Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
|
Post by Sibboleth on May 24, 2016 16:57:47 GMT
The maps are really odd, but then with these candidates that was always certain.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815 
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 24, 2016 17:25:06 GMT
 (This map relies mostly on one produced by a "Tender Branson" from an other forum.) |
|
|
|
Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 24, 2016 17:25:33 GMT
All major cities except carinthian Villach (60.000 inhab., as RailwayCentre a SPÖ-fortress). I was about to ask about that, wondered if it was Slovene country. |
|
Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
|
Post by Sibboleth on May 24, 2016 17:29:48 GMT
Actually that outline map was drawn my me originally, but I'm delighted to see it used  |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 24, 2016 17:32:08 GMT
The maps are really odd, but then with these candidates that was always certain. Generally they fit the expectations, I'd say, but e.g. western Tyrol as a left bastion - not what one would have expected once! But Fischer had already performed there very well in 2010 (s.a.) and Tyrol is trending away from ÖVP, SPÖ is loosing ist weakness there in FederalElections: 
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 24, 2016 17:34:04 GMT
All major cities except carinthian Villach (60.000 inhab., as RailwayCentre a SPÖ-fortress). I was about to ask about that, wondered if it was Slovene country. No, the Slovene's are south of it (already quite weak so far in the west). |
|
Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
|
Post by Sibboleth on May 24, 2016 17:34:33 GMT
A map can be bizarre and yet still as expected Very striking that only one borough in Vienna went for Hofer in R2 despite the tiny margin nationally and Vienna being good turf for his party in recent years. I'm not sure whether this is actually encouraging. |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 24, 2016 17:39:16 GMT
Actually that outline map was drawn my me originally, but I'm delighted to see it used Sorry! I asked user "TenderBranson" (or "Cranberry"?) formerly for allowance, assuming, that it would be their's. Thanks!
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 24, 2016 17:42:34 GMT
A map can be bizarre and yet still as expected Very striking that only one borough in Vienna went for Hofer in R2 despite the tiny margin nationally and Vienna being good turf for his party in recent years. I'm not sure whether this is actually encouraging. It's the same now as in GL or IdF, isn't it? Hofer received those -11%, which have been normal for ÖVP&FPÖ since 1945. FPÖ's success in Strache's "HomeLand" after 2006 was an episode.
|
|
|
|
Post by mrpastelito on May 24, 2016 19:45:04 GMT
Great maps, great posts, Georg Ebner. Much appreciated. I was hoping you'd be able to shed light on vdB's success in Tyrol and Upper Austria (outside the cities)? |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 25, 2016 0:26:40 GMT
Great maps, great posts, Georg Ebner. Much appreciated. I was hoping you'd be able to shed light on vdB's success in Tyrol and Upper Austria (outside the cities)? I thank You very much for Your gentle words!!! v.d.Bellen grew up in Tyrol - whose inhabitants have been inclined to LocalPatriotism (inneralpine valley) -, but east of Innsbruck, an area, that generally favoured blue (less his NativeMunicipality). Tourism and an optimistical atmosphere concerning economy alone didn't bring v.d.Bellen majorities in lower Tyrol (which would traditionally be the more open-minded half of the Land); the same problem occurs with Linz compared to the SalzburgAgglo. (The minimal green SemiRing around Graz might be caused by the fact, that only the properCity is booming, already the near surrounding is glooming...) Probably the FPÖ-base and BlueCollars were not low/rare enough in eastern NorthTyrol and eastern EastTyrol. The GREENS' appearence around SalzburgCity has been disappointing since the 1990ies, they were certainly perceived as too left and unserious. A greenish Southern UpperA. ("Salzkammergut" = district Gmunden, home of J.Haider by the way) could be different to UpperStyria because of prosperity and tourism (the famous Hallstadt was top for v.d.B.) |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on May 25, 2016 15:30:19 GMT
Any exit poll data on ethnicity and/or religion? Hofer must have won white voters of Austrian descent by a solid margin. The voting pattern of some of the Eastern European groups would be interesting.
|
|
|
|
Post by Merseymike on May 25, 2016 17:12:23 GMT
Any exit poll data on ethnicity and/or religion? Hofer must have won white voters of Austrian descent by a solid margin. The voting pattern of some of the Eastern European groups would be interesting. That may depend on whether they are entitled to vote or not |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on May 25, 2016 18:51:40 GMT
Any exit poll data on ethnicity and/or religion? Hofer must have won white voters of Austrian descent by a solid margin. The voting pattern of some of the Eastern European groups would be interesting. That may depend on whether they are entitled to vote or not  |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 25, 2016 21:09:41 GMT
Any exit poll data on ethnicity and/or religion? Hofer must have won white voters of Austrian descent by a solid margin. The voting pattern of some of the Eastern European groups would be interesting. So far this hasn't been researched in those "ExitPolls" (i.e. PhonePolls on ElectionDay). Sometimes special surveys on immigrants' electoral behaviour have been conducted and published some months later. Unfortunately with often dubious and diverging results plus they have split so far only between "Turks" versus the rest, eventually polling "SouthSlaves" extra. Naturally one should differ between SunniticTurks, Alevits, Kurds and Serbs, Croats, Slovenes; but this would require huge SubSamples. |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 25, 2016 21:35:27 GMT
"Haider's doberman" the cath.cons. Stadler - for "odo": Ewald Stadler - had relations to the turkish embassy. But FPÖ's IslamoPhobia left the Erdogan-people over to Red, Green or Abstention.
Therefor FPÖ has been campaigning hardly among the second-largest community, the Serbs ("defensors of the Christian AbendLand"), plus Russians and Jews, of course. It was for example revealed, that (all/some) Hofer-posters had been printed in Bosnia's RepublicaSrbska.
The (ex)catholic Croats are ÖVP's hope.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 2, 2016 14:35:55 GMT
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 2, 2016 15:05:34 GMT
PresidentialElection 1951, SecondRound:  |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jun 4, 2016 16:35:57 GMT
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 6, 2016 22:35:14 GMT
Cannot be taken serious. There weren't irregularities to a decisive extend - and the Constitutional Court consists - coincidentally... - of 7 SPÖ(-near) judges and 7 of (or close to) ÖVP (only 2 of these were appointed by ÖVP&FPÖ). |
|
