dizz
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Post by dizz on Mar 30, 2017 20:38:41 GMT
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Post by markgoodair on Oct 29, 2017 7:24:03 GMT
New elections have been called . Polling day will be 25th November.
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Post by greenhert on Oct 29, 2017 17:11:26 GMT
Why have they been called? Queensland's state assembly's term is not close to expiry yet.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 29, 2017 17:18:07 GMT
I've moved the above two posts to this thread from the older Queensland elections thread, so that state discussions stay consolidated here.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Oct 29, 2017 18:16:39 GMT
Why have they been called? Queensland's state assembly's term is not close to expiry yet. The government lost a member which brought them to level with the LNP which wouldn't have been sustainable. On a more tactical level, the LNP primary vote is down quite a bit due to One Nation polling around 15-20%, so Labour could win a few seats (even a majority on their own) by standing still thanks to One Nation getting in the top 2. |
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Post by greenhert on Oct 29, 2017 18:26:02 GMT
Especially with Queensland being the most right-wing/reactionary state in Australia and having once elected 11 One Nation members to its state assembly in 1998. One Nation would never poll even close to 20% in any other Australian state/territory. It also had a notorious premier called Johannes Bjelke-Petersen.
The Greens have their chances as well, though, in inner Brisbane. South Brisbane is their best bet with the abolition of Mount Coot-tha in the 2017 redistribution (divided between Maiwar and Cooper).
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Oct 29, 2017 18:30:11 GMT
Why have they been called? Queensland's state assembly's term is not close to expiry yet. The last Queensland general election took place in January 2015, and at the time the state still had 3-year terms. Going in November of this year still counts as an early call, but not a massive one. At times during the current Parliament, waiting until 2018 had not been widely expected. |
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Oct 29, 2017 23:33:49 GMT
One Nation may get up to half a dozen seats but need to be closer to 20% not 15% as they appear to be heading. Full preferencing is a double edged sword; they effectively need more votes to win but at the same time could benefit from LNP preferences should they put One Nation above Labour. I doubt the Green will win anything. With them stagnating since 2015, allowing for them to be doing much better in Brisbane means they would need to be absolutely tanking elsewhere.
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Oct 30, 2017 0:26:08 GMT
The Greens won The Gabba ward on Brisbane City Council last year (yes, as in the cricket ground). The areas covered by that ward are all in the South Brisbane seat, so I'm not sure what greenhert has heard if he thinks they're in with a better chance in Mount Coot-tha instead. With single-member constituencies, even being on 15% might not be enough for One Nation to win anything at all. All it's likely to mean is that one (or both) of the main two parties will be massively over-represented compared to their share of first-preference votes. |
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Post by markgoodair on Nov 11, 2017 9:23:54 GMT
The latest bizarre allegations from One Nation is that children are being taught how to masterbate as part of Queenslands Safe School programme which they have pleged to get rid of if elected into government.
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froome
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Post by froome on Nov 11, 2017 9:37:18 GMT
Well if you bate masters, you are bound to get some angry responses from them.  |
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hedgehog
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Post by hedgehog on Nov 18, 2017 10:05:46 GMT
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Nov 18, 2017 11:31:57 GMT
The latest bizarre allegations from One Nation is that children are being taught how to masterbate as part of Queenslands Safe School programme which they have pleged to get rid of if elected into government. Wankers. |
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 18, 2017 13:28:36 GMT
The latest bizarre allegations from One Nation is that children are being taught how to masterbate as part of Queenslands Safe School programme which they have pleged to get rid of if elected into government. Wankers. Well not yet they are not! |
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neilm
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Post by neilm on Nov 18, 2017 16:05:13 GMT
The Greens won The Gabba ward on Brisbane City Council last year (yes, as in the cricket ground). The areas covered by that ward are all in the South Brisbane seat, so I'm not sure what greenhert has heard if he thinks they're in with a better chance in Mount Coot-tha instead. He thinks they have no chance there. No party will be able to win that electorate. |
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Nov 19, 2017 1:47:09 GMT
The Greens won The Gabba ward on Brisbane City Council last year (yes, as in the cricket ground). The areas covered by that ward are all in the South Brisbane seat, so I'm not sure what greenhert has heard if he thinks they're in with a better chance in Mount Coot-tha instead. He thinks they have no chance there. No party will be able to win that electorate. It's going to be won by an independent candidate, then? |
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Post by Merseymike on Nov 20, 2017 10:58:16 GMT
Especially with Queensland being the most right-wing/reactionary state in Australia . Well...sort of. It has areas which are the most right wing and reactionary, largely because more of the population lives in the rural outback, but overall, its a state which has actually swung to the left since the days of the National party hegemony. |
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Post by finsobruce on Nov 20, 2017 12:39:06 GMT
Especially with Queensland being the most right-wing/reactionary state in Australia . Well...sort of. It has areas which are the most right wing and reactionary, largely because more of the population lives in the rural outback, but overall, its a state which has actually swung to the left since the days of the National party hegemony. the looming figure of Sir Joh had a huge rightward influence over Queensland politics and since he went, the state has been much more of a tossup (as i think it was before he came to dominate). stand to be corrected on the latter of course. |
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Post by AdminSTB on Nov 25, 2017 9:10:41 GMT
The Bananabenders are electing today. Coverage of the results can be found here. |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Nov 25, 2017 9:35:45 GMT
Wierd election. Significant swing to LNP in rural areas, significant swing to Labour in urban areas.
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