yorkshireluke
Lib Dem
I run @polmapsinfoUK, @YorkshireElects and /r/PoliticalMaps/
Posts: 775 
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Post by yorkshireluke on Mar 31, 2019 20:47:24 GMT
33: East Staffordshire Borough Council, West Midlands.
East Staffordshire may be another council that goes NOC, but it would take a big effort from Labour, and failings from the Tories. As you can probably tell, it's a tale of Burton and not Burton, who will win this time? Labour need a net gain of 8 to gain a majority, the Conservatives need to avoid a net loss of 4 to keep theirs. My prediction: Conservative HOLD. 
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yorkshireluke
Lib Dem
I run @polmapsinfoUK, @YorkshireElects and /r/PoliticalMaps/
Posts: 775
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Post by yorkshireluke on Mar 31, 2019 22:02:16 GMT
32: North West Leicestershire, East Midlands.
North West Leicestershire is delightfully easy to map, all one-seat wards. Looks great, anyway, no idea what's gonna happen here in May. Don't think the Conservatives would lose 6 seats so I'm gonna go with a hold. Labour need a net gain of 11 to gain a majority, the Conservatives need to avoid a net loss of 6 to keep theirs. My prediction: Conservative HOLD. 
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Post by andrewteale on Mar 31, 2019 22:10:18 GMT
33: East Staffordshire Borough Council, West Midlands.
East Staffordshire may be another council that goes NOC, but it would take a big effort from Labour, and failings from the Tories. As you can probably tell, it's a tale of Burton and not Burton, who will win this time? Labour need a net gain of 8 to gain a majority, the Conservatives need to avoid a net loss of 4 to keep theirs. My prediction: Conservative HOLD. Burton is definitely one for the list of seriously impressive town halls, although it's no Rochdale. |
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 1, 2019 7:36:37 GMT
I have redrawn all the Newport maps on LEAP after noticing an error in one of the labels. I had overlooked the Welsh-language spelling of Allt-yr-yn division.   |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,720
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Post by Chris from Brum on Apr 1, 2019 8:35:26 GMT
Interesting that Rogerstone ward is called "Black house" in Welsh.
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Post by hullenedge on Apr 1, 2019 12:00:38 GMT
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Post by froome on Apr 1, 2019 12:36:02 GMT
32: North West Leicestershire, East Midlands.
North West Leicestershire is delightfully easy to map, all one-seat wards. Looks great, anyway, no idea what's gonna happen here in May. Don't think the Conservatives would lose 6 seats so I'm gonna go with a hold. Labour need a net gain of 11 to gain a majority, the Conservatives need to avoid a net loss of 6 to keep theirs. My prediction: Conservative HOLD. All one seat wards must be pretty unusual, isn't it? |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 1, 2019 13:33:22 GMT
I think it may be unique. It's a good system though - I'd like to see it introduced in more places (everywhere)
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yorkshireluke
Lib Dem
I run @polmapsinfoUK, @YorkshireElects and /r/PoliticalMaps/
Posts: 775
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Post by yorkshireluke on Apr 1, 2019 14:46:30 GMT
I think it may be unique. It's a good system though - I'd like to see it introduced in more places (everywhere) Don't think it's unique but off the top of my head I can't think of any others (except county councils). |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 1, 2019 15:09:56 GMT
I can't think of any in England at least - maybe in Wales (Powys possibly?)
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Post by syorkssocialist on Apr 1, 2019 15:27:41 GMT
Gwynedd and Pembrokeshire as well I believe
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,289
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Post by maxque on Apr 1, 2019 16:39:13 GMT
I think it may be unique. It's a good system though - I'd like to see it introduced in more places (everywhere) Councils can ask for a "single-member ward review". Only another council asked for it, but the LGBCE didn't perfectly deliver and drew 2 2-seaters in Cotswold. |
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Post by jm on Apr 1, 2019 16:48:53 GMT
I can't think of any in England at least - maybe in Wales (Powys possibly?) Probably the only other example in England would be Mansfield, which is also made up of one-seat wards. |
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Post by greenchristian on Apr 1, 2019 20:55:40 GMT
I think it may be unique. It's a good system though - I'd like to see it introduced in more places (everywhere) Councils can ask for a "single-member ward review". Only another council asked for it, but the LGBCE didn't perfectly deliver and drew 2 2-seaters in Cotswold. And the intention behind the recent Birmingham review was to impose single-seaters, which proved almost impossible in practice. |
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Post by andrewp on Apr 1, 2019 21:53:41 GMT
Councils can ask for a "single-member ward review". Only another council asked for it, but the LGBCE didn't perfectly deliver and drew 2 2-seaters in Cotswold. And the intention behind the recent Birmingham review was to impose single-seaters, which proved almost impossible in practice. Why was it decided impossible to do it in Birmingham? |
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yorkshireluke
Lib Dem
I run @polmapsinfoUK, @YorkshireElects and /r/PoliticalMaps/
Posts: 775
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Post by yorkshireluke on Apr 1, 2019 22:50:26 GMT
31: Malvern Hills District Council, Worcestershire, West Midlands.
What do we make of this then? Malvern Hills could be a Conservative loss in May, it would only take 5 losses and there's that many available in Great Malvern. It will be close but I'm thinking it'll happen this time. The Conservatives need to avoid a net loss of 5 to keep their majority. My prediction: NOC GAIN from Conservative. 
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Apr 2, 2019 0:29:34 GMT
Gwynedd and Pembrokeshire as well I believe Not sure about Pembrokeshire, but there are definitely multi-member Gwynedd Council wards in Bangor (and probably Caernarfon as well). |
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Post by syorkssocialist on Apr 2, 2019 0:45:47 GMT
Gwynedd and Pembrokeshire as well I believe Not sure about Pembrokeshire, but there are definitely multi-member Gwynedd Council wards in Bangor (and probably Caernarfon as well). You are correct it seems - there are a couple of multi-member wards in Gwynedd but its true there are none in Pembrokeshire. |
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Apr 2, 2019 0:57:09 GMT
Not sure about Pembrokeshire, but there are definitely multi-member Gwynedd Council wards in Bangor (and probably Caernarfon as well). You are correct it seems - there are a couple of multi-member wards in Gwynedd but its true there are none in Pembrokeshire. Yes, I checked after posting (which is probably not the right way round to do things). There's Seiont ward in Cofi, Menai and Marchog wards in Bangor, and surprisingly, also Tywyn ward in rural Merionethshire. Confusingly there's a ward named after the Menai Strait in Caernarfon too... but it's single-member! |
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 2, 2019 8:39:38 GMT
Tunbridge Wells 2016. Changes based on 2012: C gain from Ind Pembury C gain from LD Capel C gain from UKIP Rusthall LD gain from C St John's   That completes Kent 2016 on LEAP. Tunbridge Wells 2018. Changes based on 2014: LD gain from C St John's Tunbridge Wells Alliance gain from C Park   Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Park is 2C/1Tunbridge Wells Alliance and both Conservative seats are up next month in a double vacancy. St John's is 2LD/1C and the Conservatives are defending next month. Southborough North is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending next month. Coming soon, perhaps: Hart, Portsmouth, Sunderland
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