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Post by batman on Jun 26, 2024 22:10:19 GMT
Well I don't see any harm in sensible predictions. But some of the predictions both on this site & in MRPs are extremely silly. Especially the latter.
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Post by iainbhx on Jun 26, 2024 22:58:21 GMT
I guess that rather than finding out, in a week, we'll find out this mob have fucked around.
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,818 
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Post by john07 on Jun 26, 2024 23:55:53 GMT
I don't know why any of you chaps pay any attention at all to any of this snake oil garbage. Many of us could with a little support produce much better guesstimates ourselves. Just totally ignore them like I do for the bloody trash that they are. For Woden's sake in a week and a day you will know the truth. Why don't you all shut up and wait? The problem is that the figures from @weld would mess up the computations. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 27, 2024 2:07:53 GMT
I don't know why any of you chaps pay any attention at all to any of this snake oil garbage. Many of us could with a little support produce much better guesstimates ourselves. Just totally ignore them like I do for the bloody trash that they are. For Woden's sake in a week and a day you will know the truth. Why don't you all shut up and wait? The problem is that the figures from @weld would mess up the computations. You called? |
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Post by robert1 on Jun 27, 2024 5:17:14 GMT
I note that at least one constituency (Exmouth & East Devon) is shown to be won by four different parties according to different MRPs. Which rather undermines credibility. Exmouth & Exeter East? |
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,598
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Post by cibwr on Jun 27, 2024 7:21:32 GMT
I see that it calls Pontypridd as Plaid.... now while Id love that I don't quite see it.
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Post by gwynthegriff on Jun 27, 2024 11:10:22 GMT
I note that at least one constituency (Exmouth & East Devon) is shown to be won by four different parties according to different MRPs. Which rather undermines credibility. Exmouth & Exeter East? That's the one. Thought it didn't look quite right when I typed it. But anyway, the MRP "experts" say it will be won by Labour. Or the Conservatives. Or Reform. Or the Lib Dems. I suppose somebody will be right. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,913
Member is Online
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 27, 2024 13:16:38 GMT
That's the one. Thought it didn't look quite right when I typed it. But anyway, the MRP "experts" say it will be won by Labour. Or the Conservatives. Or Reform. Or the Lib Dems. I suppose somebody will be right. Unless it's a Green gain  (It almost certainly won't be, but would be funny under the circumstances). |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 27, 2024 14:41:39 GMT
The point about said seat is that MRP models seem to be assuming Claire Wright's previous vote is Reform friendly, when in fact that is rather unlikely to be the case.
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Post by swanarcadian on Nov 28, 2024 13:42:26 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Nov 28, 2024 15:15:09 GMT
I understand they're rebranding as "Fuck around, find out (now)" |
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Post by manchesterman on Nov 28, 2024 17:48:21 GMT
Based on those figures, that would result in something in the ball park of:
LAB 257
CON 226
LD 70
REF 43
SNP 15
GRN 6
PC 3
OTH 12
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