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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Nov 7, 2017 15:03:00 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2017 16:37:44 GMT
Bloody hell.
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Harry Hayfield
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Nov 7, 2017 22:16:19 GMT
Having just watched the report on the BBC News, I find myself thinking of the circumstances that caused the Paisley South by-election of 1997 (i.e rumours against a sitting member of an elected parliament) which led to the suspension of another elected official.
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neilm
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Post by neilm on Nov 8, 2017 14:50:20 GMT
In the case of McMaster, was it ever established that he was sleeping with Tommy Graham's staff member?
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
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Post by CatholicLeft on Nov 8, 2017 19:35:37 GMT
In the case of McMaster, was it ever established that he was sleeping with Tommy Graham's staff membe6r? Seriously neilm, who cares?
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neilm
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Post by neilm on Nov 8, 2017 19:43:00 GMT
In the case of McMaster, was it ever established that he was sleeping with Tommy Graham's staff membe6r? Seriously neilm, who cares? An interesting footnote in history. I don't remember if the internal Labour report was ever made public.
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Nov 20, 2017 14:44:29 GMT
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Nov 20, 2017 15:07:15 GMT
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Harry Hayfield
Green
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Nov 20, 2017 22:00:04 GMT
Which would suggest the latest it could be held (and therefore the most likely date) is February 6th 2018
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 20, 2017 23:17:18 GMT
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Harry Hayfield
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Nov 21, 2017 8:29:43 GMT
As there were no boundary changes in Alyn and Deeside in 2007 those tallies do not have to adjusted and makes me think that the main opposition to Labour is in fact the Lib Dems (as the Conservative vote seems remarkably static)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 21, 2017 10:27:37 GMT
Is it crass to start talking about psephological points yet or not?
I note that UKIP got 17% here last time.
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Nov 21, 2017 10:36:41 GMT
Is it crass to start talking about psephological points yet or not? No, but only post if you've got something that will actually add to this thread. I note that UKIP got 17% here last time. And 2.5% in June 2017 (down from 17.6% in 2015)
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 21, 2017 10:57:49 GMT
As there were no boundary changes in Alyn and Deeside in 2007 those tallies do not have to adjusted and makes me think that the main opposition to Labour is in fact the Lib Dems (as the Conservative vote seems remarkably static) But always smaller and even more static!!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 21, 2017 11:22:28 GMT
The Conservatives got 40% in the Westminster seat in June so I'd be surprised if they couldn't get some increase.
Should be a straightforward Labour hold.
The Conservatives never won here unlike in Delyn in the 80s.
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Post by gwynthegriff on Nov 21, 2017 12:12:55 GMT
February would be appropriate, otherwise campaigning could potentially overlap within the week either side of his funeral. I would just point out that Gwyneth Dunwoody's funeral took place during the byelection campaign. Campaigning was suspended for the day.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 21, 2017 18:12:55 GMT
I'm slipping, or more accurately, out of practice, that graph goes up to 120 because Excel is bonkers, and I have just noticed. Hey, were they ever entirely accurate graphs? No. Still, I have spotted that one, folks.
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Post by Huw Pritchard on Nov 22, 2017 21:42:19 GMT
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Dec 4, 2017 10:22:20 GMT
The funeral has taken place, emotions in Cardiff Bay and in Labour are still high and there are still lots of unanswered questions.
I'd expect the by-election to be formally called this week or at the very latest next week, which is the last sitting week before Christmas.
Here's some speculation on the Labour candidate:
Bernie Attridge is the deputy leader of Flintshire Council and described Carl as his best friend. He's publicly called for Carwyn to quit as FM, and has also questioned his own future in the Labour party as a result of the what's happened over the last few weeks.
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Post by Merseymike on Dec 4, 2017 11:51:15 GMT
I sincerely hope that Welsh Labour will have the sense to shortlist the candidates the local party want. And to accept the fact that Carwyn Jones should stand down.
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