Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,512
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Post by Georg Ebner on Aug 24, 2024 12:41:54 GMT
Here is a third version of test, made by prof. R.Heinisch (univ. Salzburg) for topPollster OGM: ivote.atMy outCome: In this 2nd attempt i passed over every question on money or imMigration and answered only on issues affecting Christian faith quite directly, but even then FPÖ ended ahead of ÖVP. How tempora mutantur: In the 1990ies J.Haider tried now and again to appeal to us Christians (and even to us few monArchists), but realiter the FPÖ was not really Christian&Conservative (the MissWokes will doubtlessly disagree entirely on this, of course). Today its base is far more conservative, albeit finally more nationalistic than conservative (a la defending feminists or homoSexuals against Islamists).
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,512
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Post by Georg Ebner on Aug 27, 2024 22:27:29 GMT
News on campaigning:
FPÖ cannot hide, instead must placard Kickl (in a way as soft&friendly as possible), despite being still one of the most unpopular politicians (strongly disliked by 60%; strongly liked, even adored (CoronaCrowd!) by 30%). And is surprisingly focussing on ecoNomy - obviously they want to bind entrepreneurs, who were not impressed by FPÖ as the "social home-party" and opted for BZÖ/Stronach/Kurz. Thus we have an ÖVP, which is copying&pasting FPÖ and a FPÖ doing the same now with the ÖVP... (2017 the same took place, but in the case of FPÖ more so in order to make a coalition with ÖVP easier.)
SPÖ is once again responsible for our entertainment (MARY THERESE: "Spectacles must be!"): First Babler tried to pose on posters as PM, then few days ago the SPÖ-mayor of Linz had to step down (he had made a personal friend chief of the opera; then it turned out, that the friend had received the examQuestions and the mayor began with a lot of noise a pseudoSearch for the unknown culprit; but as he had fired his friend, it came to light, that he himself had given him the information...) and now a paper of Mrs.Bures, noBody less than 2ndSpeaker & Dep.SPÖ-leader, criticized the party's platform as financially "unserious", written by external "experts" without much internal disCussion and partly too general (such as more money for reSearch), partly too detail-obsessed (like increasing the share of bioBeeKeepers to 10%...). Bures worked closely will all SPÖ-chiefs since Gusenbauer and before Babler, but is now commonly associated with the "Liesinger Partie" around Faymann (both are from Vienna's XXIIIrd district Liesing). Aggravating my suspicion, that after the election the left wing around Babler will join forces with the right wing around Doskozil (who works anyWay already together with exPM Kern) against the Viennese (Faymann, Bures, mayor Ludwig, RendiWagner).
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,512
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 7, 2024 23:48:16 GMT
3 weeks before the election it could be, that the course is turning from a "triel" into a duel: This was from IFDD, which has ÖVP higher than other pollsters: ...but the same emerged also from SPÖ-close Lazarsfeld, which has ÖVP (& FPÖ) lower: Being received as the main antiKickl-force is quasi a selfRunner and might even result in the first place (although few voters are polled to remain undecided). Would be hilarious, if ÖVP's risky strategy succeeded (as it has already in Tyrol, LowerAustria & Salzburg): For years having copied FPÖ, while at the same time campaigning as "the mid between extremes" (when being itself dedicated to an extreme opportunism...), while attacking then only Kickl (when the self-declared MARXism of SPÖ's Babler gets sidelined...), while proclaiming a duel for first place (when this is of no real importance...) and all this seems to work - what would once more prove, that "The world wants to be cheated on!"
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aargauer
Conservative
Posts: 5,332
Member is Online
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Post by aargauer on Sept 8, 2024 3:43:31 GMT
Here is a third version of test, made by prof. R.Heinisch (univ. Salzburg) for topPollster OGM: ivote.atMy outCome: In this 2nd attempt i passed over every question on money or imMigration and answered only on issues affecting Christian faith quite directly, but even then FPÖ ended ahead of ÖVP. How tempora mutantur: In the 1990ies J.Haider tried now and again to appeal to us Christians (and even to us few monArchists), but realiter the FPÖ was not really Christian&Conservative (the MissWokes will doubtlessly disagree entirely on this, of course). Today its base is far more conservative, albeit finally more nationalistic than conservative (a la defending feminists or homoSexuals against Islamists). I get NEOS, FPÖ and ÖVP in a near three way tie. The rest are all negative.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 8, 2024 14:44:58 GMT
I skipped quite a lot of really boring questions so I'm surprised it ended up as clear cut as that.
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,512
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 8, 2024 19:05:44 GMT
I skipped quite a lot of really boring questions so I'm surprised it ended up as clear cut as that. Why are You surprised? "Clear cut" can be achieved already with 1 sole answer (as long as all parties are positioned).
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,512
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 16, 2024 18:45:45 GMT
Just 13 days before the election Austria has in recent days been flooded, especially western LowerAustria (a traditional strongHold of ÖVP and now also of FPÖ). What makes the election naturally less predictable, but the winners should be the governing ones:
ÖVP's Chancellor Nehammer can - as an exSoldier & exMinister for Internal Affairs - fill out the position as strong stabilizer convincingly.
Whereas TheGreens - who had negotiated an election after summer in the hope of extreme weather - will be rewarded. (The date of elections before or after summer has apparently become worldwide an important issue.)
Thus it will be even likelier, that the ÖVP will remain ahead of FPÖ.
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