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Post by markgoodair on Mar 10, 2017 18:38:04 GMT
Its the WA state election tomorrow . It looks likely that the Liberal's will lose to Labor.
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Mar 10, 2017 20:01:27 GMT
Perhaps this could be a general thread for all local, state and territorial electoral events in Australia, as individual elections are unlikely to incite much discussion?
Even if not, the thread title still needs amending as the full official name of the state is Western Australia.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 10, 2017 22:23:56 GMT
Perhaps this could be a general thread for all local, state and territorial electoral events in Australia, as individual elections are unlikely to incite much discussion? Even if not, the thread title still needs amending as the full official name of the state is West ern Australia. I thought we had an Australian state elections thread, but it seems not. Anyway, good idea: I have renamed the thread accordingly. |
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iain
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Post by iain on Mar 11, 2017 9:36:29 GMT
Exit polls suggest a 12% swing to Labor.
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Mar 11, 2017 11:10:32 GMT
Results so far are in agreement with a Labour gain, with a swing a bit bigger than 12%, closer to 15%, it seems.
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Mar 11, 2017 11:40:54 GMT
Bloodbath for Liberals, Nationals holding up, One Nation quite under its polling. They polled up to 15%, they were at 9% before election, but they are just under 5% right now, which is probably worse for them than the most pessimistic predictions.
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Post by IceAgeComing on Mar 11, 2017 11:58:03 GMT
One Nation aren't standing in every seat though; that will deflate their support even if they don't lose popularity. I still think that they've got a chance in the upper house for a few seats; although at 5% they do run the risk of being passed by a micro party who manage to harvest lots of preferences and even if that doesn't actually elect them (although I'm sure that at least one of them will be elected off of a very low first preference vote; honestly they deserve it for keeping this silly silly system) it might end up to One Nation being eliminated before the micro party so they won't still be in the count when whoever that is gets eliminated and the preferences scatter between the majors. There's very little counted in the Legislative Council yet though so its hard to say - less than 0.1% in all of the regions.
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Mar 11, 2017 12:01:35 GMT
Some Liberal incumbent are having drops of 25% in their primary vote. That's very bad for them.
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Post by greenhert on Mar 11, 2017 12:18:29 GMT
And how are the Greens doing, meanwhile? They are standing in every seat and I am hoping they will capture Fremantle again (which they held under Adele Carles for a few years before she left).
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Mar 11, 2017 12:27:16 GMT
Some Liberal incumbent are having drops of 25% in their primary vote. That's very bad for them. NEVER!!! |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Mar 11, 2017 12:29:08 GMT
And how are the Greens doing, meanwhile? They are standing in every seat and I am hoping they will capture Fremantle again (which they held under Adele Carles for a few years before she left). 9% Fremantle is safe Labor, they are over 50% on primary and Greens are 3rd, behind Liberals. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 11, 2017 12:37:30 GMT
Antony Green projecting 40 seats for Labor.
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Post by IceAgeComing on Mar 11, 2017 12:56:24 GMT
The ABC has the first set of Upper House numbers; in the Agricultural zone on the current results (5.71% counted) they have 2 Nationals, 2 Labor, 1 Liberal for sure and I'm a little confused on the last seat - the list at the top says the Daylight Savings Party have it; but the actual calculation on the Group Voting Tickets is giving the last seat to the Shooters and Fishers. The vast majority of Micro party preferences are going to the Shooters over One Nation, and at this point that's enough to put the Shooters ahead even though One Nation are quite close to a Quota on First Preferences.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 11, 2017 14:00:32 GMT
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Sibboleth
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Post by Sibboleth on Mar 14, 2017 20:19:51 GMT
Today is Everybody Laugh At Brendon Grylls Day
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Mar 14, 2017 20:43:00 GMT
Good show, Pilbara.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 14, 2017 21:05:44 GMT
Today is Everybody Laugh At Brendon Grylls Day Why is his defeat funny? Didn't he simply campaign on what he believed was the right policy? |
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Sibboleth
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Post by Sibboleth on Mar 15, 2017 0:07:07 GMT
Today is Everybody Laugh At Brendon Grylls Day Why is his defeat funny? Didn't he simply campaign on what he believed was the right policy? Ah, but how did he win the seat in the first place? Apparently it is dangerous to ride tigers. |
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john07
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Post by john07 on Mar 25, 2017 22:29:23 GMT
It's a pity we do not have a 'swing voter' from Australia to comment on this thread?
On reflection it's a very bad idea!
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Mar 26, 2017 0:41:34 GMT
It's a pity we do not have a 'swing voter' from Australia to comment on this thread? On reflection it's a very bad idea! Indeed. I don't think a 14-year-old from the Sydney area would be able to offer any greater insight than we can already gleam into an election that took place thousands of kilometres away from where he lives. |
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