CatholicLeft
Labour
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jul 5, 2018 22:51:19 GMT
In percentage terms this is: Liberal Democrats 41.1%, Labour 24.6%, Conservative 21.3%, and Green 13%. Good result for Labour. |
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Post by liverpoolliberal on Jul 5, 2018 22:52:53 GMT
Wish everywhere our local organisation had collapsed we’d get 41% of the vote...
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timmullen1
Labour
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 5, 2018 22:53:23 GMT
I know we’ve not mentioned then, but as Andrew previewed them:
City of London Corp results...
Independent (Robert Hughes-Penney) GAIN Cheap ward from Independent.
Independent (Emma Edhem) GAIN Candlewick ward from Independent.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 5, 2018 22:54:12 GMT
In percentage terms this is: Liberal Democrats 41.1%, Labour 24.6%, Conservative 21.3%, and Green 13%. Good result for Labour. Yes, 2nd good result of the night for Labour. Brexit has reinvigorated the Lib Dem’s in Bath when they were on a somewhat downward trend there. |
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Jul 5, 2018 23:10:26 GMT
Yes, 2nd good result of the night for Labour. Brexit has reinvigorated the Lib Dem’s in Bath when they were on a somewhat downward trend there. Not sure we were really on a downward trend. 2015 was a poor result, sure, but then it was everywhere (and Bath was affected by a retiring MP). In 2011 we actually made gains. Good chance of an LD gain of this council next year I would have thought. |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 5, 2018 23:51:25 GMT
Wish everywhere our local organisation had collapsed we’d get 41% of the vote... ,,, and gain a seat  |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 5, 2018 23:58:48 GMT
I know we’ve not mentioned then, but as Andrew previewed them: City of London Corp results... Independent (Robert Hughes-Penney) GAIN Cheap ward from Independent. Independent (Emma Edhem) GAIN Candlewick ward from Independent. Or, of course,two independent holds, to reignite last week's debate... less clear-cut than last week,I suppose. I do like Penney gaining Cheap ward, though. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 6, 2018 6:17:54 GMT
Yes, 2nd good result of the night for Labour. Brexit has reinvigorated the Lib Dem’s in Bath when they were on a somewhat downward trend there. Not sure we were really on a downward trend. 2015 was a poor result, sure, but then it was everywhere (and Bath was affected by a retiring MP). In 2011 we actually made gains. Good chance of an LD gain of this council next year I would have thought. Yes, true, 2015 was a blip- Don Foster’s retirement, plus Bath is the sort of place where David Cameron went down quite well. There are about 8 likely LD gains in Bath, so NOC looks very likely, LD overall control requires 16 gains I think, which would take some getting |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 6, 2018 6:25:54 GMT
Has anyone got the raw numbers from Shropshire? The percentages have been around for hours but I cant get the real figures anywhere
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Post by akmd on Jul 6, 2018 6:44:13 GMT
Yes, true, 2015 was a blip- Don Foster’s retirement, plus Bath is the sort of place where David Cameron went down quite well. There are about 8 likely LD gains in Bath, so NOC looks very likely, LD overall control requires 16 gains I think, which would take some getting If the swing is anything like what it was in Richmond or Sourh Cambridgeshire, then they’ll take overall control. They’re almost certain to be the largest party so they will be forming a new administration there next year whatever happens. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 6, 2018 7:14:40 GMT
There are a few idiots on Twitter who are celebrating the by election gain in Jacob Rees-Mogg’s constituency.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 6, 2018 7:19:08 GMT
Not sure we were really on a downward trend. 2015 was a poor result, sure, but then it was everywhere (and Bath was affected by a retiring MP). In 2011 we actually made gains. Good chance of an LD gain of this council next year I would have thought. Yes, true, 2015 was a blip- Don Foster’s retirement, plus Bath is the sort of place where David Cameron went down quite well. There are about 8 likely LD gains in Bath, so NOC looks very likely, LD overall control requires 16 gains I think, which would take some getting It would. While the Bath part of the borough is good for the LDs, the NES part (ex-Wansdyke) is far more strongly Tory - this being the part of the world that sends Jacob Rees-Mogg to Westminster, remember - and there is also a little knot of Labour wards around Radstock and Midsummer Norton. |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 6, 2018 7:31:06 GMT
Yes, true, 2015 was a blip- Don Foster’s retirement, plus Bath is the sort of place where David Cameron went down quite well. There are about 8 likely LD gains in Bath, so NOC looks very likely, LD overall control requires 16 gains I think, which would take some getting It would. While the Bath part of the borough is good for the LDs, the NES part (ex-Wansdyke) is far more strongly Tory - this being the part of the world that sends Jacob Rees-Mogg to Westminster, remember - and there is also a little knot of Labour wards around Radstock and Midsummer Norton.
another of those one-time coalfield areas,of course. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 6, 2018 7:34:34 GMT
Yes, true, 2015 was a blip- Don Foster’s retirement, plus Bath is the sort of place where David Cameron went down quite well. There are about 8 likely LD gains in Bath, so NOC looks very likely, LD overall control requires 16 gains I think, which would take some getting It would. While the Bath part of the borough is good for the LDs, the NES part (ex-Wansdyke) is far more strongly Tory - this being the part of the world that sends Jacob Rees-Mogg to Westminster, remember - and there is also a little knot of Labour wards around Radstock and Midsummer Norton. Yes, the Lib Dem’s have never gained overall control of BANES, despite nearly always winning almost all the seats in Bath city. They have often run the council as a minority administration. There are 32 councillors elected in Bath and 33 from non Bath No of Lib Dem’s elected Bath. Non Bath Total 1995. 24. 3. 27 1999. 28. 2. 30 2003. 23. 6. 29 2007. 23. 3. 26 2011. 24. 6. 30 2015. 13. 2. 15 |
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Post by stodge on Jul 6, 2018 7:50:42 GMT
I know we’ve not mentioned then, but as Andrew previewed them: City of London Corp results... Independent (Robert Hughes-Penney) GAIN Cheap ward from Independent. Independent (Emma Edhem) GAIN Candlewick ward from Independent. I was in London yesterday and walked down King William Street from Bank to Monument tube station and passed the St Mary Abchurch in Abchurch Lane which was being used as a polling station for the election. There were four Independent candidates and either they or their Tellers were sitting in the shade on the other side of the pavement in Abchurch Lane directly opposite the Church Entrance. If you ever get the chance to go inside the Church, it's wonderful, a reproduction of the original which was destroyed in the Great Fire but as far removed from a community centre as you could imagine.
Quite surreal.
I've seen some numbers on Twitter - there are 304 voters in Candlewick and the result was: Edhem 50 Sausmarez 43 Charnley 30 Bewes 27
I make that close on a 50% turnout so very decent.
Again, according to Twitter a slight surprise as James de Sausmarez was one of the Common Councilmen already representing the Ward whereas Emma Edhem was a Councilman in Castle Baynard which is right over by St Paul's so the other side of the City. She is, according to Wiki, a practicing barrister and Deputy Head of International Law at No.5 Chambers which has 250 barristers and 36 silks (again, as you all know).
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timmullen1
Labour
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 6, 2018 7:53:58 GMT
I know we’ve not mentioned then, but as Andrew previewed them: City of London Corp results... Independent (Robert Hughes-Penney) GAIN Cheap ward from Independent. Independent (Emma Edhem) GAIN Candlewick ward from Independent. I was in London yesterday and walked down King William Street from Bank to Monument tube station and passed the St Mary Abchurch in Abchurch Lane which was being used as a polling station for the election. There were four Independent candidates and either they or their Tellers were sitting in the shade on the other side of the pavement in Abchurch Lane directly opposite the Church Entrance. If you ever get the chance to go inside the Church, it's wonderful, a reproduction of the original which was destroyed in the Great Fire but as far removed from a community centre as you could imagine.
Quite surreal.
I've seen some numbers on Twitter - there are 304 voters in Candlewick and the result was: Edhem 50 Sausmarez 43 Charnley 30 Bewes 27
I make that close on a 50% turnout so very decent.
Again, according to Twitter a slight surprise as James de Sausmarez was one of the Common Councilmen already representing the Ward whereas Emma Edhem was a Councilman in Castle Baynard which is right over by St Paul's so the other side of the City. She is, according to Wiki, a practicing barrister and Deputy Head of International Law at No.5 Chambers which has 250 barristers and 36 silks (again, as you all know).
Andrew’s Preview suggested that Mr de Sausmarez was the candidate to beat precisely because he was a Common Councilman for the Ward and thus the “insider”. |
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Tony Otim
Green
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 6, 2018 8:03:05 GMT
Not sure we were really on a downward trend. 2015 was a poor result, sure, but then it was everywhere (and Bath was affected by a retiring MP). In 2011 we actually made gains. Good chance of an LD gain of this council next year I would have thought. Yes, true, 2015 was a blip- Don Foster’s retirement, plus Bath is the sort of place where David Cameron went down quite well. There are about 8 likely LD gains in Bath, so NOC looks very likely, LD overall control requires 16 gains I think, which would take some getting I think I read that there are boundary changes due for the next set of elections which may have some impact one way or another on the number of winnable seats, although I've no idea how much or in what direction. |
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Post by froome on Jul 6, 2018 8:07:42 GMT
Not sure we were really on a downward trend. 2015 was a poor result, sure, but then it was everywhere (and Bath was affected by a retiring MP). In 2011 we actually made gains. Good chance of an LD gain of this council next year I would have thought. Yes, true, 2015 was a blip- Don Foster’s retirement, plus Bath is the sort of place where David Cameron went down quite well. There are about 8 likely LD gains in Bath, so NOC looks very likely, LD overall control requires 16 gains I think, which would take some getting Remember that there will be new wards by 2019, with 7 fewer councillors. The Bath city wards in particular are likely to be substantially different to those we currently have, though nowhere near as different as was originally proposed by the Boundary Commission. So talk of gains as such isn't relevant, as most wards won't be comparable. But, yes, the Lib Dems ought to be able to win the most councillors in the city in 2019, but they'll find it much harder in NES. |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 6, 2018 8:10:19 GMT
It would. While the Bath part of the borough is good for the LDs, the NES part (ex-Wansdyke) is far more strongly Tory - this being the part of the world that sends Jacob Rees-Mogg to Westminster, remember - and there is also a little knot of Labour wards around Radstock and Midsummer Norton. Yes, the Lib Dem’s have never gained overall control of BANES, despite nearly always winning almost all the seats in Bath city. They have often run the council as a minority administration. There are 32 councillors elected in Bath and 33 from non Bath No of Lib Dem’s elected Bath. Non Bath Total 1995. 24. 3. 27 1999. 28. 2. 30 2003. 23. 6. 29 2007. 23. 3. 26 2011. 24. 6. 30 2015. 13. 2. 15 There ought to be a better term than "Non Bath" :Shower, perhaps |
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Post by andrew111 on Jul 6, 2018 8:40:42 GMT
What was the actual turnout in Lichfield, looks horrendous? 15.6% electorate = 3289 Probably about 75% postal votes..... |
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