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Post by mrpastelito on Oct 6, 2024 9:29:13 GMT
Parliamentary elections 2019-vs.-2024, trend of the right bloc:  The sharp shift of Vorarlberg is surprising. ÖVP's comparatively low losses there ("just" 7.5%, in Austria 11.2%) are certainly caused by its antiKickl/FPÖ-stances, which were popular in this mostly urbanized region. Any further thoughts on why these trends vary so much from region to region, Georg? |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,796 
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 6, 2024 22:53:32 GMT
Parliamentary elections 2019-vs.-2024, trend of the right bloc: The sharp shift of Vorarlberg is surprising. ÖVP's comparatively low losses there ("just" 7.5%, in Austria 11.2%) are certainly caused by its antiKickl/FPÖ-stances, which were popular in this mostly urbanized region. Any further thoughts on why these trends vary so much from region to region, Georg? As the right bloc consists of little more than FPÖVP, we can break it up into these 2 parties:   The FPÖ-map is easy: In Carinthia FPÖ had after the turbulent time of their reign (until 2013) some weakness there and has recovered from this (and most important of all: Kickl is one of them...). Also the gains in the exMining&Industry-area of UpperStyria. Also those in NW-LowerA. ("WoodQuarter"), which was by the way in the monArchy a fortress of the radical GermanNationals around G.v.Schönerer. (ToDay labelled as "right-extreme", in those days they were considered to be "left-extreme" - and sat also there in the ReichsRat - due to wanting to abolish AustriaHungary alltogether...) ÖVP's sharp losses came mostly in its strongHolds - Salzburg, Tyrol, Styria-E, LowerA.-W - thus let us have a look at their relative %-losses:  So despite %-losses above austrian average in fortresses like LowerA. or EastStyria ÖVP lost there relatively less. Remain their extraordninary big decreases in Tyrol&Salzburg, which went mostly to FPÖ:  ...although FPÖ-gains did not fully compensate them and as a result the right bloc in toto was receding in both regions:  Why? Probably, because urban&polished Kurz had done very well here, whereas a wooden securityMan like Nehammer (let alone Kickl) does not fit to these touristy (~ rightliberal) areas (which correspond by mentality quasi to UK's SW)? |
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