Pretty Maps

[yorkshireluke]

45: Solihull Borough Council, West Midlands, West Midlands.



The weirdest metropolitan district to exist is most definitely Solihull. A good half of it is rural land as you can probably tell by the ward size. GREEN fans listen up! You're in with a shot of at least 3 gains here, doing so will make the Conservative majority very thin...



The Conservatives need to avoid a net loss of 6 to maintain their majority.



My prediction: Conservative HOLD.

[yorkshireluke]

44: Leicester City Council, Leicestershire, East Midlands.



The East Midlands has a severe lack of interesting councils, so let's do a well known city. Leicester has both a council and a mayor up this May, and both are very likely to stay Labour. Anything else would be a huge shock indeed.



Labour need to avoid a net loss of 24 to lose their majority.



My prediction: Labour HOLD (Council and Mayor).

[yorkshireluke]

43: Dorset Council, South West.



Dorset is splitting into two unitary authorities. BCP is one of them and the other is just being called Dorset council. 1st map shows the wards of the merging district council while the 2nd map shows the current county council. Keep in mind that the CC includes Christchurch.



New boundaries: 52 wards with 82 seats.



My prediction: Conservative WIN.

[yorkshireluke]

42: Havant Borough Council, Hampshire, South East.



Despite being up in "thirds", only the 3 member wards are up this year in Havant. This means that every defence is a Conservative one, and there is potential for a few Labour/Lib Dem gains, just don't expect loads.



This council will stay Conservative held no matter what.



My “prediction”: Conservative HOLD.

[yorkshireluke]

41: Peterborough City Council, Cambridgeshire, East of England.



The mess that is Peterborough is up again this year and I have no idea what's gonna happen. There will likely be gains and losses for all parties and it is nearly a toss up in terms of overall result. As always, one to watch.



The Conservatives need to avoid a net loss of 1 to hold their majority.



My prediction (quite possibly my least confident prediction so far): Conservative HOLD.

[yorkshireluke]

40: Stockport Borough Council, Greater Manchester, North West.



Stockport is a council that's gonna be stuck in NOC for at least another year after the election. As always, Labour, Lib Dems and Tories will all be trying to gain a seat here and there. Should be a good one to watch.



Labour need a net gain of 7 to gain a majority, the Lib Dems need 11.



My prediction: NOC HOLD.

[syorkssocialist]

Some interesting maps on this Twitter thread about the 'Revoke Article 50' petition:

[Merseymike]

Mar 24, 2019 21:02:18 GMT syorkssocialist said:

Some interesting maps on this Twitter thread about the 'Revoke Article 50' petition:

However... I wonder if this is about online petition-signing habits more generally?

[syorkssocialist]

Mar 24, 2019 21:38:57 GMT Merseymike said:

Mar 24, 2019 21:02:18 GMT syorkssocialist said:

Some interesting maps on this Twitter thread about the 'Revoke Article 50' petition:

However... I wonder if this is about online petition-signing habits more generally?

To some extent, it definitely is.

[timmullen1]

Mar 24, 2019 21:38:57 GMT Merseymike said:

Mar 24, 2019 21:02:18 GMT syorkssocialist said:

Some interesting maps on this Twitter thread about the 'Revoke Article 50' petition:

However... I wonder if this is about online petition-signing habits more generally?

Even political engagement more generally; is there a link between low participation in petitions such as this and turnout at “real” elections?

[yorkshireluke]

39: Armagh City, Banbridge and Craigavon Borough Council, Northern Ireland.



The 2nd most varied Northern Irish council I've seen yet, if things go right for them, the republican parties could overtake the unionist parties in overall seats. On a different note, anyone else notice how similar all the council logos are here? Bit boring in my opinion.

[johnloony]

Mar 24, 2019 23:57:58 GMT yorkshireluke said:

39: Armagh City, Banbridge and Craigavon Borough Council, Northern Ireland.



The 2nd most varied Northern Irish council I've seen yet, if things go right for them, the republican parties could overtake the unionist parties in overall seats. On a different note, anyone else notice how similar all the council logos are here? Bit boring in my opinion.

Is the council twinned with Australia?

[yorkshireluke]

38: Bath and North East Somerset Council, South West.



Bath and NE Somerset is an ambitious LD target, there's boundary changes here that could make it possible but it's more likely to go NOC. The Lib Dem's more realistic target would be to gain all the seats in Bath. What do you think?



Boundary changes: 37 wards to 33, 65 seats to 59.



My prediction: NOC GAIN from Conservative.

[jamie]

yorkshireluke one of the most likely councils to change control. The Lib Dem’s will win pretty much all of Bath, a few in Bathavon and then maybe a couple of randoms elsewhere. At the same time, they probably won’t take control as this would require sweeping the board of the 32 seats in greater Bath (30 seats for a majority).

[yorkshireluke]

37: Thurrock Council, Essex, East of England.



Thurrock is a marginal at GE level, at local level the case is similar, with the demise of UKIP here it seems a Conservative gain may be on the cards, that's where my money is at least. Will be close though, and by next year it could be flipped.



The Conservatives need a net gain of 2 to gain a majority, Labour need 8.



My prediction: Conservative GAIN from NOC.

[Lord Twaddleford]

Mar 17, 2019 18:43:01 GMT andrewteale said:

Havant 2016. Changes based on 2012:

UKIP gain from Lab
Battins
Warren Park



Havant 2018. Changes based on 2014:

C gain from UKIP
Hayling East
Stakes



Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Battins is LD/UKIP and is not up in May.
Bondfields is Lab/C and is not up in May.
Warren Park is Lab/UKIP and is not up in May.

Due to the way the boundaries are drawn up there, it looks quite like a map of Guyana...

[Deleted]

Mar 24, 2019 21:02:18 GMT syorkssocialist said:

Some interesting maps on this Twitter thread about the 'Revoke Article 50' petition:

Some of Britain's best spots there. 

[yorkshireluke]

36: Portsmouth City Council, Hampshire, South East.



Portsmouth will almost definitely stay NOC, the questions here are who will make the most gains and who will be the largest party? Labour are likely to make gains of the the Lib Dems though they in turn have a chance to gain off the Tories so they'll probably end up largest.



Both the Lib Dems and Conservatives need a net gain of 5 to gain a majority.



My prediction: NOC HOLD.

[yorkshireluke]

35: South Lakeland District Council, Cumbria, North West.



South Lakeland is still a Lib Dem council despite the fact that many once like it are no longer. It will most likely stay that way after May 2nd as only a few changes here and there are expected. Maybe not one to watch... unless you're a Lib Dem of course.



Defending in the split wards:

Conservatives in Broughton and Coniston, Sedbergh and Kirkby Lonsdale.

Lib Dems in Kendal Rural, Windermere.



The Conservatives need a net gain of 7 to gain a majority here, the Lib Dems need to avoid a net loss of 4 to keep theirs.



My prediction: Liberal Democrat HOLD.

[yorkshireluke]

34: West Oxfordshire District Council, South East.



One council that is likely to see a lot of Conservative losses is West Oxfordshire, at least 4 are expected, and there maybe more. The Tories should be able to hold on to their majority this time however, but expect a bit more red and yellow on this map after May.



Defending in the split wards:

Conservatives in Chipping Norton; Eynsham and Cassington; Hailey, Minster Lovell and Leafield; Witney Central; Witney East.

Independents in Carterton North West; Stonesfield and Tackley.



The Conservatives need to avoid a net loss of 8 to keep their majority.



My prediction: Conservative HOLD.