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Post by andrewp on Nov 14, 2019 23:38:26 GMT
Yes, this could be a high scoring night. It was a pretty tough bunch! Most of us think there could be some Lib Dem gains coming I'm hoping so or I will be adding to the wrong winner mountain  Damn, I toyed with Shap as a gain aswell, but didn’t think the Lib Dem’s would gain them all! |
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 15, 2019 0:50:04 GMT
Forgot to add my eventual winner for the Scottish seats. SNP for all 3 Taken as the default for all seats don't worry. 14 entries this week minus casualobserver. 10 x 8 faults for greenrobinhood for posting 1 1/2 hours late whilst yellowperil and johnloony get 6 and 1 for going under and over in Tunbridge Wells and Torbay respectively. Shap, Eden: 13 Conservative hold, with priceofdawn Lib Dem gain. Dunfermline Central, Fife: 14 SNP ahead on first preferences and overall gain, with alien8ted Conservative ahead. Alien8ted along with iainbhx has a Conservative hold. Rosyth, Fife: 100% SNP first preference and overall hold. Inverness Central, Highlands: 100% SNP first preference and overall hold. Rhos, Neath Port Talbot: 9 Labour hold, with greenrobinhood, priceofdawn, Tony Otim, Toylyyev and yellowperil Plaid Cymru gain. St Mary's, Powys: 8 Lib Dem gain, with alien8ted, andrewp, greenrobinhood, olympian95, Toylyyev and yellowperil Conservative hold. Goodrinton with Roselands, Torbay: 11 Lib Dem hold, with alien8ted, iainbhx and Tony Otim Conservative gain. Culverden, Tunbridge Wells: 12 Lib Dem hold, with alien8ted Conservative gain and Tony Otim Women's Equality gain (!). Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MZCsX7JpT2zVko6gOBvQihi-ailEWvK3U_SvmFseR2s/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! |
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 15, 2019 1:31:55 GMT
grrr- I had 6% for the Green in TW and didn't notice it hadn't printed
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 15, 2019 8:19:31 GMT
Forgot to add my eventual winner for the Scottish seats. SNP for all 3 Taken as the default for all seats don't worry. 14 entries this week minus casualobserver. 10 x 8 faults for greenrobinhood for posting 1 1/2 hours late whilst yellowperil and johnloony get 6 and 1 for going under and over in Tunbridge Wells and Torbay respectively. Shap, Eden: 13 Conservative hold, with priceofdawn Lib Dem gain. Dunfermline Central, Fife: 14 SNP ahead on first preferences and overall gain, with alien8ted Conservative ahead. Alien8ted along with iainbhx has a Conservative hold. Rosyth, Fife: 100% SNP first preference and overall hold. Rhos, Neath Port Talbot: 9 Labour hold, with greenrobinhood, priceofdawn, Tony Otim, Toylyyev and yellowperil Plaid Cymru gain. St Mary's, Powys: 8 Lib Dem gain, with alien8ted, andrewp, greenrobinhood, olympian95, Toylyyev and yellowperil Conservative hold. Goodrinton with Roselands, Torbay: 11 Lib Dem hold, with alien8ted, iainbhx and Tony Otim Conservative gain. Culverden, Tunbridge Wells: 12 Lib Dem hold, with alien8ted Conservative gain and Tony Otim Women's Equality gain (!). Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MZCsX7JpT2zVko6gOBvQihi-ailEWvK3U_SvmFseR2s/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! Highland missing from this summary, Robbie |
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 15, 2019 10:01:04 GMT
After 6 of the 8 results I think the big prediction winners so far are Toylyyev and Yellow Peril.
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 15, 2019 12:07:57 GMT
Taken as the default for all seats don't worry. 14 entries this week minus casualobserver. 10 x 8 faults for greenrobinhood for posting 1 1/2 hours late whilst yellowperil and johnloony get 6 and 1 for going under and over in Tunbridge Wells and Torbay respectively. Shap, Eden: 13 Conservative hold, with priceofdawn Lib Dem gain. Dunfermline Central, Fife: 14 SNP ahead on first preferences and overall gain, with alien8ted Conservative ahead. Alien8ted along with iainbhx has a Conservative hold. Rosyth, Fife: 100% SNP first preference and overall hold. Rhos, Neath Port Talbot: 9 Labour hold, with greenrobinhood, priceofdawn, Tony Otim, Toylyyev and yellowperil Plaid Cymru gain. St Mary's, Powys: 8 Lib Dem gain, with alien8ted, andrewp, greenrobinhood, olympian95, Toylyyev and yellowperil Conservative hold. Goodrinton with Roselands, Torbay: 11 Lib Dem hold, with alien8ted, iainbhx and Tony Otim Conservative gain. Culverden, Tunbridge Wells: 12 Lib Dem hold, with alien8ted Conservative gain and Tony Otim Women's Equality gain (!). Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MZCsX7JpT2zVko6gOBvQihi-ailEWvK3U_SvmFseR2s/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! Highland missing from this summary, Robbie Now corrected, thanks for the spot. |
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Toylyyev
Mebyon Kernow
CJ Fox avatar
Posts: 1,067 
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Post by Toylyyev on Nov 15, 2019 13:29:31 GMT
The 5 English and Welsh by elections today are all pretty tough to call. On paper they all could be close. Could be a few wrong winner faults! 22 correct calls against 48 wrong ones for these. priceofdawn was best with 3 correct guesses from 5. |
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 15, 2019 13:42:15 GMT
Well, that was every bit as challenging as we thought it was going to be! Congrats to Toylyyev for holding on to the title of least worst predictor of a bunch of no-clues. And grateful thanks to robbienicoll for all his work setting up and checking what must have been a nightmare, though he may still be grateful he has changed roles from quizzer to quizmaster. |
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Post by andrewp on Nov 15, 2019 13:51:20 GMT
Well, that was every bit as challenging as we thought it was going to be! Congrats to Toylyyev for holding on to the title of least worst predictor of a bunch of no-clues. And grateful thanks to robbienicoll for all his work setting up and checking what must have been a nightmare, though he may still be grateful he has changed roles from quizzer to quizmaster. Yes, I wonder if that’s a record number of faults for a week? |
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 15, 2019 14:26:12 GMT
There are of course another 9 equally challenging elections left in November.
" there's still all to play for" is the cliche of the month.
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Post by finsobruce on Nov 15, 2019 17:55:34 GMT
There are of course another 9 equally challenging elections left in November. " there's still all to play for" is the cliche of the month. It's a game of four halves, Brian. |
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Post by johnloony on Nov 16, 2019 11:01:30 GMT
Forgot to add my eventual winner for the Scottish seats. SNP for all 3 Taken as the default for all seats don't worry. 14 entries this week minus casualobserver. 10 x 8 faults for greenrobinhood for posting 1 1/2 hours late whilst yellowperil and johnloony get 6 and 1 for going under and over in Tunbridge Wells and Torbay respectively. Eh? 1 over in Torbay? 40+35+12+8+5=100 |
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 16, 2019 12:12:52 GMT
Taken as the default for all seats don't worry. 14 entries this week minus casualobserver. 10 x 8 faults for greenrobinhood for posting 1 1/2 hours late whilst yellowperil and johnloony get 6 and 1 for going under and over in Tunbridge Wells and Torbay respectively. Eh? 1 over in Torbay? 40+35+12+8+5=100 Meant Powys, my bad. |
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Post by johnloony on Nov 16, 2019 18:17:02 GMT
Eh? 1 over in Torbay? 40+35+12+8+5=100 Meant Powys, my bad. Oh yes. Oops. |
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 17, 2019 10:20:04 GMT
This will have been a mammoth November by the time we get through these next two weeks- 21 contests in all, I think. But then December? One election on the 5th , masses on the 12th but we don't usually include by-elections coinciding with GEs, I think, then I guess we won't be troubling the voters on the 19th or the 26th, so I guess that might mean a monthly competition based on a single contest? The lucky December winner will hardly have made an effort commensurate with what was required to win November! Any thoughts?
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Post by andrewp on Nov 17, 2019 10:29:39 GMT
This will have been a mammoth November by the time we get through these next two weeks- 21 contests in all, I think. But then December? One election on the 5th , masses on the 12th but we don't usually include by-elections coinciding with GEs, I think, then I guess we won't be troubling the voters on the 19th or the 26th, so I guess that might mean a monthly competition based on a single contest? The lucky December winner will hardly have made an effort commensurate with what was required to win November! Any thoughts? I would agree. Assuming that we stick to not including the mammoth set coinciding with the GE, I think we should have a month off in December and resume in January? |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 17, 2019 11:55:57 GMT
Of course, if there is indeed a single stand alone byelection in December (those on GE days not counting) it could just be tacked onto this month's competition?
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Nov 18, 2019 17:28:47 GMT
Aberdeen UA - Torry and Ferryhill Conservative 32% SNP 27.4% Labour 16.9% Liberal Democrat 10.1% Independent 8.7% Green 4.5% UKIP 0.4% (SNP win)
Cardiff CC - Llanishen Conservative 39% Labour 31% Liberal Democrat 12.8% Plaid Cymru 10% Green 4.9% Independent 2.3%
Chichester DC - Loxwood Liberal Democrat 49.3% Conservative 47.4% Green 3.2% Patria 0.1%
Moray UA - Keith & Cullen SNP 41.9% Conservative 39.7% Independent 12.7% Liberal Democrat 5.7% (SNP win)
West Lancashire DC - Bush Green Labour 47.2% Skelmersdale Independents 44.9% Conservative 7.9%
West Sussex CC - Bourne Conservative 62.9% Liberal Democrat 26.3% Labour 5.8% Green 4.9% Patria 0.1%
👽
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 18, 2019 19:12:59 GMT
Of course, if there is indeed a single stand alone byelection in December (those on GE days not counting) it could just be tacked onto this month's competition? That is indeed one solution. Or of course we could set out to do the (30, is it?) no doubt fascinating and no doubt highly distorted contests on the 12th! |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 19, 2019 16:04:58 GMT
ABERDEEN: SNP 35.4, con 25.3, lab 24.0, LD 8.7, Grn 4.1, McLean 1.7, UKIP 0.8 (SNP win)
CARDIFF: CON 36.7, Lab 34.8, LD 11.5, PC 10.4, Grn 4.2, Gwynn 2.4
CHICHESTER: CON 44.5, LD 42.1, GRN 10.1, Patria 3.3
Moray: SNP 40.3, Con 32.2, Ind 20.7, LD 6.8 (SNP win)
West Lancashire: Lab 48.6, Skelmersdale Ind 42.5, Con 8.9
WEST SUSSEX: CON 55.4, LD 28.6, GRN 8.2, LAB 5.3, Patria 2.5
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