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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Nov 1, 2022 19:47:23 GMT
66.3% turnout as of 8pm Israel time.
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Post by rcronald on Nov 1, 2022 20:02:56 GMT
Bibi bloc 61-62 majority
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Nov 1, 2022 20:03:58 GMT
Am I right in thinking that that's what the exit poll said last time? |
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Post by rcronald on Nov 1, 2022 20:12:51 GMT
Am I right in thinking that that's what the exit poll said last time? no, it was 59-61 |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,846 
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 1, 2022 20:31:36 GMT
ExitPolls: Channel 11:  Channel 12:  Channel 13:  |
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,846
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 1, 2022 22:25:36 GMT
Balad seems to be around the treshold - if they came in, the majority for the BibiBloc would disappear.
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,846
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 1, 2022 22:55:28 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Nov 2, 2022 2:36:11 GMT
Increasingly likely that the right won a majority
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Post by markgoodair on Nov 2, 2022 4:05:24 GMT
Not a lot of use unless you can read Hebrew. |
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,846
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 2, 2022 5:10:18 GMT
Not a lot of use unless you can read Hebrew. Top right = nat. summary: mid = municipality; left = precinct. Likud "naturally" 1st, YA 2nd, then already the Zelots (Nat.Rel.) at 11%!, Gantz, Shas, UTJ, YB, Hadash, Labour, Meretz (presently 3.24% - for seats 1 proMille too low...), Balad 3.11%, UAL 2.87%. |
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Post by rcronald on Nov 2, 2022 5:22:55 GMT
50/50 chance Meretz doesn’t cross the threshold, which would give Bibi 64 seats.
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Post by ibfc on Nov 2, 2022 6:17:35 GMT
50/50 chance Meretz doesn’t cross the threshold, which would give Bibi 64 seats. And if it does? |
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Post by rcronald on Nov 2, 2022 8:25:42 GMT
50/50 chance Meretz doesn’t cross the threshold, which would give Bibi 64 seats. And if it does? 62-63 |
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Post by rcronald on Nov 2, 2022 8:51:50 GMT
84.7% (97% excluding military and prison ballots) of the vote is in:
Likud-31%
Yesh Atid-24
Religious Zionist-14
National Unity-12
Shas-12
UTJ-8
Yisrael Beiteinu-5
Raam-5
Hadash/Taal-5
Labour-4
Meretz-0
Balad-0
Bibi bloc-65
Lapid bloc-45
Arab parties-10
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,438
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Post by iain on Nov 2, 2022 9:01:08 GMT
So no shift between the blocs, but intra-coalition changes see Balad and maybe Meretz drop out, giving Netanyahu a majority.
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,846
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 2, 2022 9:49:30 GMT
Really? Haaretz, JerusalemPost and Ynet write about "84.7%" and the EC shows unfortunately no % at all. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,846
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 2, 2022 9:51:36 GMT
So no shift between the blocs, but intra-coalition changes see Balad and maybe Meretz drop out, giving Netanyahu a majority. Suggested voteStreams (on whatever basis):  |
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Post by rcronald on Nov 2, 2022 10:03:40 GMT
Really? Haaretz, JerusalemPost and Ynet write about "84.7%" and the EC shows unfortunately no % at all. It is apparently 97% of the normal votes and 84.7% of the votes in general, but the remaining votes are expected to favour the right. |
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Post by rcronald on Nov 2, 2022 15:58:06 GMT
Seems like the Bibi bloc is gonna end up with 65 seats, which could give Likud some leverage in negotiations.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Nov 2, 2022 16:57:58 GMT
An interesting question now is does the EU, UK, Canada, Australia and America engage with Ben Gvir? I can't see how we can. Especially given I'm not sure what Israel can offer us to make such a prospect more palatable.
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