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Post by evergreenadam on Feb 16, 2020 20:43:29 GMT
Shropshire is probably too much to hope for, but is Cheshire on the cards at some point? Neither are very imminent for the simple reason that they are amongst the counties that I haven't got results from the previous two elections so I would be starting from scratch which makes for a much longer job. Additionally with these there is the problem with local government reorganisation leading to various ward boundary changes since the parliamentary constituencies were redrawn, meaning that the building blocks for the constituencies last had elections in 2007. It would take a fair bit of unpicking to work these all out. I will in due course though. In the meantime, there is a bit of Cheshire here..     What’s the isolated very strongly Tory ward in St Helen’s? |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Feb 16, 2020 21:02:50 GMT
Neither are very imminent for the simple reason that they are amongst the counties that I haven't got results from the previous two elections so I would be starting from scratch which makes for a much longer job. Additionally with these there is the problem with local government reorganisation leading to various ward boundary changes since the parliamentary constituencies were redrawn, meaning that the building blocks for the constituencies last had elections in 2007. It would take a fair bit of unpicking to work these all out. I will in due course though. In the meantime, there is a bit of Cheshire here.. What’s the isolated very strongly Tory ward in St Helen’s? Rainford. It’s a pretty safe Tory ward. May 2019 local result was Con 60%, Green 23%, Lab 17% |
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Post by 🏴☠️ Neath West 🏴☠️ on Feb 16, 2020 22:17:21 GMT
What’s the isolated very strongly Tory ward in St Helen’s? Rainford. It’s a pretty safe Tory ward. May 2019 local result was Con 60%, Green 23%, Lab 17% How on earth did that not end up in West Lancashire in 1974? I see that it used to be its own UD. |
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Post by gwynthegriff on Feb 16, 2020 22:20:18 GMT
Rainford. It’s a pretty safe Tory ward. May 2019 local result was Con 60%, Green 23%, Lab 17% How on earth did that not end up in West Lancashire in 1974? I see that it used to be its own UD. Rainford is like a little bit of Surrey plonked down in St Helens! |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 17, 2020 11:28:38 GMT
How on earth did that not end up in West Lancashire in 1974? I see that it used to be its own UD. Rainford is like a little bit of Surrey plonked down in St Helens! I thought Crosby was meant to be the Merseyside equivalent of Surrey! |
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Post by gwynthegriff on Feb 17, 2020 13:02:02 GMT
Rainford is like a little bit of Surrey plonked down in St Helens! I thought Crosby was meant to be the Merseyside equivalent of Surrey! Nah, you're thinking of Bootle!  |
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Post by bjornhattan on Feb 17, 2020 13:09:39 GMT
I thought Crosby was meant to be the Merseyside equivalent of Surrey! Nah, you're thinking of Bootle! That's the Merseyside equivalent of Sheerwater! |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 17, 2020 13:41:07 GMT
Rainford is like a little bit of Surrey plonked down in St Helens! I thought Crosby was meant to be the Merseyside equivalent of Surrey! Indeed - that's why Home Counties Mike moved there.. |
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clyde1998
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Post by clyde1998 on Feb 18, 2020 5:58:00 GMT
Berkshire would be quite good to see, particularly for Wokingham ward breakdown.     Interesting that the Lib Dems appear to have won Central Newbury but nothing in Thatcham - may simply be because Labour have presence there compared to the rest of West Berkshire. Have you got a map/figures for the Greens in Berkshire if there are any wards worth showing? |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 18, 2020 8:23:35 GMT
I have figures but haven't produced a map. I could do so I suppose but I don't think they'd be that meaningful outside of Reading
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clyde1998
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Post by clyde1998 on Feb 18, 2020 9:49:12 GMT
I have figures but haven't produced a map. I could do so I suppose but I don't think they'd be that meaningful outside of Reading Don't bother producing a map if it's not worth it, although if there's any wards above 5% it would be interesting to know what they are and what percentage range they were in. I doubt there are many given the overall Green vote share in each constituency. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 20, 2020 19:14:42 GMT
I have figures but haven't produced a map. I could do so I suppose but I don't think they'd be that meaningful outside of Reading Don't bother producing a map if it's not worth it, although if there's any wards above 5% it would be interesting to know what they are and what percentage range they were in. I doubt there are many given the overall Green vote share in each constituency. I have them at over 5% only in Park and Redlands wards in Reading. Obviously they would have been close (possibly over in reality) in some of the wards within Newbury constituency but the figures there are, as I say, not very meaningful |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 20, 2020 19:16:53 GMT
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Feb 20, 2020 19:19:48 GMT
Brilliant as usual Pete Whitehead. What do you have as the highest Conservative share in a Manchester CC ward? |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 20, 2020 19:38:30 GMT
Brilliant as usual Pete Whitehead. What do you have as the highest Conservative share in a Manchester CC ward? Brooklands (29.9%) |
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Post by finsobruce on Feb 20, 2020 19:53:42 GMT
Brilliant as usual Pete Whitehead . What do you have as the highest Conservative share in a Manchester CC ward? Brooklands (29.9%) this was the last ward they held iirc? |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Feb 20, 2020 20:08:43 GMT
this was the last ward they held iirc? It’s one of the last 2- Brooklands and Didsbury that they lost in 1996. It’s the only one that they were felt to have a chance in 2006-08. The closest they’ve got to winning it since was 95 votes in the all outs in 2004 |
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Post by bjornhattan on Feb 20, 2020 20:16:08 GMT
this was the last ward they held iirc? It’s one of the last 2- Brooklands and Didsbury that they lost in 1996. It’s the only one that they were felt to have a chance in 2006-08. The closest they’ve got to winning it since was 95 votes in the all outs in 2004 It is probably still a much better Conservative prospect than either Didsbury ward today, but that really isn't saying much. |
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Post by peterski on Feb 20, 2020 21:16:48 GMT
Strong performance from CON in Bolton . Winning Breightmet and Little Lever . Must have been very close in Tonge with the Haulgh and Kearsley too one suspects. Labour pinned down in the predominantly BAME inner Bolton wards. Will be fascinating to see if this replicates in May
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 24, 2020 9:36:01 GMT
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