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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 31, 2017 19:00:28 GMT
Charnwood BC, Loughborough Shelthorpe - Labour resigned - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP
Kings Lynn & West Norfolk BC, St Margarets with St Nicholas - Labour resigned - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, Green
Sevenoaks DC, Penshurst, Fordscombe & Chiddingstone - Conservative died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, LD
Swale BC, Milton Regis - UKIP died - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP
Thanet DC, Margate Central - UKIP sitting as Independent resigned - 7 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, Green, UKIP, Ind, No Description
Worthing BC, Marine - Conservative resigned - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, Green
With thanks to Middleenglander on another thread, and in anticipation to whoever can add useful detail.
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Post by keithn on Jul 31, 2017 20:33:14 GMT
Swale -Milton Regis - promises to be interesting. All four parties have worked hard.
Labour's candidate is Tony Winckless, former councillor 2011-15, lives in the ward and can be considered the favourite.
The Lib Dems have put up Tony Clark, a former councillor in Devon. A Lib Dem was a councillor in the ward for over 20 years until 2011.
The Conservative candidate is Kane Blackwell, 18 years old, who is a former member of the Youth Parliament.
UKIP are defending the seat with Richard Palmer, former parliamentary candidate who came second in Sittingbourne and Sheppey in 2015.
It's a double member ward - the other councillor is a Conservative. The ward was last fought on the day of the 2015 general election so turnout was much higher than usual and influenced by that day.
This time, as the voters go to the polls for the third time in three months, we are expecting a very low turnout.
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Post by troubadour on Jul 31, 2017 21:12:58 GMT
A Council by election in August is very likely to have a low turnout but all 4 parties have really stretched themselves and we may see a slightly better turnout than predicted.
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 1, 2017 7:17:46 GMT
Sevenoaks:Penshust ,Fordscombe & Chiidingstone, is another Kent August election where I gather quite a lot of effort is being expended, with Conservative, Lib Dem and Labour candidates fight it out where again the last election is the somewhat misleading 2015 result , which was
Con 790, Lib Dem 501, Green 191, no Labour candidate.
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 1, 2017 7:54:48 GMT
Loughborough Shelthorpe in Charnwood Borough looks like another neighbour war (didn't we have one of those last month?) as the Con candidate RV Ford lives at 108 Highland Drive Loughborough and his Lib Dem opponent A Guerrero(!) lives at no 110! Labour candidate RA Huddlestone also is in Loughborough but the UKIP candidate A McWilliam comes from Quorn. Maybe his fox has been shot?
2015 :Con 1653 &1208, Lab 1454 & 1294, Green 560 : 1 Con & 1 Lab elected
2011: Lab 1078 &998, Con 870& 832: Lab elected x2
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Post by marksenior on Aug 1, 2017 7:57:15 GMT
Charnwood Loughborough Shelthorpe
2015 Con 1653/1208 Lab 1454/1294 Green 560
2011 Lab 1078/998 Con 870/832
2007 Lab 870/850 Con 596/561 BNP 517/485
2003 Lab 508/501 Con 404/386
Kings Lynn/West Norfolk St Margarets w St Nicholas
2015 Con 714/531 Lab 554/523 Green 402/250
2011 Lab 448/368 Con 418/337 Green 264 Ind 263
2007 Con 595/529 Lab 453/423
2003 Lab 535/523 Con 446/378 LDem 374/358
Sevenoaks Penshurst etc
2015 Con 790 LDem 501 Green 191
2011 Con Unopposed
2007 Con 574 LDem 392
2003 Con 442 Lab 186
Swale Milton Regis
2015 Boundary Changes Con 993 UKIP 849 Lab 845/754 LDem 252
2011 Lab 527/491 LDem 353/227 Con 331/289 OMRLP 42
2008 LDem 428 Lab 370 Con 240 Ind 57 OMRLP 46
2007 Lab 504 LDem 377 Con 217 Ind 65 OMRLP 47
2004 LDem 568 Lab 365 Con 219 OMRLP 57
2003 Lab 489 LDem 338 Con 141 OMRLP 31
2002 LDem 564/523 Lab 475/457 Con 146/137
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Post by marksenior on Aug 1, 2017 8:15:09 GMT
Thanet Margate Central
2015 Lab 580/497 UKIP 639/590 Con 441/348 Green 232/159 Reality 64 Ind 47
2011 Lab 682/570 Con 283/235
2007 Lab 608/551 Con 192/185 Ind 153 BNP 116
2003 Lab 390/353 Con 354/299 Ind 108
Worthing Marine
2016 Con 961 Lab 415 UKIP 348 LDem 217 Green 185
2015 Con 2296 UKIP 741 Lab 663 LDem 472 Green 455
2014 Con 1114 UKIP 692 Lab 298 Green 264 LDem 189
2012 Con 959 Lab 357 UKIP 349 LDem 260
2011 Con 1614 Lab 465 LDem 448 UKIP 312
2010 Con 2339/1981 LDem 1467/1339 UKIP 510
2008 Con 1351 LDem 508 UKIP 278
2007 Con 1511 LDem 344 Green 201 UKIP 171 Lab 155
2006 Con 1489 LDem 383 Green 271 Lab 173 UKIP 166
2004 Con 1713/1640/1637 LDem 586/499/469 Green 488 Lab 290
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 1, 2017 12:15:53 GMT
Swale -Milton Regis - promises to be interesting. All four parties have worked hard. Labour's candidate is Tony Winckless, former councillor 2011-15, lives in the ward and can be considered the favourite. The Lib Dems have put up Tony Clark, a former councillor in Devon. A Lib Dem was a councillor in the ward for over 20 years until 2011. The Conservative candidate is Kane Blackwell, 18 years old, who is a former member of the Youth Parliament I do like the concept of a former parliamentarian aged 18  |
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Post by carlton43 on Aug 1, 2017 12:23:14 GMT
Would be surprised if Labour fail to take Margate Central. I suspect that Penshurst may be slightly beyond us..... If you win Penshurst it is truly 'Game Over' for us. |
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 1, 2017 14:35:42 GMT
Would be surprised if Labour fail to take Margate Central. I suspect that Penshurst may be slightly beyond us..... If you win Penshurst it is truly 'Game Over' for us. You will note that the Labour candidate for this ward is resident in the Red Republic of Penshurst whereas the Con and Lib Dem candidates come from the Chiddingstone side f the ward |
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Post by carlton43 on Aug 1, 2017 15:50:27 GMT
If you win Penshurst it is truly 'Game Over' for us. You will note that the Labour candidate for this ward is resident in the Red Republic of Penshurst whereas the Con and Lib Dem candidates come from the Chiddingstone side f the ward It is a long time since I was there YP. Has it changed that much? |
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 1, 2017 16:44:21 GMT
You will note that the Labour candidate for this ward is resident in the Red Republic of Penshurst whereas the Con and Lib Dem candidates come from the Chiddingstone side f the ward (hear the horror in that query!) Not really, Carlton, but a good wind up to compare with Aggers on Boycott |
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Post by carlton43 on Aug 1, 2017 16:51:07 GMT
It is a long time since I was there YP. Has it changed that much? (hear the horror in that query!) Not really, Carlton, but a good wind up to compare with Aggers on Boycott That was great hunting country and for me one epitome of 'real England' as it ought to be. |
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Pimpernal
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Post by Pimpernal on Aug 1, 2017 16:55:01 GMT
Swale Milton Regis 2008 LDem 428 Lab 370 Con 240 Ind 57 OMRLP 46 Fascinatingly this result is the focus of a bar chart on the Lib Dems leaflet this time... |
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 1, 2017 18:39:42 GMT
Swale Milton Regis 2008 LDem 428 Lab 370 Con 240 Ind 57 OMRLP 46 Fascinatingly this result is the focus of a bar chart on the Lib Dems leaflet this time... yes 2004 would have been better, wouldn't it? I suppose they were going back to how it was before the rise and collapse of UKIP, but seriously I have to say I deplore misleading bar charts as much as anybody - not much use if they become risible anyway. |
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Post by andrew111 on Aug 2, 2017 13:26:52 GMT
Fascinatingly this result is the focus of a bar chart on the Lib Dems leaflet this time... yes 2004 would have been better, wouldn't it? I suppose they were going back to how it was before the rise and collapse of UKIP, but seriously I have to say I deplore misleading bar charts as much as anybody - not much use if they become risible anyway. Well, provided the bar chart is to scale and dated it is a perfectly legitimate piece of information. It is up to other Parties to highlight data that suits them better, and if UKIP are not highlighting the 2015 result they have no clue at all! Voters see through such things however and unless either UKIP or the Lib Dems have an exceptional local candidate neither are not going to win here at the moment.. |
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 2, 2017 18:24:56 GMT
Not really, Carlton, but a good wind up to compare with Aggers on Boycott That was great hunting country and for me one epitome of 'real England' as it ought to be. Shades of Siegfried Sassoon? thought that world died exactly 100 years ago? |
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Post by carlton43 on Aug 2, 2017 22:12:14 GMT
That was great hunting country and for me one epitome of 'real England' as it ought to be. Shades of Siegfried Sassoon? thought that world died exactly 100 years ago? 'Memoirs of a Fox-Hunting Man'.............................Sigh!! |
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 3, 2017 6:42:19 GMT
Shades of Siegfried Sassoon? thought that world died exactly 100 years ago? 'Memoirs of a Fox-Hunting Man'.............................Sigh!! I had a copy of those memoirs in my collection of great first world war books (much better in the war bits than the fox-hunting bits imo)- a collection including Goodbye to All That and All Quiet on the Western Front. They were all lost in my house fire in 1997 which took over 1000 volumes- the house was replaced by Seeboard whose mains cable was responsible, but the library was irreplaceable. Of course if you are nostalgic for the days of feudalism in deeply rural Kent you would expect the Steetfeilds of Chiddingstone Castle to come out on top, and Richard Streetfeild the current head of the Streetfeild family (I have to resist the temptation to miscorrect that spelling) is indeed the Lib Dem candidate again. |
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Post by marksenior on Aug 3, 2017 7:46:29 GMT
A note on the Worthing Marine by election today .
This ward is next door to the one in which I live indeed the boundary runs down my road and the opposite side of Grand Avenue is in Marine ward .
Labour have fielded their GE candidate Rebecca Cooper and have put in more effort than all the other parties together . Last Saturday they were out in force at the local parade of shops and I had a brief chat with the Labour candidate , a pleasant enough young woman who would probably make a decent councillor .
Labour seem to have convinced themselves they can win this by election on the back of a good show at the G E . There are certainly wards that are now winnable for Labour in Worthing if the student vote turns out but Marine is not one of them so I expect Labour will get a decent result but be disappointed in it themselves . Strangely the only stakeboard/poster I have seen is a Lib Dem which is one more than seen for all parties at the recent GE .
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