ricmk
Lib Dem
Posts: 2,615 
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Post by ricmk on Nov 8, 2018 9:25:41 GMT
Late sorry:
Ealing: Lab 70, Con 15, LD 10, Green 5
Harlow (both): Lab 42, Con 37, HA 15, UKIP 4, LD 2
Torridge: Con 40, Ind 30, Lib Dem 20, Lab 10
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Post by andrewp on Nov 8, 2018 18:26:38 GMT
14 entries again this week. Right leaning gets 5 additional faults for adding only to 95% in Harlow, Bush Fair whilst ricmk gets 4 x 5 additional faults for posting at nearly 09.30. Ealing, Dormers Wells: 100% Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 25% (priceofdawn) to 62% (Robert Waller) Harlow, Bush Fair: 12 Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 2% (Olympian95 & Yellow Peril) to 8% (Right Leaning & robbienicholl) - peterl & Tony Otim Conservative gain Harlow, Nettleswell: 100% Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 2% (robbienicoll) to 12% (David Boothroyd & Robert Waller) Torridge, Holsworthy: 100% Conservative hold, majority from 7% (petrel over Independent) to 40% (europeanlefty over Liberal Democrat) I thought one or two might go for an Independent win in Holsworthy. I wonder if it might happen |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 8, 2018 19:22:37 GMT
It's Netteswell.
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 8, 2018 19:30:45 GMT
ME is just trying to nettle you. And petrel might get a bit stormy too. |
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473
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Post by peterl on Nov 8, 2018 19:39:03 GMT
Yes, my prediction for Bush Fair was " Lab 42, Con 40, UKIP 8, HA 6, LD 4", so Labour hold for me.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 8, 2018 20:18:45 GMT
Yes, it was olympian who joined me in predicting a Conservative gain there.
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 8, 2018 20:59:44 GMT
14 entries again this week. Right leaning gets 5 additional faults for adding only to 95% in Harlow, Bush Fair whilst ricmk gets 4 x 5 additional faults for posting at nearly 09.30. Ealing, Dormers Wells: 100% Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 25% (priceofdawn) to 62% (Robert Waller) Harlow, Bush Fair: 12 Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 2% (petrel & Yellow Peril) to 8% (Right Leaning & robbienicholl) - Olympian95 & Tony Otim Conservative gain Harlow, Netteswell: 100% Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 2% (robbienicoll) to 12% (David Boothroyd & Robert Waller) Torridge, Holsworthy: 100% Conservative hold, majority from 7% (peterl over Independent) to 40% (europeanlefty over Liberal Democrat) |
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 9, 2018 0:22:11 GMT
Looks like a good week for Andrew P and Yellow Peril ...
... and Yellow Peril well in the lead for the month!
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 9, 2018 1:41:40 GMT
Week 2:| Authority | Week 1 | Ealing | Harlow | Harlow | Torridge | Week 2 | Week 2 | Weeks 1 & 2 | Weeks 1 & 2 | | Ward | faults | Dormers Wells | Bush Fair | Netteswell | Holsworthy | faults | position | faults | position | andrewp | 51.0 | 0.9 | 13.1 | 22.8 | 24.9 | 61.6 | 1st | 112.7 | 8th | David Boothroyd | 50.5 | 7.8 | 9.6 | 22.7 | 35.5 | 75.6 | 6th | 126.1 | 11th | europeanlefty | 24.7 | 28.7 | 7.0 | 26.1 | 24.7 | 86.4 | 9th | 111.1 | 6th | greenrobinhood | 20.5 | 10.2 | 15.1 | 30.1 | 24.9 | 80.3 | 8th | 100.8 | 2nd | hempie | 29.3 | 3.8 | 21.1 | 28.1 | 24.9 | 77.9 | 7th | 107.2 | 5th | Olympian95 | 48.1 | 8.5 | 15.9+10 | 30.3 | 24.8 | 89.5 | 12th | 137.5 | 12th | peterl | 36.3 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 26.7 | 30.8 | 70.3 | 5th | 106.6 | 4th | priceofdawn | 67.8 | 34.2 | 7.5 | 20.3 | 33.5 | 95.5 | 13th | 163.2 | 14th | ricmk | 28.8 | 7.3+5 | 19.6+5 | 32.8+5 | 32.8+5 | 112.4 | 14th | 141.1 | 13th | Right Leaning | 48.8 | 4.7 | 5.1+5 | 26.7 | 24.9 | 66.4 | 4th | 115.1 | 9th | robbienicoll | 17.1 | 10.7 | 21.1 | 40.1 | 16.9 | 88.8 | 11th | 105.9 | 3rd | Robert Waller | 49.0 | 9.8 | 13.1 | 20.7 | 18.9 | 62.5 | 3rd | 111.6 | 7th | Tony Otim | 38.1 | 5.4 | 8.3+10 | 28.5 | 35.2 | 87.4 | 10th | 125.5 | 10th | Yellow Peril | 19.0 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 26.7 | 19.6 | 62.0 | 2nd | 81.0 | 1st | Total faults | 528.9 | 145.2+5 | 171.7+5+5+20 | 382.6+5 | 372.0+5 | 1,116.5 |
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Objections please by noon Sunday. There are 4 by-elections again next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 Thursday
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Post by andrewp on Nov 10, 2018 9:36:01 GMT
Well done Yellow Peril. A good lead. 2 results that we were all fairly close with this week, and 2 which we weren’t.
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 10, 2018 11:26:25 GMT
Well done Yellow Peril. A good lead. 2 results that we were all fairly close with this week, and 2 which we weren’t. Thanks Andrew, and well done yourself for taking the week at the line: better dip than me obviously. And you wouldn't have thought from Robert's earlier comment just how close the three of us were. However only 1/3 of the way through the month at present, 7 elections down , 14 to go, and with only 80 points between 1st and 14th, everybody is still in the running. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 13, 2018 18:47:05 GMT
Just for clarity - has the Northsmpton election on 29th been identified in time to count for the competition? I've forgotten the rules about timescales...
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 13, 2018 19:01:05 GMT
Amended
It now looks as though there are 22 by-elections during the 5 Thursdays of November:
* 3 on 01 November
* 4 on 08 November
* 4 on 15 November
* 4 on 22 November
* 7 on 29 November
7 of the by-elections are for District Councils
- 3 where the seat will again be contested in May, 2 with ward elections in May and 2 where there were last all out elections in 2016
2 are in Unitary Authorities where the seat will again be contested in May
3 are in Metropolitan Authorities where there will be ward elections in May
5 are for London Boroughs where the last elections were in May this year
5 are for County Councils last elected in 2017
Conservatives defend 8 seats, 4 where the previous Councillor has died and 4 resigned
Labour now defend 9 seats, with 1 sitting as an Independent, 1 following a death and 8 a resignation
Liberal Democrats defend 4 seats, 1 after a death and 3 a resignation
Localists defend 1 seat following a death
With nominations available for all 22 elections:
Conservatives, Labour and Liberal Democrats contest all 22 seats, Green 14, UKIP and Independents 5 each
along with 2 Harlow Alliance, 1 National Flood Protection, 1 Stratford First and 1 Women's Equality
- 95 candidates for the 22 seats.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of election.
There are no Scottish elections during November.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 13, 2018 22:28:00 GMT
I'm going to get this week's predictions in before I forget in tomorrow's chaos.
East Retford (Bassetlaw): Lab 45 Con 40 LD 15
Canterbury North (Kent): Con 50 Lab 16 LD 15 UKIP 7 Ind 6 Grn 5
Grove & Wantage (Oxfordshire): LD 48 Con 40 Grn 7 Lab 5
Dursley (Stroud): Lab 40 Con 30 LD 23 Grn 7
This is going to be embarrassing if I'm completely wrong about Dursley.
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473
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Post by peterl on Nov 14, 2018 18:25:09 GMT
East Retford (Bassetlaw): Lab 44 Con 41 LD 15
Canterbury North (Kent): Con 50 Lab 19 LD 14 Grn 7 UKIP 5 Ind 5
Grove & Wantage (Oxfordshire): LD 43 Con 36 Lab 11 Grn 10
Dursley (Stroud): Lab 40 LD 27 Con 24 Grn 9
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 14, 2018 20:47:07 GMT
Bassetlaw: Lab 44.2; Con 41.1; LD 14.7
Kent: Con 48.7; LD 18.2; Lab 17.8; Ind 6.4; UKIP 4.6; Grn 4.3
Oxfordshire: LD 45.7; Con 33.1; Lab 15.6; Grn 5.6
Stroud: Lab 35.7; Con 30.6; LD 25.4; Grn 8.3
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 14, 2018 21:03:36 GMT
East Retford (Bassetlaw): Lab 50 Con 40 LD 10
Canterbury North (Kent): Con 53 Lab 13 LD 22 Grn 4 UKIP 3 Ind 5
Grove & Wantage (Oxfordshire): LD 50 Con 34 Lab 12 Grn 4
Dursley (Stroud): Lab 40 LD 24 Con 32 Grn 4
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 14, 2018 21:33:17 GMT
East Retford (Bassetlaw): Lab 45 Con 35 LD 20
Canterbury North (Kent): Con 60 Lab 10 LD 15 Grn 5 UKIP 5 Ind 5
Grove & Wantage (Oxfordshire): LD 40 Con 30 Lab 20 Grn 10
Dursley (Stroud): Lab 35 LD 20 Con 30 Grn 15
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Post by greenhert on Nov 14, 2018 22:22:54 GMT
Bassetlaw DC, East Retford: Labour 45, Conservative 43, Liberal Democrats 12.
Kent CC, Canterbury North: Conservative 50, Liberal Democrats 19, Labour 17, Green 6, UKIP 4, Independent (Egerton) 4.
Oxfordshire CC, Grove & Wantage: Liberal Democrats 52, Conservative 35, Labour 8, Green 5.
Stroud DC, Dursley: Labour 40, Conservative 32, Liberal Democrats 20, Green 8.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 15, 2018 0:52:10 GMT
BASSETLAW East Retford West: Lab 51, C 40, L Dem 9
KENT Canterbury North: C 48, Lab 29, L Dem 10, UKIP 6, GP 4, Ind 3
OXFORDSHIRE Grove and Wantage: L Dem 52, C 34, Lab 11, GP 3
STROUD Dursley: Lab 49, C 33, L Dem 14, GP 4
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