iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,426 
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Post by iain on May 21, 2022 10:15:02 GMT
Greens and Independents are doing pretty well. Labor appear to be gaining ground, but maybe not enough for majority government.
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Post by timrollpickering on May 21, 2022 10:37:36 GMT
Just had Antony Green's regular on air rant about people complaining about the 2PP count shown.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,140
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Post by cogload on May 21, 2022 10:42:15 GMT
I don't think they have a bloody clue.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 21, 2022 10:47:44 GMT
Sounds like "teal seat" is becoming the Australian equivalent of "blue wall"
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Post by willpower3 on May 21, 2022 10:52:20 GMT
Mackellar goes to a teal.
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Post by matureleft on May 21, 2022 10:57:18 GMT
ABC projection is that the Liberals can’t form a government.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,426
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Post by iain on May 21, 2022 11:21:27 GMT
Very early, but the WA results look quite a bit better for Labor.
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Post by matureleft on May 21, 2022 11:28:37 GMT
ABC projecting Labor majority or minority government. They have a route to 76.
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jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 7,053
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Post by jamie on May 21, 2022 11:52:47 GMT
With regards to the Teal Independents, it’s worth mentioning that for all the talk about the switch from economic left vs right to social liberal vs social conservative, they are not running as members of any left of centre parties, they have actively distanced themselves from said parties, and they have repeatedly distanced themselves from any remotely left wing agenda on the economy (not that Labor has an agenda).
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Post by bungle on May 21, 2022 11:56:13 GMT
With Swan, Pearce and Hasluck now called as Labor gains and Curtin to an Indy, WA is a bloodbath for the LNP.
We know state elections aren’t usually a great guide to federal voting patterns but this can hardly come as a shock - more a pleasant and hoped for outcome for Labor.
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Post by bungle on May 21, 2022 12:03:37 GMT
Mackellar goes to a teal. Bronwyn Bishop’s old seat. Absolute banker for the LNP back in the day. I certainly would have enjoyed seeing her lose - although her public disgrace came close enough. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 21, 2022 12:10:22 GMT
South Sydney fan replaces Cronulla fan as PM.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,426
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Post by iain on May 21, 2022 12:28:13 GMT
If Labor do make it to 76 then it will be Western Australia that’s bailed them out. Results there are very strong, whilst elsewhere they are pretty underwhelming. It looks as though Kristina Keneally may have lost the safe Western Sydney seat of Fowler which is quite funny.
Liberal results in the cities are disastrous. There is still an outside chance that they could be wiped out in Melbourne, Perth and Adelaide (likely they hold 1-3 in each), and be down to only a couple in Sydney.
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Post by ClevelandYorks on May 21, 2022 12:36:03 GMT
If Labor do make it to 76 then it will be Western Australia that’s bailed them out. Results there are very strong, whilst elsewhere they are pretty underwhelming. It looks as though Kristina Keneally may have lost the safe Western Sydney seat of Fowler which is quite funny. Liberal results in the cities are disastrous. There is still an outside chance that they could be wiped out in Melbourne, Perth and Adelaide (likely they hold 1-3 in each), and be down to only a couple in Sydney. Why are Labor doing so much better in WA? |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,426
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Post by iain on May 21, 2022 12:44:49 GMT
If Labor do make it to 76 then it will be Western Australia that’s bailed them out. Results there are very strong, whilst elsewhere they are pretty underwhelming. It looks as though Kristina Keneally may have lost the safe Western Sydney seat of Fowler which is quite funny. Liberal results in the cities are disastrous. There is still an outside chance that they could be wiped out in Melbourne, Perth and Adelaide (likely they hold 1-3 in each), and be down to only a couple in Sydney. Why are Labor doing so much better in WA? The extremely popular state Premier and government. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on May 21, 2022 12:55:45 GMT
Labour's doing better in seats than I expected, although the national first preference vote share isn't particularly impressive.
The Senate vote shares look very mixed at the moment too.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,426
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Post by iain on May 21, 2022 13:00:49 GMT
Looks like Nick Xenophon has failed in his bid to return to the Senate.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,798
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Post by Georg Ebner on May 21, 2022 13:42:12 GMT
There will be 3-4 Independents from a coherent area (the wealthy [north]east of Sydney) alone - could become dangerous for the Liberals, if these established a liberal party.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,798
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Post by Georg Ebner on May 21, 2022 13:45:30 GMT
Why are Labor doing so much better in WA? The extremely popular state Premier and government. That has only fastened a trend WA had had already before:  |
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Post by greenhert on May 21, 2022 13:47:18 GMT
On current projections, the Greens could win as many as 5 seats-they are already well ahead in Griffith and Ryan, and could also win Brisbane and Macnamara in addition to easily holding Melbourne. Brilliant  |
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