Prediction Competition - March 2019

[Toylyyev]

The .6 average error points for the Milton vote versus 10.8 for the Aveley one plus third last score for the Vange one feel more like a prediction of my own socio-educational condition.

[Tony Otim]

Congratulations to Right Leaning for the week and month to date.

[yellowperil]

My congratulations to Right Leaning  for his performance this month to date- always nice to see changes on the leaderboard. I am enjoying my sabbatical and have been playing with keeping my own spreadsheet to keep my hand in, just not submitting my own answers which I am keeping to myself. May be back for April which might be a relatively easy month to return, with the limited ambition of beating johnloony.

[andrewp]

Mar 22, 2019 7:37:45 GMT yellowperil said:

My congratulations to Right Leaning  for his performance this month to date- always nice to see changes on the leaderboard. I am enjoying my sabbatical and have been playing with keeping my own spreadsheet to keep my hand in, just not submitting my own answers which I am keeping to myself. May be back for April which might be a relatively easy month to return, with the limited ambition of beating johnloony .

Yes congratulations Right Leaning, Not a good week for me. My common mistake was predicting Labour would do better- hurt me in Basildon, Thurrock, NUL and K&C 

[Toylyyev]

Mar 22, 2019 8:03:31 GMT andrewp said:

Mar 22, 2019 7:37:45 GMT yellowperil said:

My congratulations to Right Leaning  for his performance this month to date- always nice to see changes on the leaderboard. I am enjoying my sabbatical and have been playing with keeping my own spreadsheet to keep my hand in, just not submitting my own answers which I am keeping to myself. May be back for April which might be a relatively easy month to return, with the limited ambition of beating johnloony .

Yes congratulations Right Leaning, Not a good week for me. My common mistake was predicting Labour would do better- hurt me in Basildon, Thurrock, NUL and K&C 

The seventeener average signed error score for Labour is +8.3 and +6.0 at eighteen. That also brought it closer for the Conservatives from -1.4 to -.2.

_{Provided my typing in was correct. Error equals the average sum of the six predictions minus the sum of the six results, divided by six.}

[johnloony]

Büäsagob:

Clackmannan: SNP 40 Lab 30 Con 20 LD 5 Green 3 UKIP 2
Sutton: LD 40 Con 30 Lab 20 Green 4 UKIP 3 Ind 2 CPA 1

[middleenglander]

We are going to have a couple of nights away in the Cotswolds. Back late Friday afternoon.

[yellowperil]

Mar 27, 2019 0:12:02 GMT johnloony said:

Büäsagob:

Clackmannan: SNP 40 Lab 30 Con 20 LD 5 Green 3 UKIP 2
Sutton: LD 40 Con 30 Lab 20 Green 4 UKIP 3 Ind 2 CPA 1

The "like" is for a prediction which may not be right but is at least not setting out to take the piss. Progress of sorts

[ricmk]

Mar 27, 2019 9:21:02 GMT yellowperil said:

Mar 27, 2019 0:12:02 GMT johnloony said:

Büäsagob:

Clackmannan: SNP 40 Lab 30 Con 20 LD 5 Green 3 UKIP 2
Sutton: LD 40 Con 30 Lab 20 Green 4 UKIP 3 Ind 2 CPA 1

The "like" is for a prediction which may not be right but is at least not setting out to take the piss. Progress of sorts

Explains why you've never liked any of mine!

[Tony Otim]

Clackmannanshire: SNP 39.5; Lab 37.1; Con 13.2; Grn 5.4; LD 3.8; UKIP 1.0 (Lab to win on transfers but only just)
Sutton: LD 50.0; Con 24.6; Lab 13.3; Grn 4.8; UKIP 4.3; CPA 1.7; Ind 1.3

[yellowperil]

Mar 27, 2019 11:58:55 GMT ricmk said:

Mar 27, 2019 9:21:02 GMT yellowperil said:

The "like" is for a prediction which may not be right but is at least not setting out to take the piss. Progress of sorts

Explains why you've never liked any of mine!

I have often liked yours- maybe not found a reason to "like" them.

[johnloony]

Mar 27, 2019 9:21:02 GMT yellowperil said:

Mar 27, 2019 0:12:02 GMT johnloony said:

Büäsagob:

Clackmannan: SNP 40 Lab 30 Con 20 LD 5 Green 3 UKIP 2
Sutton: LD 40 Con 30 Lab 20 Green 4 UKIP 3 Ind 2 CPA 1

The "like" is for a prediction which may not be right but is at least not setting out to take the piss. Progress of sorts

I have never in my life made any prediction which was in any way "setting out to take the piss". I demand an apology, a retraction, and £1,000,000 in compensation.

[jamesrodriguez]

Sutton, Wallington North: LD 42, Con 26, Ind 14, Lab 8, Grn 5, UKIP 4 CPA 1
Clackmannanshire, Clackmannan Central: SNP 40, Lab 36, Con 12, LD 5, Grn 5, UKIP 2 (Lab win on transfers)

[syorkssocialist]

Clackmannanshire Central: Lab 38%, SNP 36%, Con 13%, Green 6%, LD 4%, UKIP 3% (predicting Lab to win seat as well)
Sutton, Wallington North: LD 45%, Con 27%, Lab 14%, Green 6%, UKIP 4%, Ind 3%, CPA 1%

[Deleted]

Clackmannanshire Central: Lab 30%, SNP 40%, Con 15%, Green 5%, LD 5%, UKIP 5% (Labour gain on 6th)
Sutton, Wallington North: LD 50%, Con 20%, Lab 10%, Green 10%, UKIP 5%, Ind 3%, CPA 2%

[robbienicoll]

Clackmannanshire Central, Clackmannanshire: Con 15, Lab 37, LD 3, Green 5, UKIP 2, SNP 38 (Lab to win on transfers)
Wallington North, Sutton: Con 18, Lab 17, LD 52, Green 6, Ind 6, CPA 1

[iainbhx]

Clacks - Clackmannanshire Central : SNP 39 Lab 36 Con 19 Grn 3 LDm 2 UKIP 1 (Lab win on transfers)
Sutton - Wallington North: LDm 46 Con 25 Lab 12 Ind 7 UKIP 5 Grn 4 CPA 1

[greenhert]

Clackmannanshire UA, Clackmannanshire Central (1st preference votes): SNP 40, Labour 35, Conservative 16, Green 4, Liberal Democrats 3, UKIP 2. (Labour win on transfers)
Sutton LBC, Wallington North: Liberal Democrats 50, Conservative 27, Labour 13, Green 5, Independent (Sawyer) 4, CPA 1.

[Robert Waller]

Clackmannanshire UA, Clackmannanshire Central (1st preference votes): SNP 35, Labour 38, Conservative 19, Green 3, Liberal Democrats 3, UKIP 2. (Labour win on transfers)
Sutton LBC, Wallington North: Liberal Democrats 48, Conservative 25, Labour 10, Green 3, Independent (Sawyer) 10, CPA 1, UKIP 3

[Davıd Boothroyd]

CLACKMANNANSHIRE Clackmannanshire Central: SNP 39, Lab 34, C 18, L Dem 4, SGP 3, UKIP 2. (SNP win)
SUTTON Wallington North: L Dem 48, C 25, Ind 11, Lab 7, UKIP 5, GP 3, CPA 1.