5, 2022 21:34:33 GMT
Polynésie française 1 Nicole Bouteau Tapura (ENS) 41,90 % RUNOFF Tematai Le Gayic Tavini (NUPES) 20,11 RUNOFF Pascale Haiti Amuitahiraa (UDC) 14,39 Félix Tokoragi A here ia DVD 9,62 Tauhiti Nena HMT REG 6,33 Jacky Bryant Heiura ECO 3,24 Jean-Paul Theron SE 747 2,41 Laurence Piercy PA 533 1,72 Willy Cadousteau Here ai'a 85 0,27 Polynésie française 2 Tepuaraurii Teriitahi Tapura (ENS) 33,24 RUNOFF Steve Chailloux Tavini (NUPES) 28,84 RUNOFF Nicole Sanquer A here ia DVD 17,31 Jonathan Tarihaa Amuitahiraa (UDC) 3 330 12,74 Sandra Lévy Agami Porineria a tu16 566 2,17 Charles Atger Te Natii RN 2,14 Pamela Otcenasek HMT 1,44 Tati Salmon Heiura 1,34 Éric Zanni DLF (UPF) 122 0,47 Paul Bontour LFI diss.17 84 0,32 Sanquer was the incumbent. He was elected with Tapura last time Polynésie française 3 Moetai Brotherson Tavini (NUPES) 34,26 RUNOFF Tuterai Tuhamai Tapura (ENS) 32,04 RUNOFF Nuihau Laurey A here iaj,21 14,53 Sylviane Terooatea Amuitahiraa (UDC) 13,99 Jules Hauata Heiura ECO 2,06 Gilles Tautu SE REG 1,17 John Tefan HMT REG 1,12 Bernard Heifara Teriitahi SE REG 0,84 Brotherson is the incumbent Nicole Sanquer is a woman. The battle between NUPES and ensemble is in fact in Polynésie a battle between indépendantistes (backed by NUPES) and autonomists (backed by ensemble ) |
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Toylyyev
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Post by Toylyyev on Jun 7, 2022 2:24:29 GMT
First round vote shares for the 11 French residents overseas constituencies versus 2017. This year's party alliances are listed below the dashed lines and their components above the line. The were no alliances in 2017, just some instances of support for candidates from other parties. Behind the slash is the number of candidates running for the outfit. (electorate size varies between constituencies) La République en marche (LREM) | 45.24% / 9 | 30.30% / 10
Mouvement démocrate (MoDem) | 6.00% / 1 | 3.86% / 1
Other ENS | | .63% / 2
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Ensemble (ENS) | | 34.79% (-16.45)
Divers centre | N/A | 5.78% / 11
Union des centristes et des écologistes (UCE) | N/A | 6.05% / 10
Other ÉMP | | .20% / 2
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Les écologistes avec la majorité présidentielle (ÉMP) | | 6.24%
La France insoumise (LFI) | 7.37% / 8 | 13.60% / 6
Europe Écologie Les Verts (EELV) | 5.67% / 7 | 6.28% / 2
Parti socialiste (PS) | 6.83% / 9 | 4.30% / 1
Parti communiste français (PCF) | .35% / 9 | 2.13% / 1
Other NUPES | | 2.15% / 1
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Nouvelle Union populaire écologique et sociale (NUPES) | | 28.46% (+8.24)
Divers gauche | .83% / 9 | 1.83% / 13
Divers écologiste | 1.51% / 7 | .98% / 6
Les Républicains (LR) | 12.62% / 10 | 6.00% / 10
Union des démocrates et indépendants (UDI) | 3.35% / 6 | 1.42% / 1
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Union de la droite et du centre (UDC) | | 7.42% (-8.75)
Divers droite | 4.59% / 25 | 2.31% / 9
Reconquête (REC) | N/A | 5.89% / 11
Rassemblement national (RN) | 2.85% / 11 | 2.43% / 11 (-.42)
Others | 2.79% | 3.87%
Electorate 1,246,845 1,446,633
Turnout share 19.11% 22.51%
Valid vote share 18.93% 22.24%
PS. What the various < divers> are just in case someone is wondering... www.legifrance.gouv.fr/download/pdf/circ?id=45336The candidates must then pick one of these. I took the liberty to add the 510 votes for the candidate of the Radical Party of the Left in the 5th constituency to the < Divers gauche> nuance.  And those that belong to one of the alliances are included there. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 9, 2022 10:27:35 GMT
Does anyone know what Macron's connection to Le Touquet is ? He's from Amiens so not a million miles away but it's not immediately obvious why he is registered to vote and not in Paris. Just a holiday home?
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relique
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Post by relique on Jun 9, 2022 11:43:24 GMT
Does anyone know what Macron's connection to Le Touquet is ? He's from Amiens so not a million miles away but it's not immediately obvious why he is registered to vote and not in Paris. Just a holiday home? His wife's home. His daughter in law (who's about the same age) was a replacement candidate for LREM in this constituency in 2017 (they lost) The house is not declared in Macron's wealth disclaimer. He left Amiens and his family quite early as he broke up with his family over his love affair with his drama teacher. He only kept a relationship with his grandmother. In other news, the interior minister was forced by the Conseil d'État to give a nuance to the nupes candidates so that their results could be added for the overall results. The interior minister wanted to separate de nupes candidates so that their scores could not be viewed as a whole |
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Khunanup
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Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
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Post by Khunanup on Jun 9, 2022 13:33:41 GMT
Does anyone know what Macron's connection to Le Touquet is ? He's from Amiens so not a million miles away but it's not immediately obvious why he is registered to vote and not in Paris. Just a holiday home? His wife's home. His daughter in law (who's about the same age) was a replacement candidate for LREM in this constituency in 2017 (they lost) The house is not declared in Macron's wealth disclaimer. He left Amiens and his family quite early as he broke up with his family over his love affair with his drama teacher. He only kept a relationship with his grandmother. In other news, the interior minister was forced by the Conseil d'État to give a nuance to the nupes candidates so that their results could be added for the overall results. The interior minister wanted to separate de nupes candidates so that their scores could not be viewed as a whole Regardless of Mrs Macron's home being there, it's also a very posh place so appropriate for the President of the Republic to be associated with. Got a nice water park too (or at least it did, it might have closed since the '90s) that I went on a school day trip to. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 9, 2022 14:56:02 GMT
It's a really nice place. Posh but not ridiculous, with some decent bars and restaurants.
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 12, 2022 6:55:37 GMT
Guayne 1
Yvane Goua (TV) 20.77%
Jean-Victor Castor (NUPES) 17.3%
Guyane 2
Lénaïck Adam (incumbent, LREM) 31,88%
Davy Rimane (NUPES) 21.3%
Guadaloupe 1
Olivier Serva (incumbent, ind, ex LREM) 43.44%
Dominique Biras (FRAPP) 15.02%
Guadaloupe 2
Justine Benin (incumbent, ENS) 31.31
Christian Baptiste (PPDG-NUPES) 26.78%
(there is a LFI candidate with 15%)
Guadaloupe 3
Rody Tolassy (RN) 20.09
Max Mathiasin (incumbent, MoDem) 16.93%
Guadaloupe 4
Elie Califer (NUPES) 38.61
Marie-Luce Penchard (GUSR-ENS) 19,88%
Martinique 1
Philippe Edmond-Mariette (MIM) 17,9%
Jiovanny William (Péyi-A), 14%
Martinique 2
Marcellin Nadeau (Péyi-A-NUPES) 27,6%
Justin Pamphile (MIM) 25,9%
Martinique 3
Johnny Hajjar (Parti Progressiste Martiniquais) 37%
Francis Carole (PALIMA) 18,9%
Martinique 4
Jean-Philippe Nilor (incumbent, Péyi-A-NUPES) 44,2%
Alfred Marie Jeanne ( Mouvement indépendantiste Martiniquai) 25,8%)
Saint-Barthélemy et Saint-Martin
Frantz Gumbs (ENS) 47.1%
Daniel Gibbs (LR-Diss) 27.6%
Saint-Pierre et Miquelon
Stéphane Lenormand (UDC) 32,39%
Olivier Gaston (NUPES) 29,59%.
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Toylyyev
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Post by Toylyyev on Jun 12, 2022 10:13:26 GMT
New Caledonia - 1st constituency: Turnout 31% (-2.9) Philippe Dunoyer 40.83% (+12.9) ENS: Calédonie ensemble (CE)
Walisaune Wahetra 21.67% (+11.6) REG: Parti de libération kanak (PALIKA - FLNKS)
Virginie Ruffenach 13.98% (-0.1) LR: Le Rassemblement - Les Républicains (R-LR)
Pascal Lafleur 7.40% N/A DVD: sans étiquette
Guy-Olivier Cuénot 6.61% (-0.1) RN: Rassemblement national de Nouvelle-Calédonie (RN)
Joël Kasarherou 4.98% N/A DVC: Construire autrement (CA)
Jérémy Simon 2.34% N/A DSV: Les Patriotes (LP)
Antoine Gil 2.20% N/A DVD: Mouvement des citoyens français de Nouvelle-Calédonie (MCF-NC)
(-15.9) DVD: Mouvement populaire calédonien (MPC)
(-2.4) FI: La France insoumise (LFI)
(-2.5) DVD
(-2.5) REG
(-0.7) DIV 2nd constituency: Turnout 33.7% (-0.2) Nicolas Metzdorf 33.70% (+9.8) ENS: Générations NC (GNC)
Gérard Reignier 32.70% (+2.6) REG: Union calédonienne (UC - FLNKS)
Thierry Santa 21.79% (+6.4) LR: Le Rassemblement - Les Républicains (R-LR)
Alain Descombels 3.98% (-7.7) RN: Rassemblement national de Nouvelle-Calédonie (RN)
Muneiko Haocas 3.39% N/A REG: Mouvement néo-indépendantiste et souverainiste (MNIS)
Michelle Homboé 2.52% N/A DVC: Construire autrement (CA)
Véronique Pagand 1.06% N/A DSV: Debout la France (DLF)
Joannes Ititiaty .48% N/A DIV: sans étiquette
Manuel Millar .30% (-0.1) DIV: sans étiquette
(-10.0) DVD: Mouvement populaire calédonien (MPC)
(-6.8) DVD: Tous Calédoniens (TC)
(-1.0) REG
(-.7) DIV nouvelle calédonie 1: Législatives 2022 en Calédonie: indépendantistes et loyalistes face à face dans les deux circonscriptions au second tour (adds up to 99.92% so it may be 32.77% for Reignier as listed here) |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 12, 2022 18:06:33 GMT
Exit polls
Ipsos
Ensemble 25.2%
NUPES 25.2%
RN 18.9%
LR 13.7%
Divers gauche 4,1%
Reconquête ! 3,9%
Ifpop
NUPES 25.7%
Ensemble 25.0%
RN 19.3%
LR 11.6%
Reconquête ! 4%
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Post by mattbewilson on Jun 12, 2022 18:14:43 GMT
Exit polls Ipsos Ensemble 25.2% NUPES 25.2% RN 18.9% LR 13.7% Divers gauche 4,1% Reconquête ! 3,9% Ifpop NUPES 25.7% Ensemble 25.0% RN 19.3% LR 11.6% Reconquête ! 4% EN 270 to 310 NUPES 180 to 220 |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 12, 2022 18:17:41 GMT
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 12, 2022 18:25:36 GMT
Cher (18) - 2ème circonscription
Final result
M. Nicolas SANSU (NUP-PCF) 32.36%
Mme Christine POLY (RN) 22.99%
Mme Nadia ESSAYAN (ENS) 22.6% * incumbent ELIMINATED
M. Adrien BAERT (LR) 12.29% ELIMINATED
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And those that belong to one of the alliances are included there.