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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 23, 2018 8:44:28 GMT
LD 54.6% Con 35.0% Lab 10.5% |
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 23, 2018 9:21:17 GMT
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Post by stananson on Feb 23, 2018 9:26:54 GMT
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Feb 23, 2018 9:27:51 GMT
Conservatives were actually third in Bognor Marine. LD 309 Lab 252 C 242 Ind 141 A poor result for them obviously, though the ward profile didn't make it sound like the kind of place you'd expect the Tories to do well especially nowadays given their huge deficit amongst both young people and renters. The ward has a lot of renters, but not a particularly young age profile - 20% in the 18-29 bracket, but 21% in the 30-44 bracket and 23% in both 45-65 and 65+ (based on the 2011 census.) And the sizeable EU citizen population in the ward (which is likely to have turned out at very low rates) no doubt trends young. Well they're mostly voting Labour at the national level now and I struggle to see that changing any time soon. This was a local election where the Lib Dems obviously do far better than they do in generals both by being much more 'localist' than Con or Lab as well as being less polarising than either of them. The Lib Dems would not get anywhere near 33% in this ward in a general atm, they'd be pretty hard pressed to break 10%. Yes, you are correct at national level, although Bath and Oxford West/Abingdon show that in the right circumstances the ABT/Remain vote can coalesce again around Lib Dem as it used to before 2010. The Lib Dems have always had to defy gravity to win any seat against the "payroll vote" of the big two, but the potential well is much deeper on 8% nationally than on 20%. Sorry about my sarcastic comment! Talking about the payroll vote of the electorate, particularly in the context of a local election, particularly in the context of wards where there is minimal social renting, is just unbelievably crass and stupid. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2018 10:45:05 GMT
Radio Borders reports that the Conservatives are leading on first prefs in Selkirkshire:
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2018 10:45:33 GMT
PS Told you about Penman.
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Post by robbienicoll on Feb 23, 2018 11:30:17 GMT
Penman gains Selkirkshire at stage 7.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,980
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Post by The Bishop on Feb 23, 2018 11:41:02 GMT
It would appear from yesterday that Bognor is on the western extremity of the "red tide" currently lapping the south coast, whilst Chichester remains resolutely untouched  |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,749
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 23, 2018 11:50:23 GMT
SBC have published the Selkirkshire by-election result on their website, but with no figures (first prefs and redistributions). Should we expect to get these sometime?
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 23, 2018 12:13:17 GMT
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Post by Ben Walker on Feb 23, 2018 12:14:52 GMT
SBC have published the Selkirkshire by-election result on their website, but with no figures (first prefs and redistributions). Should we expect to get these sometime? Not by them I imagine. None of their by-election result pages going as far back as four years ago include vote totals or transfers. Slightly irritating. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 23, 2018 12:24:40 GMT
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 23, 2018 12:30:35 GMT
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 23, 2018 13:06:37 GMT
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,028
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Post by Khunanup on Feb 23, 2018 13:47:24 GMT
LD 54.6% Con 35.0% Lab 10.5% Very pleased with that as I know the Chichester Lib Dems were a bit concerned with the feedback they were getting three weeks ago. Solid as you like... |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2018 13:53:20 GMT
SCOTTISH BORDERS Selkirkshire First prefs Trevor ADAMS (Scottish Conservative and Unionist) 1,247 Caroline PENMAN (Independent) 1,040 John MITCHELL (Scottish National Party (SNP)) 691 Kenneth GUNN (Independent) 219 Scott REDPATH (Scottish Labour Party) 134 Jack CLARK (Scottish Liberal Democrats) 95 Barbra HARVIE (Scottish Green Party) 70 Transfers
STAGE 1 STAGE 2 STAGE 3 STAGE 4 STAGE 5 STAGE 6 STAGE 7
ADAMS (C) 1,247 + 4 1,251 + 11 1,262 + 14 1,276 + 31 1,307 + 35 1,342 - 1,342 -
PENMAN (Ind) 1,040 + 9 1,049 + 31 1,080 + 45 1,125 + 106 1,231 + 291 1,522 + 506 2,028
MITCHELL (SNP) 691 + 26 717 + 12 729 + 29 758 + 39 797 - 797 - -
GUNN (Ind) 219 + 7 226 + 12 238 + 11 249 - 249 - - -
REDPATH (Lab) 134 + 10 144 + 14 158 - 158 - - - -
CLARK (L Dem) 95 + 8 103 - 103 - - - - -
HARVIE (SGP) 70 - 70 - - - - - -
Non-transferrable + 6 6 + 23 29 + 59 88 + 73 161 + 471 632 + 836 1,468
www.scotborders.gov.uk/download/downloads/id/3513/candidates_votes_per_stage.pdf |
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 23, 2018 13:55:35 GMT
Selkirkshire, 1st prefs:
Con 1,247
Ind Penman 1,040
SNP 691
Ind Gunn 219
Lab 134
LD 95
Greens 70
Con 35.7%
Ind Penman 29.7%
SNP 19.8%
Ind Gunn 6.3%
Lab 3.8%
LD 2.7%
Greens 2.0%
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 23, 2018 14:08:28 GMT
Hard to believe this was a Lib Dem seat less than 3 years ago
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Merseymike
Independent
Posts: 40,489
Member is Online
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Post by Merseymike on Feb 23, 2018 14:44:08 GMT
It would appear from yesterday that Bognor is on the western extremity of the "red tide" currently lapping the south coast, whilst Chichester remains resolutely untouched Just realised I have a friend in that ward - largely exchange of Christmas cards these days - but she always votes Labour |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 23, 2018 15:14:26 GMT
Both Lib Dem gains came in wards neighbouring a ward which contains a Butlins. Bodes well for a Lib Dem recovery in Skegness..
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