Lewisham East

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Confirmed that Val Shawcross is retiring as Deputy Mayor for Transport, and Heidi Alexander has agreed to fill the role.

[beastofbedfordshire]

Lab hold

[peterl]

2017 Result

Labour Heidi Alexander 32,072 67.9% +12.3
Conservative Peter Fortune 10,859 23.0% +0.7
Liberal Democrat Emily Frith 2,086 4.4% -1.3
Green Störm Poorun 803 1.7% -4.0
UKIP Keith Forster 798 1.6% -7.4
Independent Willow Winston 355 0.7%
Christian Peoples Maureen Martin 228 0.4% -0.2

[beastofbedfordshire]

May 8, 2018 10:44:25 GMT peterl said:

2017 Result

Labour Heidi Alexander 32,072 67.9% +12.3
Conservative Peter Fortune 10,859 23.0% +0.7
Liberal Democrat Emily Frith 2,086 4.4% -1.3
Green Störm Poorun 803 1.7% -4.0
UKIP Keith Forster 798 1.6% -7.4
Independent Willow Winston 355 0.7%
Christian Peoples Maureen Martin 228 0.4% -0.2

[jimboo2017]

May 8, 2018 10:44:07 GMT beastofbedfordshire said:

Lab hold

Momentum Gain

[LDCaerdydd]

Lewisham East

Now official, Heidi Alexander has announced she is to leave the Commons.

2017 Result

Labour	Heidi Alexander	32,072	67.9%	+12.3
Conservative	Peter Fortune	10,859	23.0%	+0.7
Liberal Democrat	Emily Frith	2,086	4.4%	-1.3
Green	Störm Poorun	808	1.7%	-4.0
UKIP	Keith Forster	798	1.6%	-7.4
Independent	Willow Winston	355	0.7%	N/A
Christian Peoples	Maureen Martin	228	0.4%	-0.2

[Deleted]

The selection of a Labour candidate here will make Liverpool Walton look like a cakewalk.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Let's note a few things.

1) The local party is firmly in the hands of moderates.
2) For a Parliamentary byelection, the NEC controls the shortlist.
3) The NEC is firmly in the hands of Momentum.

[LDCaerdydd]

May 8, 2018 11:09:43 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Let's note a few things.

1) The local party is firmly in the hands of moderates.
2) For a Parliamentary byelection, the NEC controls the shortlist.
3) The NEC is firmly in the hands of Momentum.

Puts feet up, cracks open a beer and reaches for my popcorn.

[peterl]

Does the branch select from the shortlist or is it all up to the NEC?

[Deleted]

Probable Labour hold but I’m still putting a tenner on the Liberals, just in case. Turning £10 into £210 seems like a good punt😂

[Davıd Boothroyd]

May 8, 2018 11:11:01 GMT peterl said:

Does the branch select from the shortlist or is it all up to the NEC?

I think the branches don't have any role. It's entirely self-nomination to the NEC.

The CLP does get to vote on which candidate on the shortlist should be selected.

[Deleted]

May 8, 2018 11:09:43 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Let's note a few things.

1) The local party is firmly in the hands of moderates.
2) For a Parliamentary byelection, the NEC controls the shortlist.
3) The NEC is firmly in the hands of Momentum.

[Chris from Brum]

Early odds from Ladbrokes: Labour are an unbackable 1/33. Somewhat surprisingly, they give Lib Dems 16/1 and the Tories 33/1. That 16/1 might be worth a tenner, but no more. Greens at 100/1 and UKIP 500/1, though I'm surprised they quote odds for UKIP at all. However, all this is in advance of any candidates being selected.

[Devil Wincarnate]

May 8, 2018 11:09:43 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Let's note a few things.

1) The local party is firmly in the hands of moderates.
2) For a Parliamentary byelection, the NEC controls the shortlist.
3) The NEC is firmly in the hands of Momentum.

And apparently Momentum are in the hands of the AWL:
www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/may/08/heidi-alexander-quits-as-labour-mp-to-be-london-deputy-mayor

[john07]

May 8, 2018 11:16:00 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

May 8, 2018 11:11:01 GMT peterl said:

Does the branch select from the shortlist or is it all up to the NEC?

I think the branches don't have any role. It's entirely self-nomination to the NEC.

The CLP does get to vote on which candidate on the shortlist should be selected.

What happens if the Constituency does not like any of the shortlist imposed on them?

[Davıd Boothroyd]

May 8, 2018 13:09:19 GMT john07 said:

May 8, 2018 11:16:00 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

I think the branches don't have any role. It's entirely self-nomination to the NEC.

The CLP does get to vote on which candidate on the shortlist should be selected.

What happens if the Constituency does not like any of the shortlist imposed on them?

They're stuffed. That's the shortlist and that's who they have to choose between.

This situation happened in Rotherham in 2012 when Mahroof Hussain was left off the shortlist. According to the BBC, 80 out of 114 people present left the meeting. The remaining 34 selected Sarah Champion. She was endorsed and won the seat rather comfortably in the circumstances. Over five years later and she doesn't seem to be in any particular local difficulty.

[alderman]

Is an all-women shortlist obligatory here?

[Davıd Boothroyd]

An early entrant into the contest for Labour nomination: Sakina Sheikh, who has been Labour councillor for Perry Vale ward for 12 hours. She's a Corbynite.

[Deleted]

120 hours!