Prediction Competition - March 2019

[greenhert]

Croydon LBC, Norbury & Pollards Hill: Labour 60, Conservative 19, Liberal Democrats 8, Green 6, UKIP 3, O'Grady 2, Roznierska 2.
Durham UA, Wingate: Labour 70, North East Party 21, Liberal Democrats 5, For Britain 4.
Southampton UA, Coxford: Labour 52, Conservative 23, Socialist Alternative 7, Green 5, Liberal Democrats 5, UKIP 4, Integrity 2, Independent (Lambert) 2.

[greatkingrat]

CROYDON - Lab 60, Con 17, LD 10, Grn 6, UKIP 3, Ind (O'Grady) 2, Ind (Roznerska) 2
DURHAM - Lab 72, NEP 21, LD 5, FB 2
SOUTHAMPTON - Lab 54, Con 22, SocAlt 7, LD 5, Grn 4, UKIP 3, Ind 3, Integ 2

[robbienicoll]

Norbury and Pollards Hill, Croydon: Con 24, Lab 54, LD 8, Green 6, UKIP 2, Ind (O'Grady) 2, Ind (Roznerska) 4
Wingate, Durham: Lab 80, LD 7, NEP 12, For Britain 1
Coxford, Southampton: Con 29, Lab 43, LD 8, Green 6, UKIP 4, Ind (Lambert) 3, SocAlt 5, Integrity 2

[Deleted]

Norbury and Pollards Hill, Croydon: Con 15, Lab 45, LD 15, Green 10, UKIP 5, Ind (O'Grady) 5, Ind (Roznerska) 5
Wingate, Durham: Lab 75, LD 15, NEP 5, For Britain 5
Coxford, Southampton: Con 20, Lab 35, LD 15, Green 10, UKIP 5, Ind (Lambert) 5, SocAlt 5, Integrity 5

[Deleted]

Mar 13, 2019 14:07:21 GMT johnloony said:

Mar 9, 2019 5:51:06 GMT Toylyyev said:

Can you tell us more. e.g. how about Southampton UA, Coxford: Labour 36, Liberal Democrat 30, Conservative 22, Green 3, Socialist Alternative 3, UKIP 3, Integrity Southampton 2, Independent 1?

If you insist.
Durham: Lib Dem 100%, all others 0%
Southampton: Green 100%, all others 0%

not sure Youre gonna do well this week

[ElectionMapsUK]

Croydon, Norbury & Pollards Hill: LAB 54, CON 20, LD 8, GRN 8, UKIP 4, IND (O'Gr) 3, IND (Roz) 3.
Durham, Wingate: LAB 66, NEP 16, LD 10, FBR 4
Southampton, Coxford: LAB 44, CON 19, LD 15, GRN 5, UKIP 7, IND 5, SA 3, INT 2

[iainbhx]

Croydon, Norbury & Pollards Hill: Lab 59 Con 20 Grn 10 LDm 5 UKIP 3 Ind (Rozernska) 2 Ind (O'Grady) 1
Durham, Wingate: Lab 66 NEP 15 For Britain 13 LDm 6
Southampton, Coxford: LAB 41 CON 20 SOCALT 14 IND 8 UKIP 7 LDM 5 Int Southampton 3 Grn 2

[jamesrodriguez]

Croydon, Norbury & Pollards Hill: Lab 64, Con 15, LD 8, Grn 5, UKIP 5, Ind (Roznerska) 2, Ind (O'Grady) 1.
Durham, Wingate: Lab 59, NEP 28, LD 8, FB 5.
Coxford, Southampton: Lab 39, LD 28, Con 17, Grn 6, UKIP 4, Ind (Lambert) 2, Soc Alt 2, Integrity 2.

[Robert Waller]

Croydon LBC, Norbury & Pollards Hill: Labour 65, Conservative 17, Liberal Democrats 10, Green 3, UKIP 3, O'Grady 1, Roznierska 1.
Durham UA, Wingate: Labour 70, North East Party 17, Liberal Democrats 8, For Britain 5.
Southampton UA, Coxford: Labour 51, Conservative 27, Socialist Alternative 3, Green 2, Liberal Democrats 10, UKIP 4, Integrity 2, Independent (Lambert) 1.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

CROYDON Norbury and Pollards Hill: Lab 56, C 20, L Dem 10, GP 6, UKIP 5, Ind O'Grady 2, Ind Roznerska 1
DURHAM Wingate: Lab 62, NEP 22, FB 10, L Dem 6
SOUTHAMPTON Coxford: Lab 46, C 27, UKIP 8, Integrity 6, L Dem 5, GP 3, Ind 3, Soc Alt 1

[edgbaston]

Croydon, Norbury & Pollards Hill: Lab 60 Con 15 Grn 9 LDm 8 UKIP 4 Ind (Rozernska) 2 Ind (O'Grady) 2
Durham, Wingate: Lab 76 NEP 10 LDm 10 For Britain 4
Southampton, Coxford: LAB 45 CON 22 SOCALT 8 LDM 7 UKIP 5 Grn 5 IND 4 Int Southampton 4

[ricmk]

Croydon: Lab 60, Con 16 LD 15 Green 4, UKIP 3, Ind 1, Ind1.
Durham: Lab 55, NE 30, LD 10, For Britain 5.
Southampton: Lab 55 Con 27 Everyone else 3 each

[zoe]

Croydon Lab 58, Con 20, LD 12, Green 6, UKIP 2, Ind (O'G) 1, Ind (R) 1
Durham Lab 60, NEP 27, LD 9, FB 4
Southampton Lab 44, Con 28, LD 11, Green 5, UKIP 4, LD 3, IntS 3, Ind 2

[andrewp]

Croydon, Norbury and Pollards Hill Lab 63, Con 16, Lib Dem 9, Green 6, UKIP 3, Ind Grady 2, Ind Rozneska 1
Durham, Wingate. Lab 72, NE 18, Lib Dem 6, For Britain 4
Southampton, Coxford Lab 50, Con 23, Lib Dem 9 SocAlt 5 Ukip 4, Green 4, Integrity 3, Ind Lambert 2

[Right Leaning]

Croydon, Norbury & Pollards Hill: Lab 59, C 18, Gn 10, LD 6, UKIP 3, Ind (Rozernska) 2, Ind (O'Grady) 2
Durham, Wingate: Lab 71, NEP 17, LD 9, For Britain 3
Southampton, Coxford: Lab 48, C 24, LD 9, UKIP 6, Gn 6, Ind 4, Int Southampton 3

[olympian95]

Croydon: Lab 64, Con 17, LD 6, UKIP, 5, Green 4, o’Grady 2, Roz 2

Durham: Lab 61, north east 24, LD 9, for Britain 6

Southampton: Lab 49, Con 21, Soc Alt 9, LD 8, UKIP 6, Green 4, Integrity 2, Ind 1

[hempie]

Croydon, Norbury and Pollards Hill: Lab 60, Con 15, LD 12, Green 5, UKIP 4, Ind O'Grady 2, Ind Roznerska 2
Durham, Wingate: Lab 70, NE Party 19, LD 7, For Britain 4
Southampton, Coxford: Lab 52, Con 22, LD 10, Soc Alt 5, Green 4, UKIP 3,Integrity 2, Ind Lambert 2

[middleenglander]

19 entrants this week with electionmapsuk and Olympian95 posting on time. David Boothroyd gets 1 additional fault for adding to 99% in Southampton, Croxford whilst electionmapsuk get 4 additional faults for adding to 96% in Durham, Wingate. Zoe has 2 Liberal Democrats (11% and 3%) but no Socialist Alternative in Croxford and I have generously allowed the 3% to be the Socialist Alternative prediction.

I have also given electionmapsuk 100 faults last week rather than 119.5 on the basis that he did not make a prediction instead one that was very late. In this way he is not disadvantage against Olympian95 who made no prediction.

Croydon, Norbury & Pollards Hill: 100% Labour hold, majority from 25% (Toylyyev over Liberal Democrat) to 49% (jamesrodriguez over Conservative)
Durham, Wingate: 100% Labour hold, majority from 25% (ricmk over North East) to 66% (edgbaston over both Liberal Democrat & North East)
Southampton, Croxford: 18 Labour gain from Independent, majority from 5% (Toyllev over Liberal Democrat) to 33.9% (Tony Otim over Conservative)
- yorkssocialist an Independent hold

We are away again tonight puppy sitting. Results will be posted officially sometime tomorrow afternoon / evening.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Mar 14, 2019 14:37:05 GMT middleenglander said:

David Boothroyd gets 1 additional fault for adding to 99% in Southampton, Croxford.

middleenglander gets 1 additional fault for spelling Coxford 'Croxford'.

[middleenglander]

Mar 14, 2019 14:42:06 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Mar 14, 2019 14:37:05 GMT middleenglander said:

David Boothroyd gets 1 additional fault for adding to 99% in Southampton, Croxford.

middleenglander gets 1 additional fault for spelling Coxford 'Croxford'.

Noted, but you are lucky to have got a posting at all as we have been without email for 4 days until a few minutes ago and now wading through nearly 100 since Monday.