maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312 
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Post by maxque on Dec 10, 2015 23:30:35 GMT
in %, Huntingdon:
LD 45.0% (+17.2)
Con 31.8% (-3.3)
UKIP 15.6% (-7.8)
Lab 7.5% (-5.0)
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Dec 10, 2015 23:31:21 GMT
Labour HOLD in Blantyre.
Shocking.
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Post by David Ashforth on Dec 10, 2015 23:31:22 GMT
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Post by greenhert on Dec 10, 2015 23:33:53 GMT
Blantyre in South Lanarkshire is a Labour HOLD (not an SNP gain).
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Post by David Ashforth on Dec 10, 2015 23:34:21 GMT
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Post by greenhert on Dec 10, 2015 23:39:52 GMT
Got that guess right then  |
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Post by David Ashforth on Dec 10, 2015 23:41:18 GMT
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Post by greenhert on Dec 10, 2015 23:42:01 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 10, 2015 23:42:59 GMT
I changed my prediction for Blantyre this morning having predicted Labour ahead in the original email I sent to Middle Englander  |
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Post by Ben Walker on Dec 10, 2015 23:49:39 GMT
Has there ever been a by-election in Scotland where Ukip have got more than 5%?
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Dec 10, 2015 23:50:43 GMT
| Count 1
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| Count 2
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| Count 3
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| Count 4
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| Count 5
| Lab
| 1476
| +7
| 1483
| +21
| 1504
| +32
| 1536
| +53
| 1589
| SNP
| 1236
| +10
| 1246
| +13
| 1259
| +55
| 1314
| +13
| 1327
| Con
| 140
| +16
| 156
| +16
| 172
| +1
| 173
| -173
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| SSP
| 122
| +3
| 125
| +8
| 133
| -133
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| LD
| 92
| +5
| 97
| -97
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| UKIP
| 59
| -59
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Post by greenhert on Dec 11, 2015 0:05:03 GMT
Not since STV was introduced for Scottish local elections, no.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Dec 11, 2015 0:26:54 GMT
Two Con hold in Bournemouth.
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Post by andrewteale on Dec 11, 2015 0:27:08 GMT
Kinson South reported as two Tory holds.
Bournemouth Greens @bmthgreenparty
@bournemouthecho kinson south by election results 18.3 %. Green up 3% to 8‰. Conservatives retain seats.
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,800
Member is Online
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Post by john07 on Dec 11, 2015 2:08:12 GMT
Could this prove to be a Garscadden moment for Labour in Scotland?
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Post by MeirionGwril on Dec 11, 2015 2:42:57 GMT
Could this prove to be a Garscadden moment for Labour in Scotland? No |
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Post by La Fontaine on Dec 11, 2015 8:50:12 GMT
| Count 1
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| Count 2
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| Count 3
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| Count 4
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| Count 5
| Lab
| 1476
| +7
| 1483
| +21
| 1504
| +32
| 1536
| +53
| 1589
| SNP
| 1236
| +10
| 1246
| +13
| 1259
| +55
| 1314
| +13
| 1327
| Con
| 140
| +16
| 156
| +16
| 172
| +1
| 173
| -173
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| SSP
| 122
| +3
| 125
| +8
| 133
| -133
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| LD
| 92
| +5
| 97
| -97
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| UKIP
| 59
| -59
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I am still astonished that there is a fifth count when the winning candidate has more than fifty percent of the remaining votes at count four. Is this deliberate or is it a mistake in the regulations? |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,906
Member is Online
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 11, 2015 9:08:39 GMT
| Count 1
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| Count 2
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| Count 3
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| Count 4
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| Count 5
| Lab
| 1476
| +7
| 1483
| +21
| 1504
| +32
| 1536
| +53
| 1589
| SNP
| 1236
| +10
| 1246
| +13
| 1259
| +55
| 1314
| +13
| 1327
| Con
| 140
| +16
| 156
| +16
| 172
| +1
| 173
| -173
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| SSP
| 122
| +3
| 125
| +8
| 133
| -133
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| LD
| 92
| +5
| 97
| -97
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| UKIP
| 59
| -59
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I am still astonished that there is a fifth count when the winning candidate has more than fifty percent of the remaining votes at count four. Is this deliberate or is it a mistake in the regulations? Regulations, I think. Quota is established at the start of the count and then not altered by the number of non-transferrable votes in the process. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,906
Member is Online
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 11, 2015 9:12:02 GMT
Swing about 7% Labour to SNP, which considering the area and that South Lanarkshire results were generally quite good for Labour in 2012 is much lower than might be expected.
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Post by markgoodair on Dec 11, 2015 9:31:46 GMT
Swing about 7% Labour to SNP, which considering the area and that South Lanarkshire results were generally quite good for Labour in 2012 is much lower than might be expected. But still not looking good for Labour in May. |
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