Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796 
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 10, 2020 14:31:54 GMT
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 11, 2020 18:35:56 GMT
First numbers:
24.31 LVZS
15.28 DP
15.16 TS-LKD
11.66 LSDP
05.45 LP
05.43 LRLS
04.19 LSDDP
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 11, 2020 18:37:37 GMT
"Labour" far stronger than expected, LVZS also overperforming.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 11, 2020 19:19:27 GMT
1/3 of precincts counted:  |
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 11, 2020 21:41:56 GMT
Most is counted and the cities Vilnius and Kaunas coming in let the 2 parties, which stood initially both at 15%, move into different directions: The ChristDemocrats upwards towards 20%, "Labour" downwards towards 10%:  |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 11, 2020 22:25:38 GMT
The governing PolesParty (LLRA) is presently at 4.93%. Inevitably they will win few FPTP-seats already this night.
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Post by greenhert on Oct 11, 2020 23:10:52 GMT
Where are the links to the results? All I can see here are screenshots.
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Oct 11, 2020 23:34:27 GMT
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 12, 2020 3:49:22 GMT
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Post by greenhert on Oct 12, 2020 22:56:34 GMT
The Lithuanian Greens are sadly out of the Seimas, with their only MP Linas Balsys, who defected to the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party, finishing sixth in his constituency with just 8.9% of the vote.
As many as 67 of the 70 single member constituencies in Lithuania will go to a second round on 25 October, hardly surprising given how fragmented Baltic politics is.
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,712
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Post by CatholicLeft on Oct 12, 2020 23:54:47 GMT
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 12, 2020 23:58:07 GMT
No, no! They achieved OverallMjorities in 2 FPTP-seats and are ahead in a third one. As far as i know Lithuania doesn't have the german model, that 3 FPTP-MPs let You participate in the distribution of the PR-seats, even if You are below 5%. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 13, 2020 0:00:50 GMT
The Lithuanian Greens are sadly out of the Seimas, with their only MP Linas Balsys, who defected to the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party, finishing sixth in his constituency with just 8.9% of the vote. As many as 67 of the 70 single member constituencies in Lithuania will go to a second round on 25 October, hardly surprising given how fragmented Baltic politics is. That's premature!: LZP lead in 1 FPTP-seat. Though the "Greeny" there is nobody else than exPM Butkevicius (exLSDP)... |
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,712
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Post by CatholicLeft on Oct 13, 2020 0:03:00 GMT
No, no! They achieved OverallMjorities in 2 FPTP-seats and are ahead in a third one. As far as i know Lithuania doesn't have the german model, that 3 FPTP-MPs let You participate in the distribution of the PR-seats, even if You are below 5%. This is the difference between English and German,in responding to your last post. I was being ironic. Das ist der Unterschied zwischen Englisch und Deutsch, ich habe auf Ihren letzten Beitrag geantwortet. Ich war ironisch. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 13, 2020 1:20:12 GMT
No, no! They achieved OverallMjorities in 2 FPTP-seats and are ahead in a third one. As far as i know Lithuania doesn't have the german model, that 3 FPTP-MPs let You participate in the distribution of the PR-seats, even if You are below 5%. This is the difference between English and German,in responding to your last post. I was being ironic. Das ist der Unterschied zwischen Englisch und Deutsch, ich habe auf Ihren letzten Beitrag geantwortet. Ich war ironisch. In NewGerman with its Anglicisms "out" means "outdated". I used "out" here in the sense of out of parliament. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 13, 2020 1:37:57 GMT
RunOffs-OverView:  For forecasting, who will win, adding the others (3rd, 4th aso.) would clearly be important (and whom which party will endorse), but that would have been too much work for me, to be honest. |
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Post by redtony on Oct 13, 2020 11:41:55 GMT
When the communists ran the place we knew results on election day some times a few days before. Much more efficient.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 15, 2020 4:10:52 GMT
Of the 136 contenders in the RunOffs there will be
54 TS-LKD
32 LVZS
12 LSDP
09 LRLS
04 LSDDP
02 DP
02 LLRA
01 LT
02 others
06 Independents
For an OverallMaj. TS-LDK would have to win 48/54 races.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 20, 2020 11:19:25 GMT
Who will fight against whom this WeekEnd?:  |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 20, 2020 11:22:26 GMT
So far the usual (partly informal) endorsements have taken place: Farmers&Greens, SocialDemocrats and LabourP. on the "Left" vs. the others.
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