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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 6, 2018 23:48:26 GMT
Didn't know the ALP was standing.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2018 23:51:23 GMT
I went with a majority of 15-20% - we'll soon see if I'm wrong I think without UKIP the Conservatives ought to pick up a few votes.Oh lawd, this old line again... Seriously, I know this is a by-election and all, but didn't the events of last do anything to disabuse people of this notion...?!Anyway, I think the only reason why I'm managing to resist the urge to drill my own brains out is because that would require me to go out into the garage, and I'm feeling a tad lazy.  The Tories were up in Alyn & Deeside in 2017 though. |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Feb 6, 2018 23:54:20 GMT
The Tories were up in Alyn & Deeside in 2017 though. Conservatives were up 8.5% and Labour were up 12.1%. |
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Feb 6, 2018 23:55:24 GMT
Oh lawd, this old line again... Seriously, I know this is a by-election and all, but didn't the events of last do anything to disabuse people of this notion...?!Anyway, I think the only reason why I'm managing to resist the urge to drill my own brains out is because that would require me to go out into the garage, and I'm feeling a tad lazy. The Tories were up in Alyn & Deeside in 2017 though. With Labour up even more, and the fact is that we simply don't know where the former UKIP voters went; point being that UKIP's collapse has not resulted in some nationwide boon for the Tories, nor should we assume that all Kippers even desire a Conservative/Labour government (delete where appropriate). |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2018 23:55:51 GMT
The Tories were up in Alyn & Deeside in 2017 though. Conservatives were up 8.5% and Labour were up 12.1%. Exactly. The Tories will be up. Labour might well be up more of course. |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2018 23:55:53 GMT
Declaration "imminent"
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Feb 6, 2018 23:57:58 GMT
ETA being somewhen in the next hour. For now I stand by my prediction that it'll be somewhen between 12AM and 12:30. |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Feb 7, 2018 0:01:29 GMT
Conservatives were up 8.5% and Labour were up 12.1%. Exactly. The Tories will be up. Labour might well be up more of course. Excellent analysis 🙄 |
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 7, 2018 0:03:50 GMT
Live video from the count:
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Feb 7, 2018 0:04:58 GMT
Declaration expected at ~12:15.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 7, 2018 0:07:50 GMT
Sharing the result with the candidates and agents just now. Not long.
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Feb 7, 2018 0:08:02 GMT
Looks like the candidates are being given the provisional results.
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Feb 7, 2018 0:09:44 GMT
All the candidates have just saken Jack Sargent’s hand.
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thetop
Labour
[k4r]
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Post by thetop on Feb 7, 2018 0:10:53 GMT
Here we go...
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Post by finsobruce on Feb 7, 2018 0:12:17 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 7, 2018 0:14:04 GMT
ALYN AND DEESIDE
SARGEANT, Jack (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 11,267
ATHERTON, Sarah Elizabeth (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate / Ymgeisydd Plaid Geidwadol Cymru) 4,722
LALEK, Donna Louise (Welsh Liberal Democrats / Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol Cymru) 1,176
HARPER, Carrie (Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales) 1,059
REES, Duncan (The Green Party / Plaid Werdd) 353
Rejected ballots:
Want of Official Mark 0
Voting for more than one 14
Writing or mark 1
Unmarked/void for uncertainty 24
Total 39
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Post by tamar on Feb 7, 2018 0:14:18 GMT
Someone's getting excited about the result: Didn't know the ALP was standing. |
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Feb 7, 2018 0:14:23 GMT
Labour HOLD
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 7, 2018 0:15:48 GMT
Easy LAB HOLD yes.
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Feb 7, 2018 0:15:49 GMT
ATHERTON, Sarah Elizabeth (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate / Ymgeisydd Plaid Geidwadol Cymru) 4,722 HARPER, Carrie (Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales) 1,059 LALEK, Donna Louise (Welsh Liberal Democrats / Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol Cymru) 1,176 REES, Duncan (The Green Party / Plaid Werdd) 353 SARGEANT, Jack (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 11,267An improvement on our 2016 total, I note... |
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