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Post by iainbhx on Nov 1, 2015 15:40:15 GMT
AKP landslide by the look of it. Possibly even the supermajority. No rise in support for the CHP. AKP on about 53%. Live results here Turkish live results |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 16:00:21 GMT
The polls called this...wrongly. Mind you the big Western Cities have to filter in yet. At the mo AKP are sitting on 330.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 16:43:58 GMT
The Agencies have called this as an AKP outright win (although the Election Board are only starting to count the votes with recounts going on in the East). The HDP are dangerously close to the 10% mark.
This stinks.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Nov 1, 2015 16:44:19 GMT
Are the HDP looking to do better or worse than last time? What is turnout like in the south east?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 16:53:51 GMT
NTV are now calling HDP to fall below 10%. This will hand the AKP a super majority.
Civil war to follow?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 16:54:31 GMT
Are the HDP looking to do better or worse than last time? What is turnout like in the south east? Worse. Big - around 85% |
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 17:01:34 GMT
Reports of Alla u Akbar and "Death to Israel" outside the AKP office in Istanbul. hmm.
Apologies if I misled any to think that the crowds were praising the Fish headed star wars general and not the Maker there. Edited accordingly.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 17:10:54 GMT
Agencies report that the AKP are now under 50% of the vote and short of the 330 required for a constitutional referendum if the HDP remain above 10% (one reporting the HDP at 10.3%).
If the HDP fall under then their vote switches en masse to the AKP which will see them close to the 373(?) mark (can change constitution without a referendum)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 17:11:49 GMT
NTV are now calling HDP to fall below 10%. This will hand the AKP a super majority. Civil war to follow? It now looks like the HDP will just about make it. |
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 1, 2015 17:17:02 GMT
NTV are now calling HDP to fall below 10%. This will hand the AKP a super majority. Civil war to follow? It now looks like the HDP will just about make it. Yes, 10.3% with 4% of the vote to come in. There again, a lot of that is Ankara. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 17:19:50 GMT
CNN reckons the HDP need another 150k votes to drag themselves across the line. It looks like the CHP have held on in the Western areas reasonably comfortably. The big kicking of the night was dished out to the MHP.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 17:27:59 GMT
Conflicting reports on Twatter. One (reasonably connected pundit) has tweeted that the HDP are over the 10% line as the "outside votes" are counted. Others are celebrating an AKP super majority. It looks like the one poll which had the AKP at 47% was in the ballpark. The rest, miles out.
The Election Commission have now shut down their results website...
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 1, 2015 17:32:24 GMT
The Election Commission have now shut down their results website... Really, that's, errm, interesting. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 17:39:12 GMT
Fighting already started in SE Turkey. Diyabakir first one reported. There is something really really fishy about this. The AKP have gained 3m votes in 5 months and gained votes off the MHP (ok) but the HDP in SE Turkey?
However the HDP have made no allegations of vote fraud at this stage. So perhaps it is my innate cynicism.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 17:52:12 GMT
CNN have called HDP over the threshold. The electoral Commission website still down.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Nov 1, 2015 17:53:36 GMT
Fighting already started in SE Turkey. Diyabakir first one reported. There is something really really fishy about this. The AKP have gained 3m votes in 5 months and gained votes off the MHP (ok) but the HDP in SE Turkey? However the HDP have made no allegations of vote fraud at this stage. So perhaps it is my innate cynicism. Have they actually gained votes or have many HDP voters simply stayed at home/'been prevented from voting'? |
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 1, 2015 18:01:13 GMT
Fighting already started in SE Turkey. Diyabakir first one reported. There is something really really fishy about this. The AKP have gained 3m votes in 5 months and gained votes off the MHP (ok) but the HDP in SE Turkey? However the HDP have made no allegations of vote fraud at this stage. So perhaps it is my innate cynicism. Have they actually gained votes or have many HDP voters simply stayed at home/'been prevented from voting'? They have gained around 4 million votes. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 18:03:39 GMT
I doubt that HDP voters would stay at home. However the process can be open to heavy vote buying via the Mukthar in remote areas to say the least. The AKP have picked up via a fall in both the HDP and the MHP (mr. NO) vote. I can understand a fall in the HDP vote in Western Turkey but in Kurdish areas...
The AKP were very confident. Very confident going into the election.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2015 18:23:09 GMT
Now kicking off in Istanbul...
The High Election commission website is still down although they claim "it works for us". There are quite a few sore folk out there at the moment.
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Richard Allen
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Post by Richard Allen on Nov 1, 2015 20:05:36 GMT
Not an unexpected result but a depressing one. It should kill off the idea, if anyone was foolish enough to believe it, that Turkey is a liberal democracy.
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