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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 21, 2022 12:10:22 GMT
South Sydney fan replaces Cronulla fan as PM.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 8,609 
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Post by iain on May 21, 2022 12:28:13 GMT
If Labor do make it to 76 then it will be Western Australia that’s bailed them out. Results there are very strong, whilst elsewhere they are pretty underwhelming. It looks as though Kristina Keneally may have lost the safe Western Sydney seat of Fowler which is quite funny.
Liberal results in the cities are disastrous. There is still an outside chance that they could be wiped out in Melbourne, Perth and Adelaide (likely they hold 1-3 in each), and be down to only a couple in Sydney.
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Post by bluelabour on May 21, 2022 12:36:03 GMT
If Labor do make it to 76 then it will be Western Australia that’s bailed them out. Results there are very strong, whilst elsewhere they are pretty underwhelming. It looks as though Kristina Keneally may have lost the safe Western Sydney seat of Fowler which is quite funny. Liberal results in the cities are disastrous. There is still an outside chance that they could be wiped out in Melbourne, Perth and Adelaide (likely they hold 1-3 in each), and be down to only a couple in Sydney. Why are Labor doing so much better in WA? |
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Post by Andrew_S on May 21, 2022 12:42:29 GMT
Swings to the Liberals in Tasmania.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 8,609
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Post by iain on May 21, 2022 12:44:49 GMT
If Labor do make it to 76 then it will be Western Australia that’s bailed them out. Results there are very strong, whilst elsewhere they are pretty underwhelming. It looks as though Kristina Keneally may have lost the safe Western Sydney seat of Fowler which is quite funny. Liberal results in the cities are disastrous. There is still an outside chance that they could be wiped out in Melbourne, Perth and Adelaide (likely they hold 1-3 in each), and be down to only a couple in Sydney. Why are Labor doing so much better in WA? The extremely popular state Premier and government. |
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johnyorks
Conservative
Posts: 1,704
Member is Online
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Post by johnyorks on May 21, 2022 12:55:45 GMT
Labour's doing better in seats than I expected, although the national first preference vote share isn't particularly impressive.
The Senate vote shares look very mixed at the moment too.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 8,609
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Post by iain on May 21, 2022 13:00:49 GMT
Looks like Nick Xenophon has failed in his bid to return to the Senate.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman-romantic-reactionary Catholic
Posts: 7,704
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Post by Georg Ebner on May 21, 2022 13:42:12 GMT
There will be 3-4 Independents from a coherent area (the wealthy [north]east of Sydney) alone - could become dangerous for the Liberals, if these established a liberal party.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman-romantic-reactionary Catholic
Posts: 7,704
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Post by Georg Ebner on May 21, 2022 13:45:30 GMT
Why are Labor doing so much better in WA? The extremely popular state Premier and government. That has only fastened a trend WA had had already before:  |
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Post by greenhert on May 21, 2022 13:47:18 GMT
On current projections, the Greens could win as many as 5 seats-they are already well ahead in Griffith and Ryan, and could also win Brisbane and Macnamara in addition to easily holding Melbourne. Brilliant  |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman-romantic-reactionary Catholic
Posts: 7,704
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Post by Georg Ebner on May 21, 2022 13:57:29 GMT
Albanese speaking - clearly a clown, who has even troubles to control his own supporters in the room...
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johnloony
Conservative
Posts: 15,752
Member is Online
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Post by johnloony on May 21, 2022 13:59:58 GMT
If Labor do make it to 76 then it will be Western Australia that’s bailed them out. Results there are very strong, whilst elsewhere they are pretty underwhelming. It looks as though Kristina Keneally may have lost the safe Western Sydney seat of Fowler which is quite funny. Liberal results in the cities are disastrous. There is still an outside chance that they could be wiped out in Melbourne, Perth and Adelaide (likely they hold 1-3 in each), and be down to only a couple in Sydney. Why are Labor doing so much better in WA? Isolation from the rest of the world during Covid |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 14,008
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Post by Sibboleth on May 21, 2022 14:03:15 GMT
Essentially the Morrison government's decision to use anti-environmentalism as a wedge-issue has backfired catastrophically and may well have cost it re-election. They've lost seats to the 'Teal Independents' (plus also Ryan and perhaps Brisbane to the Greens and a couple of other places - Higgins etc - to the ALP) in a much larger than anticipated backlash, while the issue hasn't resonated elsewhere in the hoped-for manner: it hasn't saved some of the vulnerable seats it was supposed to shore-up and it hasn't allowed for against-the-grain gains from the ALP. It's also interesting to note that those Central Queensland seats with such grossly inflated margins last time, while held of course, are seeing sharp swings back to the ALP and once again look like plausible targets in a good year for the party.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 8,609
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Post by iain on May 21, 2022 14:40:31 GMT
On current projections, the Greens could win as many as 5 seats-they are already well ahead in Griffith and Ryan, and could also win Brisbane and Macnamara in addition to easily holding Melbourne. Brilliant Richmond is also very close, and looks more possible than Macnamara. However, the Greens normally do pretty badly on postals, so I can’t see them winning either of those two. |
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finsobruce
Labour
Everyone ought to go careful in a city like this.
Posts: 36,666
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Post by finsobruce on May 21, 2022 15:40:06 GMT
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Post by London Lad on May 21, 2022 16:34:39 GMT
Someones still sulking over a few submarines...
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J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 10,636
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Post by J.G.Harston on May 21, 2022 17:31:28 GMT
There will be 3-4 Independents from a coherent area (the wealthy [north]east of Sydney) alone - could become dangerous for the Liberals, if these established a liberal party. Listening to the results on the radio, I was pondering if the Amercian Right will be cheering the downfall of a "liberal" government.  |
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Post by matureleft on May 21, 2022 19:01:47 GMT
There will be 3-4 Independents from a coherent area (the wealthy [north]east of Sydney) alone - could become dangerous for the Liberals, if these established a liberal party. Listening to the results on the radio, I was pondering if the Amercian Right will be cheering the downfall of a "liberal" government. And Trump would be raging at their electoral system! |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 6,669
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Post by cogload on May 21, 2022 19:03:07 GMT
Pretty dreadful primary vote for Labour and another polling failure for the industry...?
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 9,865
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Post by Khunanup on May 21, 2022 19:25:09 GMT
South Sydney fan replaces Cronulla fan as PM. One of the very few good points about Tony Abbott was his choice of footy team. Rabbitohs are a huge improvement on Sharks for an Aussie PM mind. |
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