Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2018 22:26:41 GMT
I've got a nasty feeling about this one. No particular reason or justification, but this has all the hallmarks of a repeat of Pallion. I’m not so sure, in the poll way back in November/December I voted for a 30% Labour majority. I had still thought that would happen. With an “obscenely low” turnout I’ll probably be wrong I suppose. |
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Feb 6, 2018 22:26:48 GMT
BBC are reporting a postal vote turn out of 61% which is apparently lower than the PV turnout in 2016. Lower turnout is pretty much par for the course with regards to by-elections, so nothing really surprising about that... |
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Feb 6, 2018 22:35:02 GMT
Turnout could be below 30% apparently.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,730
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 6, 2018 22:39:45 GMT
I've got a nasty feeling about this one. No particular reason or justification, but this has all the hallmarks of a repeat of Pallion. In being a Labour loss, or a LD win? I'd love to see the odds on the latter. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 6, 2018 22:40:02 GMT
Live report on BBC One Wales in Wales Today now.
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Feb 6, 2018 22:43:05 GMT
Ok, who wants to make predictions about the declaration time? Based on the hearsay I've seen, I'm going to guess at somewhen between midnight and 12:30.
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 6, 2018 22:53:55 GMT
Oh, is this tonight? I had no idea.
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 6, 2018 23:04:07 GMT
Britain Elects are at the count tonight.
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Post by swanarcadian on Feb 6, 2018 23:13:22 GMT
Turnout could be below 30% apparently. Even one or two of us on this forum didn't realise this was tonight, so I wouldn't be surprised. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2018 23:16:44 GMT
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,427
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Post by iain on Feb 6, 2018 23:18:03 GMT
Turnout could be below 30% apparently. Even one or two of us on this forum didn't realise this was tonight, so I wouldn't be surprised. Turnout is 29.08% |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2018 23:19:24 GMT
I went with a majority of 15-20% - we'll soon see if I'm wrong
I think without UKIP the Conservatives ought to pick up a few votes.
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Feb 6, 2018 23:20:25 GMT
Roger Scully says it looks to be a very comfortable Labour win.
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Feb 6, 2018 23:24:51 GMT
I went with a majority of 15-20% - we'll soon see if I'm wrong I think without UKIP the Conservatives ought to pick up a few votes.Oh lawd, this old line again... Seriously, I know this is a by-election and all, but didn't the events of last do anything to disabuse people of this notion...?!Anyway, I think the only reason why I'm managing to resist the urge to drill my own brains out is because that would require me to go out into the garage, and I'm feeling a tad lazy.  |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2018 23:25:35 GMT
Turnout of 29.1%
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Feb 6, 2018 23:27:03 GMT
Far from disastrous then. |
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Feb 6, 2018 23:28:46 GMT
Far from disastrous then. When compared with the 2016 turnout, that's a pretty decent retention rate, for the immediate lack of a better term... |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2018 23:29:55 GMT
Far from disastrous then. Beating yesterday's Teignbridge Town Council turnout by 0.8 points. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Feb 6, 2018 23:42:54 GMT
Far from disastrous then. Often the way - these early rumours of catastrophic turnouts are usually rubbish. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 6, 2018 23:43:09 GMT
Someone's getting excited about the result:
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