clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
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Post by clyde1998 on Oct 24, 2022 19:26:21 GMT
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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on Dec 1, 2023 9:28:57 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 1, 2023 10:28:49 GMT
Yeah, but I would sooner believe PolProf Badlose's outfit than this lot
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Post by woollyliberal on Dec 1, 2023 10:35:01 GMT
There are several people who front outfits that do seat predictions. I've seen estimates for the Lib Dems from 28 to 56. Educated guesses are still just guesses.
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Clark
Forum Regular
Posts: 747
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Post by Clark on Jul 11, 2024 16:35:17 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 11, 2024 16:41:47 GMT
I understand BritainElects is going to publish the estimates of GE vote by ward sometime next week.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,044
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Post by Sibboleth on Jul 11, 2024 16:53:28 GMT
I see that EC has the division that almost certainly provided the entire Conservative majority in the new South Shropshire as Liberal. lmao.
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birkinabe
Non-Aligned
winning here
Posts: 155
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Post by birkinabe on Jul 11, 2024 17:23:43 GMT
The projections they have for some seats where there were prominent pro-Palestine challenges are almost exactly the reverse of what will have actually happened.
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jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 7,065
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Post by jamie on Jul 11, 2024 17:52:12 GMT
The projections they have for some seats where there were prominent pro-Palestine challenges are almost exactly the reverse of what will have actually happened. I’ve just had a look at Blackburn…
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birkinabe
Non-Aligned
winning here
Posts: 155
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Post by birkinabe on Jul 11, 2024 18:13:20 GMT
I’ve just had a look at Blackburn… And that's one of their 'better' projections as well, meanwhile in Ilford North and some of the Birmingham seats...
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Post by iainbhx on Jul 20, 2024 17:55:35 GMT
I’ve just had a look at Blackburn… And that's one of their 'better' projections as well, meanwhile in Ilford North and some of the Birmingham seats... I can tell you for sure that the Trundling Taliban did not take Sheldon. South Yardley or Yardley East and that Labour did not take Small Heath and Tyseley & Hay Mills. It really is time people stopped treating EC seriously.
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Post by woollyliberal on Jul 20, 2024 19:16:36 GMT
Britain Elects' ward guesses turn out to be wide of the mark in Yardley. They have Labour winning Small Heath, where the Workers Party won by an obscene amount.
One of the nearby Tory councillors blamed Sheldon ward for "letting" Jess Phillips win, claiming that her majority in the ward was greater than her majority in the constituency. He is much closer to the truth than EC. Not only are EC wrong for suggesting the Workers Party won Sheldon, I think Reform might have beaten them to 2nd place.
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Post by batman on Jul 20, 2024 19:40:48 GMT
And that's one of their 'better' projections as well, meanwhile in Ilford North and some of the Birmingham seats... I can tell you for sure that the Trundling Taliban did not take Sheldon. South Yardley or Yardley East and that Labour did not take Small Heath and Tyseley & Hay Mills. It really is time people stopped treating EC seriously. I haven't in years & I'm sure that's true for quite a few of us
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