Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 21, 2021 10:26:23 GMT
EAST DEVON DC; Feniton (Ind resigned)
Candidates:
BADEN, Linda A (Labour)
BRUCE, Alasdair S (Conservative)
OLIVE, Todd L (Liberal Democrat)
2019: Ind 638; Con 97; Lab 37
EAST DEVON DC; Honiton St Michael’s (Lib Dem resigned)
Candidates:
BONETTA, Jake E (Labour)
HOYLES, Jules (Liberal Democrat)
JENNY, Brown* (Conservative)
• As per SOPN. I assume this is a mistake somewhere and the candidate is actually called Jenny Brown rather than Brown Jenny...
2019: Con 790, 763, 530; LD 700
Jenny Brown had won a previous by-election in Honiton St Michaels in 2016 on old boundaries, but in 2019 stood in Honiton St Paul’s, missing out on the second seat to her party colleague by 1 vote. Jake Bonetta was the Labour candidate in the Feniton & Honiton county division this May.
Current Council: Con 21; Ind 15; East Devon Alliance 13; LD 7; Grn 2; 2 vacancies
EAST SUFFOLK DC; Aldeburgh & Leiston (2x Con resigned)
Candidates:
DALY, Thomas (Green)
ILETT, Ian (Labour)
MARSLING, Steve (Communist Party of Britain)
OAKLEY, Matt (Green)
RAINGER, Russ (Conservative)
REID, Andrew (Conservative)
TURNER, Mark William (Labour)
2019: Con 1265, 1179, 1151; Ind 1154, 1051; Lab 835, 779, 612; Grn 717, 577, 504; LD 429
Matt Oakley was the top Green candidate here in 2019. Ian Ilett was the unsuccessful Labour candidate in Aldeburgh & Leiston division in May and had previously stood in the old Aldeburgh ward on Suffolk Coastal council. The independent elected in 2019, having originally been elected as a Community Independent for the old Leiston ward (Suffolk Coastal) back in 2011, is now a Conservative
Current Council: Con 38; Lab 7; Grn 4; LD 3; Ind 1; 2 vacancies
HARLOW DC; Mark Hall (Lab died)
Candidates:
GILBERT, Jamie (Green)
MORRISON, Kay (Labour)
RIDEOUT, Lesley (Liberal Democrat)
STEER, John (Conservative)
2021: Con 1033; Lab 539; LD 120
2019: Lab 613; UKIP 354; Con 335; LD 139
2018: Lab 761; Con 503; UKIP 140; LD 121
2016: Lab 751; UKIP 449; Con 390; LD 104
2015: Lab 1296; Con 1060; UKIP 731; LD 175
Feb 15by: Lab 586; UKIP 353; Con 334; Grn 55; LD 47
2014: UKIP 662, 646; Lab 602, 599; Con 346, 346; LD 137, 124
2012: Lab 849, Con 440, LD 312
2011: Lab 913; LD 555; Con 542
2010: Lab 1145; LD 1114; Con 961
2008: LD 744; Con 681; Lab 599
2007: LD 752; Lab 740; Con 570
2006: LD 761; Lab 735; Con 562
2004: Lab 800; LD 584; Con 381; Ind 290;
2003: LD 598; Lab 510; Con 179; Soc All 48
2002: LD 1098, 1091, 1075; Lab 791, 782, 772; Con 276, 269, 255
Lesley Rideout was LD councillor for the ward from 2003-2011 and has been their candidate at every election since 2011 except 2012 when James Rideout was. John Steer(Con) has not stood in this ward before, but Jane Steer was a Lib Dem councillor elected in 2002 before later turning up as Conservative candidate in from 2006-08 and 2012-16.
Current Council: Con 20; Lab 12; 1 vacancy
HUNTINGDONSHIRE DC; St Neots East (Lab disqualified after election as combined authority mayor)
Candidates:
COLLINS, Sam (Conservative)
DAVENPORT-RAY, Lara (Green)
PITT, Ben (Independent)
SEEFF, Geoff (Liberal Democrat)
STROUD, Helen Mary (Labour)
2018: Lab 345, 186; Con 273, 193; LD 235
Sam Collins (Con) and Lara Davenport-Ray (Green) stood for their respective parties in St Neots East & Gransden division in May.
Current Council: Con 30; Ind Grp 10; LD 7; Lab 3; Ind 1; 1 vacancy
MID SUSSEX DC; Ardingly & Balcombe (Con died)
Candidates:
EDWARDS, Jenny (Green)
JERRIT, Ben (Liberal Democrat)
NUNES-CARVALHO, Lorraine (Conservative)
STEGGLES, Carole Ann (Independent)
2019: Con 684, 642; LD 470, 404; Grn 409; Lab 192
2015: Con 1620, 1596; Grn 692; Ind 594; Lab 543
2011: Con 1233, 1104; LD 556
2007: Con 934, 879; Grn 396, LD 387
2003: Con 868, 706; LD 328, 222
Jenny Edwards (Green) and Carole Steggles (Ind) both stood in the Worth Forest division (West Sussex), which contains this ward, in May.
Current Council: Con 34; LD 13; Grn 3; Ind 3; 1 vacancy
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Post by andrewp on Jun 21, 2021 10:48:51 GMT
Slightly surprising that there are no Independent candidates of any of the various descriptions in either of the East Devon wards.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 21, 2021 11:48:47 GMT
HUNTINGDONSHIRE DC; St Neots East (Lab disqualified after election as combined authority mayor) Candidates: COLLINS, Sam (Conservative) DAVENPORT-RAY, Lara (Green) PITT, Ben (Independent) SEEFF, Geoff (Liberal Democrat) STROUD, Helen Mary (Labour) Is Geoff Seeff the same guy who was Lib Dem candidate in Chingford and Woodford Green? |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jun 21, 2021 11:55:23 GMT
EAST DEVON DC; Feniton (Ind resigned) Candidates: BADEN, Linda A (Labour) BRUCE, Alasdair S (Conservative) OLIVE, Todd L (Liberal Demorat) 2019: Ind 638; Con 97; Lab 37 EAST DEVON DC; Honiton St Michael’s (Lib Dem resigned) Candidates: BONETTA, Jake E (Labour) HOYLES, Jules (Liberal Democrat) JENNY, Brown* (Conservative) • As per SOPN. I assume this is a mistake somewhere and the candidate is actually called Jenny Brown rather than Brown Jenny... 2019: Con 790, 763, 530; LD 700Jenny Brown had won a previous by-election in Honiton St Michaels in 2016 on old boundaries, but in 2019 stood in Honiton St Paul’s, missing out on the second seat to her party colleague by 1 vote. Jake Bonetta was the Labour candidate in the Feniton & Honiton county division this May. Current Council: Con 21; Ind 15; East Devon Alliance 13; LD 7; Grn 2; 2 vacancies How sure are we that the Lib Dem candidate for Feniton is Todd L Olive, and not Olive L Todd, if reversed names are an possibility? |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 21, 2021 13:12:31 GMT
EAST DEVON DC; Feniton (Ind resigned) Candidates: BADEN, Linda A (Labour) BRUCE, Alasdair S (Conservative) OLIVE, Todd L (Liberal Demorat) 2019: Ind 638; Con 97; Lab 37 EAST DEVON DC; Honiton St Michael’s (Lib Dem resigned) Candidates: BONETTA, Jake E (Labour) HOYLES, Jules (Liberal Democrat) JENNY, Brown* (Conservative) • As per SOPN. I assume this is a mistake somewhere and the candidate is actually called Jenny Brown rather than Brown Jenny... 2019: Con 790, 763, 530; LD 700Jenny Brown had won a previous by-election in Honiton St Michaels in 2016 on old boundaries, but in 2019 stood in Honiton St Paul’s, missing out on the second seat to her party colleague by 1 vote. Jake Bonetta was the Labour candidate in the Feniton & Honiton county division this May. Current Council: Con 21; Ind 15; East Devon Alliance 13; LD 7; Grn 2; 2 vacancies How sure are we that the Lib Dem candidate for Feniton is Todd L Olive, and not Olive L Todd, if reversed names are an possibility? Fairly sure: honiton.nub.news/n/honiton-and-feniton-candidates-announced-ahead-of-east-devon-by-election |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jun 21, 2021 13:51:50 GMT
Fair enough, but I'm sure he's not a Liberal Demorat (we've seen this before). |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 21, 2021 14:23:16 GMT
Fair enough, but I'm sure he's not a Liberal Demorat (we've seen this before). Typo now corrected... |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jun 21, 2021 14:30:41 GMT
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 6, 2021 7:39:01 GMT
The Feniton one especially ought to be very interesting for me, and in spite of (or even because of) knowing the place pretty well I haven't a clue what's going on there politically. My son lived in Feniton for over a decade and his ex-wife still is living there and 3 of my granddaughters still each have a bedroom there even though they have all moved on. Pity as that would have been another hatful of LibDem votes, I think.I tried asking my son and he also says he hasn't a clue what will happen, but reminds me that in effect there are two villages and they are very different in character. Old Feniton is the traditional village grouped round the church is rather conservative (but not these days necessarily Conservative). My family are Old Fenitonians. New Feniton is a much more fluid sort of place focussed around the railway station which I used to know well in my youth when it was called Sidmouth Junction rather than Feniton as it now is. The primary school though is in New Feniton and those three grandchildren all went there. The two villages are kept physically apart by the local geography and are joined only by a typical East Devon deep sunken lane.
I would think this is a battle which will owe a lot more to the personalities of the individual candidates than any party labels, but one might expect it to be between Tory and Lib Dem in the absence of an Independent, and could well turn into a old village v new village battle- in which case there a lot more votes in New Feniton.
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Post by andrewp on Jul 6, 2021 17:27:05 GMT
The Feniton one especially ought to be very interesting for me, and in spite of (or even because of) knowing the place pretty well I haven't a clue what's going on there politically. My son lived in Feniton for over a decade and his ex-wife still is living there and 3 of my granddaughters still each have a bedroom there even though they have all moved on. Pity as that would have been another hatful of LibDem votes, I think.I tried asking my son and he also says he hasn't a clue what will happen, but reminds me that in effect there are two villages and they are very different in character. Old Feniton is the traditional village grouped round the church is rather conservative (but not these days necessarily Conservative). My family are Old Fenitonians. New Feniton is a much more fluid sort of place focussed around the railway station which I used to know well in my youth when it was called Sidmouth Junction rather than Feniton as it now is. The primary school though is in New Feniton and those three grandchildren all went there. The two villages are kept physically apart by the local geography and are joined only by a typical East Devon deep sunken lane. I would think this is a battle which will owe a lot more to the personalities of the individual candidates than any party labels, but one might expect it to be between Tory and Lib Dem in the absence of an Independent, and could well turn into a old village v new village battle- in which case there a lot more votes in New Feniton. I am surprised that there is not either a successor candidate to the resigning Independent councillor or an IEDA ( Independent East Devon alliance) candidate in Feniton. Somewhat unusually, the IDEA with 13/60 councillors form the council administration at the moment. 9 out of their 13 strong group are portfolio holders. |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 6, 2021 18:04:30 GMT
The Feniton one especially ought to be very interesting for me, and in spite of (or even because of) knowing the place pretty well I haven't a clue what's going on there politically. My son lived in Feniton for over a decade and his ex-wife still is living there and 3 of my granddaughters still each have a bedroom there even though they have all moved on. Pity as that would have been another hatful of LibDem votes, I think.I tried asking my son and he also says he hasn't a clue what will happen, but reminds me that in effect there are two villages and they are very different in character. Old Feniton is the traditional village grouped round the church is rather conservative (but not these days necessarily Conservative). My family are Old Fenitonians. New Feniton is a much more fluid sort of place focussed around the railway station which I used to know well in my youth when it was called Sidmouth Junction rather than Feniton as it now is. The primary school though is in New Feniton and those three grandchildren all went there. The two villages are kept physically apart by the local geography and are joined only by a typical East Devon deep sunken lane. I would think this is a battle which will owe a lot more to the personalities of the individual candidates than any party labels, but one might expect it to be between Tory and Lib Dem in the absence of an Independent, and could well turn into a old village v new village battle- in which case there a lot more votes in New Feniton. I am surprised that there is not either a successor candidate to the resigning Independent councillor or an IEDA ( Independent East Devon alliance) candidate in Feniton. Somewhat unusually, the IDEA with 13/60 councillors form the council administration at the moment. 9 out of their 13 strong group are portfolio holders. I suppose, as the Lib Dems are also part of that administration as junior partners, it is the LibDem who has been left to be the representative of that administration. Did they think Lib Dems were better at by-elections? Or was it just an Olive branch?(sorry!) |
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Post by andrew111 on Jul 7, 2021 9:59:51 GMT
I am surprised that there is not either a successor candidate to the resigning Independent councillor or an IEDA ( Independent East Devon alliance) candidate in Feniton. Somewhat unusually, the IDEA with 13/60 councillors form the council administration at the moment. 9 out of their 13 strong group are portfolio holders. I suppose, as the Lib Dems are also part of that administration as junior partners, it is the LibDem who has been left to be the representative of that administration. Did they think Lib Dems were better at by-elections? Or was it just an Olive branch?(sorry!) No Independent is likely to be elected unless they are an established community activist, so maybe no one came forward? Meanwhile if there is an arrangement between Lib Dems and Indies the Lib Dems can carry the flag (or branch) However it would be interesting to know if the resigning Indy is endorsing the Lib Dems, who gave her a free run in 2019 |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 7, 2021 11:40:10 GMT
I suppose, as the Lib Dems are also part of that administration as junior partners, it is the LibDem who has been left to be the representative of that administration. Did they think Lib Dems were better at by-elections? Or was it just an Olive branch?(sorry!) No Independent is likely to be elected unless they are an established community activist, so maybe no one came forward? Meanwhile if there is an arrangement between Lib Dems and Indies the Lib Dems can carry the flag (or branch) However it would be interesting to know if the resigning Indy is endorsing the Lib Dems, who gave her a free run in 2019 Not just 2019 - they never stood against her in the predecessor ward either (not in 2013 by-election or 2015). Last time LDs contested Feniton was in 2011 in a straight fight with the Tories. |
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Post by andrewp on Jul 7, 2021 11:45:30 GMT
I suppose, as the Lib Dems are also part of that administration as junior partners, it is the LibDem who has been left to be the representative of that administration. Did they think Lib Dems were better at by-elections? Or was it just an Olive branch?(sorry!) No Independent is likely to be elected unless they are an established community activist, so maybe no one came forward? Meanwhile if there is an arrangement between Lib Dems and Indies the Lib Dems can carry the flag (or branch) However it would be interesting to know if the resigning Indy is endorsing the Lib Dems, who gave her a free run in 2019 The resigning Indy is ruing the fact that there is no Independent candidate, ‘ despite her best efforts’. Readers can judge for themselves but I would say she is ‘least negative’ about the Conservative candidate. susiebond.wordpress.com |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 7, 2021 11:57:27 GMT
No Independent is likely to be elected unless they are an established community activist, so maybe no one came forward? Meanwhile if there is an arrangement between Lib Dems and Indies the Lib Dems can carry the flag (or branch) However it would be interesting to know if the resigning Indy is endorsing the Lib Dems, who gave her a free run in 2019 The resigning Indy is ruing the fact that there is no Independent candidate, ‘ despite her best efforts’. Readers can judge for themselves but I would say she is ‘least negative’ about the Conservative candidate. susiebond.wordpress.comHmm, yes...interesting! |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 7, 2021 12:11:49 GMT
One other point to pick up from the Susie Bond piece- Feniton ward is more than just Feniton parish but also includes Gittisham and Buckerell, two tiny and deeply rural villages. Even within the parish as well as the two main settlements of Old and New Feniton as described earlier there is at least one other small settlement of Fenny Bridges on the old main road and some open land with scattered farms. All of which makes it a more Tory-leaning place than if it was just the main built up area.
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Post by andrewp on Jul 7, 2021 12:16:06 GMT
The resigning Indy is ruing the fact that there is no Independent candidate, ‘ despite her best efforts’. Readers can judge for themselves but I would say she is ‘least negative’ about the Conservative candidate. susiebond.wordpress.comHmm, yes...interesting! Perhaps reflecting that she was/ is a genuine Independent without any affinity to IEDA/ the administration. |
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Post by andrew111 on Jul 7, 2021 13:24:03 GMT
The resigning Indy is ruing the fact that there is no Independent candidate, ‘ despite her best efforts’. Readers can judge for themselves but I would say she is ‘least negative’ about the Conservative candidate. susiebond.wordpress.comHmm, yes...interesting! The curse of social media strikes! |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 7, 2021 13:41:17 GMT
The curse of social media strikes! Yes, but it might be influential given that it comes from the retiring long term ward member who claims to be giving a dispassionate independent view of each candidate's strength and weaknesses. I'm not sure that quite stands up. She was of course not a member of the present administration and it may not be entirely coincidental that she gives the Conservative candidate a much easier ride than to Lib Dem or Labour. She makes rather dark hints against the suitability of Todd, while giving Alasdair a bit of a thumbs up on the basis of his past experience on Thanet council. The latter might not stand up to too close an examination - I notice he never polled particularly well in his two terms on Birchington South,and the reputation of Thanet council was suspect to say the least. |
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Post by andrew111 on Jul 7, 2021 15:04:09 GMT
The curse of social media strikes! Yes, but it might be influential given that it comes from the retiring long term ward member who claims to be giving a dispassionate independent view of each candidate's strength and weaknesses. I'm not sure that quite stands up. She was of course not a member of the present administration and it may not be entirely coincidental that she gives the Conservative candidate a much easier ride than to Lib Dem or Labour. She makes rather dark hints against the suitability of Todd, while giving Alasdair a bit of a thumbs up on the basis of his past experience on Thanet council. The latter might not stand up to too close an examination - I notice he never polled particularly well in his two terms on Birchington South,and the reputation of Thanet council was suspect to say the least. Well, Todd is a very busy chap. I did not spot the tweet that says he is starting an MSc at Warwick uni in Sept, but that is a legitimate complaint. However I agree she seems to be giving him the Guido treatment. |
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