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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 4, 2017 9:16:47 GMT
Milton Regis turnout 23.4%.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 4, 2017 9:24:35 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 4, 2017 9:29:20 GMT
KING'S LYNN AND WEST NORFOLK St Margaret with St Nicholas
Michael John Taylor (The Conservative Party Candidate) 253
Francis Leonard Bone (Labour Party) 210
Helen Margaret Faith Russell-Johnson (Liberal Democrats) 173
Robert Archer (Green Party) 63
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 4, 2017 9:30:10 GMT
Exciting results tonight for Corbyn supporters. *Labour Well said  |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 4, 2017 9:33:57 GMT
SWALE Milton Regis
Tony Winckless (Labour Party) 573
Kane Blackwell (The Conservative Party Candidate) 255
Tony Clark (Liberal Democrat) 86
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 4, 2017 9:36:58 GMT
That's taken the shine off, the King's Lynn result. First seat lost by Labour since the general election. The LDs seem to have helped the Tories. Indeed, first time they have even stood there since 2003. Still, we should have the "vote LibDem, get Tory" leaflets ready in 2019  Its actually our first byelection loss since CC election day in May. Perhaps the circumstances of the vacancy were a factor? |
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Post by marksenior on Aug 4, 2017 9:40:05 GMT
No-one's making any grand assumptions, but with over 21,000 people voting Labour in E Worthing & Shoreham in the general election it's clearly a target seat on these boundaries. The old Shoreham seat would have been even better I think. The seat is on the list of top 75 nationwide targets. As such, it will receive resources both financial & human, and Labour's human resources are large now. Indeed I'd say one or 2 of the gains the party enjoyed in the general election could be mainly down to superior ground game (Ipswich comes to mind). Labour activists in the Brighton & Hove seats (2 of which now seem safe for Labour, and the other unwinnable while Lucas remains), and no doubt some in nearby seats such as Arundel & South Downs & Lewes, will be working the constituency from now on. Of course the Tories could survive there, but I'd say that their situation is very perilous now. The other top 75 target in West Sussex is Crawley which is also surrounded by non-target seats. In East Sussex it's clearly Hastings & Rye. The old Shoreham seat would certainly not have been better than the current boundaries . It was an outer ring seat around Worthing of strongly Conservative wards attached to the Adur Eastern block generally not Conservative historically . Until the 1960s Lancing was , of course , a Railway Works town with a strong Labour vote . |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 4, 2017 9:42:19 GMT
SWALE Milton Regis Tony Winckless (Labour Party) 573 Kane Blackwell (The Conservative Party Candidate) 255 Tony Clark (Liberal Democrat) 86 UKIP?? |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 4, 2017 9:47:38 GMT
No-one's making any grand assumptions, but with over 21,000 people voting Labour in E Worthing & Shoreham in the general election it's clearly a target seat on these boundaries. The old Shoreham seat would have been even better I think. The seat is on the list of top 75 nationwide targets. As such, it will receive resources both financial & human, and Labour's human resources are large now. Indeed I'd say one or 2 of the gains the party enjoyed in the general election could be mainly down to superior ground game (Ipswich comes to mind). Labour activists in the Brighton & Hove seats (2 of which now seem safe for Labour, and the other unwinnable while Lucas remains), and no doubt some in nearby seats such as Arundel & South Downs & Lewes, will be working the constituency from now on. Of course the Tories could survive there, but I'd say that their situation is very perilous now. The other top 75 target in West Sussex is Crawley which is also surrounded by non-target seats. In East Sussex it's clearly Hastings & Rye. Clearly it's a seat where Labour have strengthened hugely since 2010. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 4, 2017 9:51:51 GMT
SWALE Milton Regis Tony Winckless (Labour Party) 573 Kane Blackwell (The Conservative Party Candidate) 255 Tony Clark (Liberal Democrat) 86 UKIP?? Richard Palmer (UK Independence Party) 151 |
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922 
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Aug 4, 2017 9:57:30 GMT
Goodness me, if that Margate Central result is as reported then Kent Online need to be told:
"Labour has won another seat on Thanet council after it took the Margate Central ward from Ukip. The party scored a decisive victory although the turnout was low at just 21%. Labour candidate Ian Venables polled 454 out of 789 votes, with a 57% share of the vote, with the Conservatives in second place with 190 votes and Ukip third with 52 votes. The by-election was triggered by the resignation of Jeff Elenor, who was voted in in 2015 when Ukip took control of the council. He has moved away from the area. The result leaves Ukip, which saw its share of the vote slump by 25%, with 26 councillors and the other parties with 29 members. It is expected to continue to run the council but it can now be out-voted should the opposition parties join forces. The by-election follows a defection last month by the former UKIP councillor Beverley Martin to the Conservatives. The Lib Dems polled 33 votes and the Green Party with 23"
There is not a single mention of those two Independents at all.
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473
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Post by peterl on Aug 4, 2017 10:27:03 GMT
Very disappointing results for UKIP, in Thanet in particular. I am at least pleased they went Labour not Tory. The Worthing result is fantastic, and shows Labour making inroads into long standing Tory territory. Looking forward to Labour providing more of an opposition on Southern councils.
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Post by troubadour on Aug 4, 2017 10:29:07 GMT
The Milton Regis result shows a 25% increase in the Labour share of the vote which is very similar to Margate. All this is encouraging to Labour in Kent, where there is a better collective approach than in the past. The UKIP vote in Milton was better than Margate but still a 15% drop in voter share. The Tory vote of 24% is , I think, 11% down on the 2015 result and is no more than the ward core vote, lessa little. The Lib Dems, it seemed to us spent a fortune on a continuous stream of glossy leaflets and a tabloid paper but garnered only 86 votes. The idea of getting a long ago Councillor to endorse the candidate can't have done any thing for the candidate. This will be a Labour/Tory battleground in future. There is more of a core Tory vote than there was 10 years ago. This result,along with Margate and Thanet is a great step forward for Labour.
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Post by andrew111 on Aug 4, 2017 11:17:54 GMT
That's taken the shine off, the King's Lynn result. First seat lost by Labour since the general election. The LDs seem to have helped the Tories. Only a technical loss (from a very safe distance!) since the Tories topped the poll last time. It does look as if the Greens "helped Labour win" last time as well, since the Tory vote seems to have split their way much more than the Labour one.. Voting % from Britain Elects: CON: 36.2% (-6.6) LAB: 30.0% (-3.1) LDEM: 24.7% (+24.7) GRN: 9.0% (-15.1) Not sure how they calculated the double election % last time but on those figures the Lib Dems HELPED Labour by taking more off the Tories! |
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Post by nigelashton on Aug 4, 2017 11:25:28 GMT
KING'S LYNN AND WEST NORFOLK St Margaret with St Nicholas Michael John Taylor (The Conservative Party Candidate) 253 Francis Leonard Bone (Labour Party) 210 Helen Margaret Faith Russell-Johnson (Liberal Democrats) 173 Robert Archer (Green Party) 63 I assume the Lib Dem candidate is related to a former MP for Inverness |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 4, 2017 11:28:34 GMT
No, because he was Russell Johnston.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Aug 4, 2017 12:35:07 GMT
That's taken the shine off, the King's Lynn result. First seat lost by Labour since the general election. The LDs seem to have helped the Tories. Indeed, first time they have even stood there since 2003. Still, we should have the "vote LibDem, get Tory" leaflets ready in 2019 Its actually our first byelection loss since CC election day in May. Perhaps the circumstances of the vacancy were a factor? And it's the Fens. The leave vote was large and vocal there. |
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Sharon
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 2,564 
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Post by Sharon on Aug 4, 2017 13:44:36 GMT
Labour HOLD in Shelthorpe, Charnwood. Labour GAIN over UKIP in Margate Central, Thanet.Which means that Thanet goes from UKIP control to NOC. |
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 4, 2017 13:50:31 GMT
Charnwood, Loughborough Shelthorpe - Labour hold | Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | | Labour | 595 | 45.5% | +5.8% | +4.7% | -9.8% | -9.5% | Conservative | 591 | 45.2% | +0.1% | +2.7% | +0.5% | +0.1% | Liberal Democrat | 93 | 7.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP | 29 | 2.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green |
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| -15.3% | -16.6% |
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| Total votes | 1,308 |
| 36% | 39% | 67% | 69% |
Swing Conservative to Labour ~ 2¾% / 1% since 2015 but Labour to Conservative ~ 5% since 2011 Council now 41 Conservative, 9 Labour, 1 Liberal Democrat, 1 Independent Kings Lynn & West Norfolk, St Margarets with St Nicholas - Conservative gain from Labour| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | | Conservative | 253 | 36.2% | -6.6% | -5.7% | +6.2% | +7.4% | Labour | 210 | 30.0% | -3.1% | -6.2% | -2.1% | -1.0% | Liberal Democrat | 173 | 24.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green | 63 | 9.0% | -15.1% | -12.9% | -9.9% | -11.1% | Independent |
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| -18.9% | -20.0% | Total votes | 699 |
| 42% | 47% | 50% | 53% |
Swing either Conservative to Labour 1¾% or Labour to Conservative ¼% since 2015 but Labour to Conservative ~ 4% since 2011 Council now 51 Conservative, 7 Labour, 4 Independent
Sevenoaks, Penshurst, Fordscombe & Chiddingstone - Conservative hold
| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 | 2011 result | since 2007 | Conservative | 438 | 58.8% | +5.5% | unopposed | -0.6% | Liberal Democrat | 253 | 34.0% | +0.2% |
| -6.6% | Labour | 54 | 7.2% | from nowhere |
| from nowhere | Green |
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| -12.9% |
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| Total votes | 725 |
| 50% |
| 77% |
Swing Liberal Democrat to Conservative 2.6% since 2015 and 3% since 2007
Council now 48 Conservative, 2 Liberal Democrat, 2 UKIP, 1 Labour, 1 Independent
Swale, Milton Regis - Labour gain from UKIP
| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | Labour | 573 | 53.8% | +25.1% | +26.2% | Conservative | 255 | 23.9% | -9.8% | -10.4% | UKIP | 151 | 14.2% | -14.7% | -15.2% | Liberal Democrat | 86 | 8.1% | -0.5% | -0.6% | Total votes | 1,065 |
| 36% | 37% |
Swing Conservative to Labour ~17½% / 18¼% since 2015
- UKIP to Labour ~ 20% since 2015
Council now 32 Conservative, 8 UKIP, 5 Labour, 2 Independent
Thanet, Margate Central - Labour gain from UKIP
| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | | Labour | 454 | 57.1% | +25.2% | +26.6% | -13.1% | -14.9% | Conservative | 190 | 24.1% | +3.1% | +3.4% | -5.2% | -3.4% | UKIP | 52 | 6.6% | -23.8% | -25.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 33 | 4.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | No Description | 24 | 3.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green | 23 | 2.9% | -8.1% | -7.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent | 13 | 1.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Reality |
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| -3.0% | -3.4% |
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| Independent |
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| -2.2% | -2.5% |
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| Total votes | 789 |
| 38% | 41% | 82% | 84% |
Swing Conservative to Labour, if meaningful, ~ 11% since 2015 but Labour to Conservative 4% / 5¾% since 2011 - statistically more meaningful - UKIP to Labour ~ 25% since 2015 Council now 27 UKIP, 21 Conservative, 6 Labour, 2 Independent Worthing, Marine - Labour gain from Conservative| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2016 | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2012 | | Labour | 1,032 | 47.4% | +27.8% | +33.0% | +35.7% | +28.8% | Conservative | 846 | 38.8% | -6.4% | -10.8% | -4.7% | -11.0% | Liberal Democrat | 246 | 11.3% | +1.1% | +1.1% | +3.9% | -2.2% | Green | 55 | 2.5% | -6.2% | -7.3% | -7.8% | from nowhere | UKIP |
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| -16.4% | -16.0% | -27.1% | -18.1% | Total votes | 2,179 |
| 102% | 47% | 85% | 113% |
Swing, if totally meaningful, Conservative to Labour ~ 17% since 2016, 22% since 2015 and 20% since both 2014 & 2012 Council now 30 Conservative, 2 Liberal Democrat, 2 UKIP, 1 Labour, 1 Independent, 1 Green
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Post by nigelashton on Aug 4, 2017 13:57:45 GMT
No, because he was Russell Johns ton. Of course, so he was. Bit of a coincidence though. |
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