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Post by Antiochian on Jan 30, 2018 23:16:51 GMT
They would be paralysed by the various institutions of state and eventually removed from office in a probably not entirely above board manner. Also the economy would crash and they'd mismanage things pretty badly, but that goes without saying. That burnt-out wreck by the the side of the Autostrada is not the Italian economy?? Skidded on a patch of dodgy currency 19 years back... |
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Post by mrpastelito on Jan 31, 2018 8:10:13 GMT
They would be paralysed by the various institutions of state and eventually removed from office in a probably not entirely above board manner. Also the economy would crash and they'd mismanage things pretty badly, but that goes without saying. That's the way things are going anyway, the only question is how fast. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 31, 2018 9:16:19 GMT
They would be paralysed by the various institutions of state and eventually removed from office in a probably not entirely above board manner. Also the economy would crash and they'd mismanage things pretty badly, but that goes without saying. Isn’t that what happens to all Italian governments? |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
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Post by Sibboleth on Jan 31, 2018 9:40:04 GMT
No, they're usually paralysed by their own internal contradictions. Though Berlusconi's last government was removed in a not entirely above board manner, and I think a precedent may have been set there.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,824 
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Post by Georg Ebner on Feb 1, 2018 0:15:09 GMT
Berlusconi's last government was removed in a not entirely above board manner, and I think a precedent may have been set there. True, but Berlusconi's appetite to remain in power was also limited. He was probably hoping for a recovery within few months outside of direct responsibility. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
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Post by Sibboleth on Feb 3, 2018 14:27:35 GMT
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Post by beastofbedfordshire on Feb 4, 2018 0:27:20 GMT
A worrying trend of terror attacks during election periods appears to continue.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Feb 4, 2018 8:53:02 GMT
I hope that regular political terror has not returned to Italy. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,824
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Post by Georg Ebner on Feb 7, 2018 7:00:48 GMT
I hope that regular political terror has not returned to Italy. At least political chaos will return to Italy, when - what is not unlikely - a GrandCoalition will have to be made, with CentroDestra having a relative majority, but PD being the largest single party. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,824
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Post by Georg Ebner on Feb 11, 2018 10:09:10 GMT
Just saw a report (probably biased) claiming that Matteo Salvini has a good chance of becoming prime minister after the election on 4th March. What are the chances of that happening? Only when CentroDestra gains a majority (will happen rather not) and LN is the strongest faction within that group. Otherwise PD&FI&others relying on support from LN or M5S is most likely. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Feb 14, 2018 23:34:22 GMT
Just saw a report (probably biased) claiming that Matteo Salvini has a good chance of becoming prime minister after the election on 4th March. What are the chances of that happening? Only when CentroDestra gains a majority (will happen rather not) and LN is the strongest faction within that group. Otherwise PD&FI&others relying on support from LN or M5S is most likely. have M5S got a preference in the two coalitions or are they staying completely neutral till the horse trading begins? |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,824
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Post by Georg Ebner on Feb 15, 2018 18:06:39 GMT
Only when CentroDestra gains a majority (will happen rather not) and LN is the strongest faction within that group. Otherwise PD&FI&others relying on support from LN or M5S is most likely. have M5S got a preference in the two coalitions or are they staying completely neutral till the horse trading begins? I am no InSider, but i don't think, that they have any concrete plans. (Perhaps DiMaio privately?) |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,824
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Post by Georg Ebner on Feb 20, 2018 14:29:25 GMT
Distributing the 630 Camera-seats to the ~100 provinces (using the HighestRemainderMethod), the OutCome would have been: 2006:   2013:   |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Feb 20, 2018 22:59:15 GMT
I saw a reference to Five Star (movement not band) as "radically right-wing" today. Are they about to be forgotten by the Left-by-numbers types?
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 21, 2018 2:12:12 GMT
Apparently the electoral system has been changed since the last few elections where the party or coalition that won the most votes would automatically get an overall majority even if they'd only received say 30% of the popular vote.
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
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Post by Foggy on Feb 22, 2018 2:01:28 GMT
Apparently the electoral system has been changed since the last few elections where the party or coalition that won the most votes would automatically get an overall majority even if they'd only received say 30% of the popular vote. Not "apparently" – it's been discussed already upthread and yes, as you'll see the majority bonus has gone as the previous electoral law was declared unconstitutional. It is now likely that no single party or bloc will win a majority at this election. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Feb 22, 2018 11:51:48 GMT
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mazuz
Conservative
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Post by mazuz on Feb 24, 2018 13:56:34 GMT
Would normally be inclined to support the PD, as the only party that is not completely economically illiterate, and I particularly like Renzi. However, immigration has spiralled out of control in Italy during the last five years. Reducing these numbers needs to be priority no. 1, so I'm rooting for the Lega in this one.
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Post by Antiochian on Mar 2, 2018 15:31:00 GMT
Blackout period on polls seems to have included this thread! These numbers from the FT in mid-Feb showed exactly no change from the numbers published in the first post of this thread on month before. ig.ft.com/italy-poll-tracker/In itself interesting... |
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mboy
Liberal
Listen. Think. Speak.
Posts: 23,715
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Post by mboy on Mar 3, 2018 18:58:53 GMT
Amazed this is so quiet, given the impact it could have on Europe. Only development seems to be Forza gaining at expense of PD.
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