mike
Non-Aligned
Posts: 400
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Post by mike on Nov 22, 2019 1:01:26 GMT
Conservatives hold Bourne in West Sussex.
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 22, 2019 1:01:54 GMT
I'm flicking between this and the cricket. Moot point as to which is the more interesting- neither quite going to plan. |
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Post by lancastrian on Nov 22, 2019 1:12:26 GMT
Labour hold in Skelmersdale, no figures yet.
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Post by phil156 on Nov 22, 2019 1:13:47 GMT
Hooray all in just await the figures now
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 22, 2019 1:27:37 GMT
Hooray all in just await the figures now Unlike England who are all out( Jack Leach running out of partners, of course) |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,012
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Post by Khunanup on Nov 22, 2019 3:50:01 GMT
The Conservative candidate is the CC for the division in which the ward sits in so that may have played a role. Also worth remembering that in the three wards Loxwood is made up from, prior to this year's rewarding, never had a Tory vote of under 61% so our win in May was a massive shock. The Tories appeared to take it seriously this time and it's a return to the very lower end of the mean. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 22, 2019 7:10:03 GMT
In Aberdeen:
SNP 43.3 (+11.9)
Con 26.0 (+2.1)
Lab 10.6 (-12.8)
LD 8.4 (+3.3)
Grn 8.1 (+3.3)
UKIP 1.4 (+0.5)
Ind 2.3
Swing con to SNP of 4.9%, which wouldn't be quite enough to take Aberdeen South, but would make it very close...
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Post by 🏴☠️ Neath West 🏴☠️ on Nov 22, 2019 8:12:53 GMT
I've seen a figure of a swing of 3.8% Labour to Conservative quoted elsewhere. Goodness knows whether that's right. These multi-member FPTP wards hurt my head. |
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Post by afleitch on Nov 22, 2019 8:20:26 GMT
In Aberdeen: SNP 43.3 (+11.9) Con 26.0 (+2.1) Lab 10.6 (-12.8) LD 8.4 (+3.3) Grn 8.1 (+3.3) UKIP 1.4 (+0.5) Ind 2.3 Swing con to SNP of 4.9%, which wouldn't be quite enough to take Aberdeen South, but would make it very close... Good result given...events. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 22, 2019 9:10:02 GMT
Whilst we await the full numbers, it’s looking like a pretty good week for the Tories
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pl
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Posts: 1,665
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Post by pl on Nov 22, 2019 9:15:25 GMT
Loxwood (Chichester) result: CON: 61.8% (+17.4) LDEM: 29.9% (-25.7) GRN: 7.7% (+7.7) PAT: 0.6% (+0.6) Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat. Britain Elects (ouch) Is that Con gain Chichester council too? |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 22, 2019 9:21:36 GMT
Whilst we await the full numbers, it’s looking like a pretty good week for the Tories Yes, although I think the Aberdeen result will be slightly disappointing for them. More will be interesting when it comes in, although strong independent vote could make that difficult to interpret. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 22, 2019 9:28:22 GMT
Loxwood (Chichester) result: CON: 61.8% (+17.4) LDEM: 29.9% (-25.7) GRN: 7.7% (+7.7) PAT: 0.6% (+0.6) Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat. Britain Elects (ouch) Is that Con gain Chichester council too? Yes. Although they were running it with the Chairman’s casting vote since losing control in May Now Con 19, LD 10, Ind 3, Lab 2, Green 2 |
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 22, 2019 9:31:40 GMT
Loxwood (Chichester) result: CON: 61.8% (+17.4) LDEM: 29.9% (-25.7) GRN: 7.7% (+7.7) PAT: 0.6% (+0.6) Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat. Britain Elects (ouch) Wow, where did that come from, local factors? No. They just don't like bare-faced utter liars. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 22, 2019 9:32:30 GMT
West Sussex Bourne. Better for the Lib Dem’s than Loxwood
Con 1368
LD 1009
Green 250
Lab 161
Patria 12
Con 48.9 (+8.8)
LD 36 (+16.5)
Green 8.9 (+2)
Lab 5.8 (-2)
Pat 0.4
No UKIP as previously
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 22, 2019 9:43:20 GMT
Whilst we await the full numbers, it’s looking like a pretty good week for the Tories Yes, although I think the Aberdeen result will be slightly disappointing for them. More will be interesting when it comes in, although strong independent vote could make that difficult to interpret. I haven’t looked into it but I’m pretty sure this is one of our weaker wards in Aberdeen South? It’s good to see our vote is holding up despite Ross Thompson’s “incident” though. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 22, 2019 9:50:32 GMT
West Lancashire, Birch Green
Labour 390 (60.8%)
Skelmersdale Independents 191 (29.8%)
Conservative 60 (9.4%)
changes since May
Lab +2.2%
Skelm Ind -5.3%
Con +3.1%
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 22, 2019 9:53:11 GMT
Yes, although I think the Aberdeen result will be slightly disappointing for them. More will be interesting when it comes in, although strong independent vote could make that difficult to interpret. I haven’t looked into it but I’m pretty sure this is one of our weaker wards in Aberdeen South? It’s good to see our vote is holding up despite Ross Thompson’s “incident” though. Yes, it was more about the size of the swing against which is probably a bit higher than you'd hope for. |
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 22, 2019 9:54:39 GMT
Wow, where did that come from, local factors? No. They just don't like bare-faced utter liars. Calm down, old chap,you'll do yourself an injury. And you had better stay well away then from Chi  . One of my favourite places, btw. Actually the fact that the Lib Dems did much better in Bourne than they did in Loxwood is a clue to what this was really all about- the fact that the Tories had lost a super-safe ward last time basically through indolence and overconfidence stung them into running a proper campaign this time. Shame for the LDs, but it is one of their functions they do very well and is generally good for the body politic- they can go into a ward one party or another takes for granted and really shake them up. Sometimes works a bit like a vaccine, which is unfortunate from our point of view. |
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 22, 2019 10:03:09 GMT
No. They just don't like bare-faced utter liars. Calm down, old chap,you'll do yourself an injury. And you had better stay well away then from Chi . One of my favourite places, btw. Actually the fact that the Lib Dems did much better in Bourne than they did in Loxwood is a clue to what this was really all about- the fact that the Tories had lost a super-safe ward last time basically through indolence and overconfidence stung them into running a proper campaign this time. Shame for the LDs, but it is one of their functions they do very well and is generally good for the body politic- they can go into a ward one party or another takes for granted and really shake them up. Sometimes works a bit like a vaccine, which is unfortunate from our point of view. If the party stops lying I will stop drawing attention to it. |
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. One of my favourite places, btw.