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Post by LDCaerdydd on Jul 17, 2012 8:46:59 GMT
I'm sure that's what people said about the Labour guy in Bradford a few months ago |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Jul 17, 2012 8:59:19 GMT
Clearly Labour will never win another by-election.
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Post by thirdchill on Jul 17, 2012 9:12:43 GMT
Given that labour have won this in every selection at least since 1945 (and probably before that), I suspect that yet another win is on the cards for them.
This seat is very different from Bradford West. Demographic is not the same, and George Galloway's poltiics would not resonate around Cardiff in the same way.
Plaid have had some strong performances in wales in by-elections in the past but Cardiff is one of their weakest areas in wales. Coming in 2nd would be a good achievement for them.
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Crimson King
Lib Dem
Be nice to each other and sing in tune
Posts: 9,842 
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Post by Crimson King on Jul 17, 2012 9:26:11 GMT
I'm sure that's what people said about the Labour guy in Bradford a few months ago It's a while since I lived in Cardiff, but I'm not sure the demographics are strictly comparable |
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Crimson King
Lib Dem
Be nice to each other and sing in tune
Posts: 9,842
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Post by Crimson King on Jul 17, 2012 9:27:23 GMT
great minds think alike
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Post by the_bullies on Jul 18, 2012 20:42:50 GMT
There have only been Mp's to the Cardiff South & Penarth seat one was the former Prime Minister Jim Callaghan & the other Alun Michael. Even it's predecessor seat Cardiff South was a Labour seat in the pre war Con-Lib coalition era it was Conservative but in 1929 was Labour. There are only 3 non Labour wards here 2 Tory & 1 Ukip no LibDem or Plaid. Labour have even started to make inroads in Penarth again so were pretty strong. Plaid will finish fourth or fifth behind Ukip.
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,774
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Post by john07 on Jul 19, 2012 0:26:53 GMT
There have only been Mp's to the Cardiff South & Penarth seat one was the former Prime Minister Jim Callaghan & the other Alun Michael. Even it's predecessor seat Cardiff South was a Labour seat in the pre war Con-Lib coalition era it was Conservative but in 1929 was Labour. You failed to mention Cardiff South East which was represented by Callaghan throughout its history from 1950 to 1983. In 1964, Callaghan was opposed by former England Cricket captain Ted Dexter. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 21, 2012 8:26:01 GMT
From the good ship Wikipedia, the prospective candidates announced so far:
Stephen DOUGHTY [Labour]
Robert GRIFFITHS [Communist]
Andrew JORDAN [Socialist Labour]
Bablin MOLIK [Liberal Democrat]
Luke NICHOLAS [Plaid Cymru]
Anthony SLAUGHTER [Green]
Craig WILLIAMS [Conservative]
Simon ZEIGLER [UKIP]
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 22, 2012 12:16:51 GMT
The Chancellor of the Exchequer has this day appointed Alun Edward Michael to be Steward and Bailiff of the Three Hundreds of Chiltern.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 22, 2012 18:01:55 GMT
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,589
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Post by cibwr on Oct 22, 2012 22:40:46 GMT
I think most think that Labour will win, but there might be stronger showings than people think for other parties, The Tories and Lib Dems will do worse than the general election, UKIP and Plaid better - the rest no where.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2012 10:39:37 GMT
Rosie Winterton has moved the writ for Cardiff South and Penarth in the House about two minutes ago.
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Post by slicesofjim on Oct 23, 2012 20:57:59 GMT
On the basis of that video, if I lived there I'd be voting for Rob Griffiths.
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,589
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Post by cibwr on Oct 23, 2012 21:39:22 GMT
On the basis of that video, if I lived there I'd be voting for Rob Griffiths. Rob is a nice guy... but if I still lived there I'd be voting Plaid - who really are working hard for every vote. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 24, 2012 9:39:51 GMT
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,589
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Post by cibwr on Oct 27, 2012 7:43:57 GMT
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Post by markgoodair on Oct 29, 2012 18:53:42 GMT
How much will Labour being in power in Cardiff effect their result?
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,589
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Post by cibwr on Oct 29, 2012 23:46:04 GMT
Very difficult to say, their plans to build on greenfield sites are more likely to have an affect on their votes in the North and West than it will in Cardiff South and Penarth.
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Post by Andrew_S on Oct 30, 2012 8:13:46 GMT
Was Penarth in the Barry constituency before 1983?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 30, 2012 9:01:52 GMT
Yes
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