Local Council by-elections 6th December

[Tony Otim]

HIGHLAND UA; Wester Ross, Strathpeffer & Lochalsh (Lib Dem resigned)
Candidates:
BERKENHEGER, Gavin (Conservative)
BIRT, Christopher (Labour)
BRANDT, Irene Frances (Green)
CHRISTIAN, Harry (Libertarian)
DAVIS, Jean (Independent)
DURANCE, Les (UKIP)
GREENE, Richard (Independent)
MACINNES, Alexander (SNP)
SCOTT, George (Liberal Democrat)

2017: Con 1036; SNP 859, 608; Ind 796, 656; LD 752; Grn 628; Lab 285
2012: LD 1162; Ind 871, 677, 234; SNP 632, 378; Con 257
2007: SNP 1486; LD 1242; Ind 792, 608, 328, 232, 199; Con 451; Lab 354

The Labour and SNP candidates both stood here last year. Richard Greene was the second indy last year, but was the top indy elected in 2012 and 2007. The indy elected last year was the Lib Dem elected in 2007 and 2012.

This is currently carlton43's home ward, if he would care to share any insights.



LEICESTER UA; Walgrave (Lab died)
Candidates:
BILSON, Ursula Elisabeth (Green)
CHAMUND, Padmini (Labour)
CHANDARANA, Hash (Liberal Democrat)
PATEL, Khandubhai Vanmalibhai (Conservative)

2015: Lab 5705, 5593, 4653; Con 1509, 1485, 1273; Grn 466; UKIP 318, 270, 263; TUSC 199



OXFORD BC; Wolvercote (Lib Dem died)
Candidates:
EDWARDS, Sarah Janet (Green)
EL-HENDI, Ibrahim El-Siddig (Labour)
JACKSON, Jenny (Conservative)
WADE, Liz (Liberal Democrat)

2018: LD 1341; Con 517; Lab 217; Grn 125
2016: LD 944; Con 623; Grn 284; Lab 238
2014: LD 971; Con 677; Grn 275; Lab 250
2012: LD 655; Con 584; Grn 495; Lab 200
2010: LD 1412; Con 1149; Grn 444; Lab 346
2008: LD 623; Con 572; Grn 377; Lab 255
2006: LD 911; Grn 478; Con 474; Lab 145
2004: LD 828; Con 669; Grn 485; Lab 162
2002: LD 801, 690; Con 616, 578; Grn 444, 444; Lab 244, 238

The Green has stood here in the last 2 elections.



SURREY CC; The Byfleets (Con died)
Candidates:
BOOTE, Amanda Jayne (Independent)
ELSON, Gary William (Conservative)
NICHOLSON, Ellen Sophie (Liberal Democrat)
SAGE, Lyn (UKIP)

2017: Con 1536; Ind 1203; LD 650; Lab 198; UKIP 122
2013: Con 1476; UKIP 597; LD 533; Lab 231; BNP 98

The UKIP candidate stood here last year. The indy is a different indy to the one who stood last year, but both are councillors for Byfleet and West Blyfleet on Woking DC which currently has 3 independent councillors, although Gary Elson only missed taking the 3rd seat for the Tories by 53 votes this May. The LD candidate here also stood in that election.

[carlton43]

Nov 21, 2018 21:23:39 GMT Tony Otim said:

HIGHLAND UA; Wester Ross, Strathpeffer & Lochalsh (Lib Dem resigned)
Candidates:
BERKENHEGER, Gavin (Conservative)
BIRT, Christopher (Labour)
BRANDT, Irene Frances (Green)
CHRISTIAN, Harry (Libertarian)
DAVIS, Jean (Independent)
DURANCE, Les (UKIP)
GREENE, Richard (Independent)
MACINNES, Alexander (SNP)
SCOTT, George (Liberal Democrat)

2017: Con 1036; SNP 859, 608; Ind 796, 656; LD 752; Grn 628; Lab 285
2012: LD 1162; Ind 871, 677, 234; SNP 632, 378; Con 257
2007: SNP 1486; LD 1242; Ind 792, 608, 328, 232, 199; Con 451; Lab 354

The Labour and SNP candidates both stood here last year. Richard Greene was the second indy last year, but was the top indy elected in 2012 and 2007. The indy elected last year was the Lib Dem elected in 2007 and 2012.

This is currently carlton43 's home ward, if he would care to share any insights.



LEICESTER UA; Walgrave (Lab died)
Candidates:
BILSON, Ursula Elisabeth (Green)
CHAMUND, Padmini (Labour)
CHANDARANA, Hash (Liberal Democrat)
PATEL, Khandubhai Vanmalibhai (Conservative)

2015: Lab 5705, 5593, 4653; Con 1509, 1485, 1273; Grn 466; UKIP 318, 270, 263; TUSC 199



OXFORD BC; Wolvercote (Lib Dem died)
Candidates:
EDWARDS, Sarah Janet (Green)
EL-HENDI, Ibrahim El-Siddig (Labour)
JACKSON, Jenny (Conservative)
WADE, Liz (Liberal Democrat)

2018: LD 1341; Con 517; Lab 217; Grn 125
2016: LD 944; Con 623; Grn 284; Lab 238
2014: LD 971; Con 677; Grn 275; Lab 250
2012: LD 655; Con 584; Grn 495; Lab 200
2010: LD 1412; Con 1149; Grn 444; Lab 346
2008: LD 623; Con 572; Grn 377; Lab 255
2006: LD 911; Grn 478; Con 474; Lab 145
2004: LD 828; Con 669; Grn 485; Lab 162
2002: LD 801, 690; Con 616, 578; Grn 444, 444; Lab 244, 238

The Green has stood here in the last 2 elections.



SURREY CC; The Byfleets (Con died)
Candidates:
BOOTE, Amanda Jayne (Independent)
ELSON, Gary William (Conservative)
NICHOLSON, Ellen Sophie (Liberal Democrat)
SAGE, Lyn (UKIP)

2017: Con 1536; Ind 1203; LD 650; Lab 198; UKIP 122
2013: Con 1476; UKIP 597; LD 533; Lab 231; BNP 98

The UKIP candidate stood here last year. The indy is a different indy to the one who stood last year, but both are councillors for Byfleet and West Blyfleet on Woking DC which currently has 3 independent councillors, although Gary Elson only missed taking the 3rd seat for the Tories by 53 votes this May. The LD candidate here also stood in that election.

I have posted under the thread 'Leaflet. Stakeboard, Winning Here...' but don't know how to copy to this thread. I am happy for anyone else to do it.

As to outcomes I have no idea because I don't know the candidates and the area is massive.  I have no evidence of any LD come-back and feel that both Labour and Conservative are improving with LD and SNP declining. Recent British events may play differently here and national events are still working through. Conservatives are gradually picking up wards year on year from a zero base quite recently. I expect this to be a LD loss probably narrowly to SNP.

[No Offence Alan]

In the Highland contest, Jean Davis is the former Lib Dem councillor for Aird and Loch Ness ward.

[LDCaerdydd]

Nov 21, 2018 21:49:34 GMT No Offence Alan said:

In the Highland contest, Jean Davis is the former Lib Dem councillor for Aird and Loch Ness ward.

And stood in Charles Kennedy's old seat in last year's general election. Any idea what caused the fall out?

[ElectionMapsUK]

[Robert Waller]

britainelects.com/2018/12/05/previews-06-dec-2018/

[Deleted]

Anyone getting any updates from Wester Ross? Nothing on Highland Council’s Twitter page.

Edit: It has just occurred to me that it is only Thursday today!  Doh! 

[robbienicoll]

Dec 6, 2018 10:56:28 GMT Sandy said:

Anyone getting any updates from Wester Ross? Nothing on Highland Council’s Twitter page.

Edit: It has just occurred to me that it is only Thursday today!  Doh! 

They're also counting tomorrow morning.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Oxford City Council, Wolvercote ward, is a Liberal Democrat hold: "emphatically won" in the words of the local MP.

[timmullen1]

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Turnout in Belgrave ward, Leicester, was 43.76% - very high for a December byelection in a safe seat.

[andrewp]

Oxford Wolvercote

Lib Dem 998
Con 404
Lab 162
Green 86

[ElectionMapsUK]

[Davıd Boothroyd]

This is something quite special.

LEICESTER Belgrave

Padmini CHAMUND (Labour Party) 5,477
Khandubhai Vanmalibha PATEL (The Conservative Party Candidate) 412
Hasmukh Keshavji CHANDARANA (Liberal Democrats) 238
Ursula Elisabeth BILSON (The Green Party) 199

Double checked and not a typo.

[Deleted]

Dec 7, 2018 0:18:18 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

This is something quite special.

LEICESTER Belgrave

Padmini CHAMUND (Labour Party) 5,477
Khandubhai Vanmalibha PATEL (The Conservative Party Candidate) 412
Hasmukh Keshavji CHANDARANA (Liberal Democrats) 238
Ursula Elisabeth BILSON (The Green Party) 199

Double checked and not a typo.

Lab: 86.6% (+17)
Con: 6.5%  (-11.9)
LD: 3.8% (+3.8%)
Grn: 3.1% (-2.5)

[ElectionMapsUK]

[Deleted]

Is Surrey counting tomorrow as well then?

[andrewteale]

SURREY CC, The Bylfeets - Ind gain from C
Ind 1128 C 782 LD 309 UKIP 101

[John Chanin]

Dec 7, 2018 0:18:18 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

This is something quite special.

LEICESTER Belgrave

Padmini CHAMUND (Labour Party) 5,477
Khandubhai Vanmalibha PATEL (The Conservative Party Candidate) 412
Hasmukh Keshavji CHANDARANA (Liberal Democrats) 238
Ursula Elisabeth BILSON (The Green Party) 199

Double checked and not a typo.

Asian voters, whether Gujerati or Punjabi, really like elections.

[andrewp]

Dec 7, 2018 1:18:56 GMT andrewteale said:

SURREY CC, The Bylfeets - Ind gain from C
Ind 1128 C 782 LD 309 UKIP 101

Ind 48.6% ( +16.2)
Con 33.8% (-7.6)
LD 13.3% (-4.2)
UKIP 4.4 (+1.1)

No Labour from last time.