Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 22, 2017 3:02:09 GMT
EELV used to be a Mamere-Joly cult but now as mrpastelito said about the others, they are floundering for a personality. No. Always nice with a well thought-out response. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 7, 2017 20:50:28 GMT
So, what is the likely effect of the presidential election result going to be on the legislative elections? A guillotined parliament? |
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Post by Deleted on May 8, 2017 20:37:37 GMT
En Marche is being renamed Republique en Marche and will announce its 577 candidates on Thursday. The alliance with MoDem will be the only one.
PS have presented a new election manifesto, which scraps all of Hamon's pet issues. Hamon has countered by calling for an alliance with FI, and says he doesn't rule out supporting their candidates over "right wing" PS candidates. So the internecine strife continues.
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Post by Merseymike on May 8, 2017 20:54:13 GMT
En Marche is being renamed Republique en Marche and will announce its 577 candidates on Thursday. The alliance with MoDem will be the only one. PS have presented a new election manifest, which scraps all of Hamon's pet issues. Hamon has countered by calling for an alliance with FI, and says he doesn't rule out supporting their candidates over "right wing" PS candidates. So the internecine strife continues. Question is whether PS will survive at all. Its right wing could fit within REM (suitable acronym), the left could join with FI - though Hamon should have thought about that 3 weeks ago |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on May 8, 2017 21:33:22 GMT
It will survive, as it did before (when it had a different name). It just might well be relegated to the margins for a few decades...
Either way this election now looks certain to be an even worse rout for the Left than 1993.
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,020
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Post by Khunanup on May 8, 2017 21:35:53 GMT
En Marche is being renamed Republique en Marche and will announce its 577 candidates on Thursday. The alliance with MoDem will be the only one. PS have presented a new election manifesto, which scraps all of Hamon's pet issues. Hamon has countered by calling for an alliance with FI, and says he doesn't rule out supporting their candidates over "right wing" PS candidates. So the internecine strife continues. Nice move by Macron, screwing over Sarkozy's pet project with the name but keeping the Progressive slant. It's given everyone else kittens which I'm sure is the point. France is made for Centrist (dare I say it Liberal) government being as it is so at odds within itself in urban/rural, wealthy/v poor and multi-national, both old and new (though it can never seemingly admit that to itself). Macron has the possibility to do what the Right could never do, because he isn't one of them. Reform the economy so that it can actually function in the real world and what the Left couldn't do because he's not one of them, talk to people as they are rather than the narrow groups they're compartmentalised into. France is a fascinating parallel to the UK, so many similarities, so many things they do better and we do better but the challenges and rewards are also so similar. A slightly distorted mirror on ourselves but a mirror nevertheless. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Member is Online
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Post by The Bishop on May 10, 2017 10:25:22 GMT
It appears that Macron has told Valls where he can go. My regard for him has substantially increased in an instant. EDIT: and now it seems Valls has been expelled from the PS as well - my cup runneth over  |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on May 10, 2017 17:10:27 GMT
It appears that Macron has told Valls where he can go. My regard for him has substantially increased in an instant. EDIT: and now it seems Valls has been expelled from the PS as well - my cup runneth over We must, for the present, take whatever silver linings that can be found. And my God is this a good one. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on May 10, 2017 17:17:21 GMT
Benchmarks from the rest of the Fifth Republic to keep in mind for the inevitable hideous defeat of the Left...
1958: 50 seats (SFIO 40, PCF 10)
1968: 91 seats (FGDS 57, PCF 34)
1993: 91 seats (PS 53, PCF 24, Others 14)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 12, 2017 6:45:53 GMT
Latest on Valls is that he won't be an En Marche candidate but they won't run anyone against him.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 17, 2017 15:38:53 GMT
More MoDem candidates added to the LREM list to accommodate Bayrou; the new Minister of Justice.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 17, 2017 16:31:24 GMT
Funny to think French general elections are going to be held almost simultaneously with our own from now on, unless there's another snap election at some point in the future.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 24, 2017 18:51:03 GMT
Elabe
LREM 33%
LR 20%
FN 19%
FI 12%
PS 6.5%
Others 9.5%
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Post by seanryanj on May 24, 2017 19:16:35 GMT
Elabe LREM 33% LR 20% FN 19% FI 12% PS 6.5% Others 9.5% Looks bad for the left unless their vote is concentrated. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 24, 2017 20:59:14 GMT
Ifop with change from their 4-5 May poll in brackets.
LREM 31% (+9)
LR-UDI 19% (-3.5)
FN 18% (-2)
FI 15% (-1)
PS 7% (-2)
DLF 2.5% (+1)
EELV 2.5% (-0.5)
PCF/FG 1.5% (-0.5)
Others 3.5% (-0.5)
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,906
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 4, 2017 8:32:15 GMT
Premier tour today.
In 3e Circonscription des Francais etablis hors de France (Danemark, Finlande, Irlande, Islande, Lettonie, Estonie, Lituanie, Norvege, Royaume-Uni et Suede)
my wife has the choice of the following range of candidates:
Alexandre HOLROYD (LREM)
Beatrice PAULY (Parti Chretien-Democrate)
Olivier TONNEAU (La France insoumise (Melanchon's mob))
Patricia CONNELL (UDI)
Laurence AZZENA-GOUGEON (La Droite et Le Centre)
David ROLLAND (Le Front de Patriotes Republicains)
Karine DAUDICOURT (EELV)
Tony THOMMES (FN)
Axelle LEMAIRE (PS incumbent)
Pierre-Alexandre GREIL (UPR - Asselineau's mob)
Marine ROUSSILLON (PCF/FDG)
Cindy DEMICHEL (#MAVOIX)
You have to search a wee bit in Lemaire's leaflet to find PS mentioned. Incumbency is definitely played more than party affiliation.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 4, 2017 13:15:44 GMT
Ifop with change from their 4-5 May poll in brackets. LREM 31% (+9) LR-UDI 19% (-3.5) FN 18% (-2) FI 15% (-1) PS 7% (-2) DLF 2.5% (+1) EELV 2.5% (-0.5) PCF/FG 1.5% (-0.5) Others 3.5%(-0.5) I'm not familiar with French election geography, but could the Socialists be completely wiped out on those numbers? No, PS should still be able to get ca. 25 seats on those numbers. There are some constituencies where LREM aren't running against them (Macron supporting candidates), the Green vote will go to PS in many constituencies, and they have some strongholds. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 4, 2017 13:24:06 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2017 0:51:39 GMT
Voting intention for the various scenarios in the second round.  |
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,773
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Post by andrea on Jun 11, 2017 12:23:04 GMT
Martinique 1:
Manin (DVG) 24,7%
Edmond Mariette (DV) 17,7%
Maignan (LREM) 15,5%
Mousseau (LR) 11,2%
Martinique 2:
Nestor-Azérot (incumbent, DVG) 31,4%
Pamphile (DVG) 21,8%
Monplaisir (LR) 21,4%
Martinique 3:
Letchimy (DVG, incumbent) 59,9%
Carole (gauche indépendantiste) 16,5%
Run off to take place as he didn't reach the 25% of registered voters treshold. Turnout was pitiful. The Martinique average was 26.06%
Martinique 4
Nilor (gauche indépendantiste,incumbent) 46,9
Saithsoothane (LR) 18,1%
Dinal (DVG) 15%
Guyane 2
Adam (LREM) 36,5%
Rimane (DV) 20,3%
Berthelot (DVG, incumbent) 19,5%
Antoinette (Walwari) 9,5%
Guyane 1
Serville (PSG, incumbent) 30,3%
Prévot-Madère (LREM) 30,08%
Guard (DVG) 10,6%
St Pierre et Miquelon
Girardin (PRG, incumbent) 41,6%
Lenormand (DV) 41,6%
Vigneau-Dugué (DVD) 10,8%
Guadaloupe 1
Serva (LREM) 43,7%
Rauzduel (DVG) 25,1%
Durimel (EELV) 16,8%
Guadaloupe 2
Benin (DVG) 25,6%
Perran (LREM) 18,8%
Bernier (LR) 14%
Chingan (DV) 12,4%
Guadaloupe 3
Luce (LREM) 14,8%
Mathiasin (DVG) 12,9%
Louisy (DVG) 10%
Toribio (DVG) 10%
Baron (PS) 9,6%
Guadaloupe 4
Vainqueur-Christophe (PS) 38,7%
Arbau (DVD) 18,6%
Claude-Maurice (DVD) 8%
Saint Barthemy and Saint Martin
Javois (LR) 25,9%
Bouchaut-Choisy (LREM) 21,6%
Wallis et Futuna
Polutélé (DVG,incumbent) 50,2% ELECTED. Turnout was 81%
Brial (DVG) 46,2%
Delord (LR) 3,6%
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