BMG

[Deleted]

May 2, 2018 16:43:42 GMT Andrew_S said:

"CON 39        (+1)
LAB 38        (-2)
LD 11 (+1)
UKIP 3 (-1)
GRN 4 (+1)
SNP 4        (=)

Fieldwork 10th-13th Apr (Changes vs 13th-16th Mar)
N=1,562"

changes are wrong

[Devil Wincarnate]

Lads, it's BMG.

[Andrew_S]

"Number Cruncher Politics
‏ @ncpoliticsuk
12h12 hours ago

BMG/Independent:

CON 39 (=)
LAB 39 (+1)
LD 10 (-1)
UKIP 4 (+1)
GRN 3 (-1)
SNP 4 (=)

1st-4th May (Changes vs 10th-13th Apr)
N=1,441"

[archaeologist]

The latest BMG poll, fieldwork up to 8th June.

www.bmgresearch.co.uk/bmgs-westminster-voting-intention-results-june-2018/

Con 38
Lab 41
LDm 11
UKIP 4
Grn 2
Oth 3

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Out of line with all other recent polls but I bet this one gets more coverage.

[Deleted]

Jun 20, 2018 8:12:34 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Out of line with all other recent polls but I bet this one gets more coverage.

tbf BMG has been more favourable atm to Labour. The movement is similar to YouGov, Opinium and ICM but they have Tory leads. BMG showed a tie. We may see similarities in ComRes and Ipsos Mori which also show ties show.

[beastofbedfordshire]

I find it odd that both lab and the ld's are up.

[Deleted]

Jun 20, 2018 9:47:57 GMT beastofbedfordshire said:

I find it odd that both lab and the ld's are up.

bmg understate the two main parties incomparison to other polls so if it makes more sense to you think of it like labour has fallen line with most polls but the tories have lost out to the lib dems

[The Bishop]

Jun 20, 2018 9:47:57 GMT beastofbedfordshire said:

I find it odd that both lab and the ld's are up.

Though some recent polls are also showing a bit of an anti-Brexit shift.

(nowhere near enough to make a second referendum or anything like that politically feasible, mind)

[Deleted]

Jun 20, 2018 9:47:57 GMT beastofbedfordshire said:

I find it odd that both lab and the ld's are up.

I don't set much store by this poll, but never forget that electoral behaviour *in aggregate* often looks odd, or at least out of step with conventional thinking - which perhaps tells you more about conventional thinking than anything else.

[greenhert]

Also, because of the divergent electoral trends in the UK depending on the type of constituency, the raw numbers will not be enough to predict which way each constituency will turn. Breakdowns by age, class etc. need to be looked at more carefully than ever.

[Deleted]

Jun 20, 2018 17:49:10 GMT @barnabymarder said:

It would be wrong to set too much store on this or any other poll unless & until it's borne out elsewhere. Usual caveats.

Well it isn’t. We’ve just had a 7 point Tory lead. Here a 3 point Labour lead. The reality is likely about even, possibly a slight Con lead.

[archaeologist]

BMG polls seem to be slipping under the radar.

July (5th)
Con 39
Lab 37
LDm 10
UKIP 3
Grn 4
Oth 7

www.bmgresearch.co.uk/bmgs-westminster-voting-intention-results-july-2018/

And August (10th)

Con 37
Lab 39
Ldm 10
UKIP 5
Grn 5
Oth 4

twitter.com/britainelects?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

[Deleted]

[Jack]

[Deleted]

Sept 22, 2018 21:56:00 GMT Jack said:

tables?

[archaeologist]

Data avaialble here -

www.bmgresearch.co.uk/huffpost-bmg-labour-conference-polling-results-part-1/

[Andrew_S]

"Europe Elects
‏ @europeelects
3h3 hours ago

UK, BMG poll:

LAB-S&D: 40% (+2)
CON-ECR: 35% (-3)
LDEM-ALDE: 12% (+2)
UKIP-EFDD: 5%

Field work: 28/09/18 – 29/09/18
Sample size: 1,203"

[finsobruce]

Sept 30, 2018 14:05:35 GMT Andrew_S said:

"Europe Elects
‏ @europeelects
3h3 hours ago

UK, BMG poll:

LAB-S&D: 40% (+2)
CON-ECR: 35% (-3)
LDEM-ALDE: 12% (+2)
UKIP-EFDD: 5%

Field work: 28/09/18 – 29/09/18
Sample size: 1,203"

is this an outlier to the outlier?

[tonygreaves]

So we now have some equal and opposite evidence of whether Labour the Labour conference bounced up or down. The interesting polls will be those after all the conferences have gone home.